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A Closer Look at the Death of the '08 Yankees

Words by SN's David Arnott, who splits his time between sports blogging here (and here and here), and dealing with angry SN.com members providing great customer service with a smile.

The 2008 New York Yankees are dead. With 25 games left to play, they are 12 games behind the division leading Tampa Bay Rays and 7 games behind the wild card leading Boston Red Sox. Should the Red Sox cruise down the home stretch at the same .584 pace they've held thus far, the Yankees would have to go 21-4 the rest of the way just to catch them.

While the starting pitching has been a convenient scapegoat, the Yankees' hitters were the real culprits for this season's epic fail. Melky Cabrera has inexplicably regressed into vintage Darren Lewis. Jorge Posada finally succumbed to injury, and his at bats were, unfortunately, soaked up by Jose Molina, also known as the least talented Molina brother. Even Derek Jeter took part in the collective suck. He's picked it up in the second half, but Jeter's on pace to have his worst full season at the plate. It's not just bad luck, either, since we can see that he's not hitting line drives and his fly balls aren't leaving the yard anymore.

Let's talk a little more specifically about that pitching. The starters weren't that bad. Really. Mike Mussina somehow pulled off another effective season, Andy Pettitte came through with a thoroughly average year, and if you add Chien-Ming Wang's starts to Joba Chamberlain's, in sum that's an All Star quality ace. But while the top three starters held up their end of the bargain, the back end filler was far worse than anyone could have expected. GM Brian Cashman has made a habit of filling in the back end of the rotation with barrel bottom retreads and never-will-bes. This season, he planned on changing it up and having top prospect Philip Hughes and future innings-eater Ian Kennedy fill out the fourth and fifth spots, but when they crashed and burned, he had to go fishing for the likes of Darrell Rasner and Sidney Ponson. They are who they are, but the damage was already done.

It wasn't all lemon juice and horseradish for the Yankeess. Alex Rodriguez kept on keeping on. Bobby Abreu once again staved off old age. Johnny Damon may have had his career year at the plate, mitigating the loss of Hideki Matsui. And I'd be remiss if I didn't mention that State Trooper Giambi rebounded nicely from a lost season in 2007. In the end, however, the Yankees are 11th in the majors in runs scored, which just isn't good enough if the pitching and defense is 16th best at preventing runs.

This might not be the end of the Yankees' current run of excellence. Mussina and Pettitte are likely on the decline, and it's possible the Yanks will let them hit free agency, but a rotation of Wang, Chamberlain, Hughes, Kennedy, and whomever rises to the top of the waiver wire dumpster will probably be better than this season's disappointment. And that's before considering any free agent acquisitions. Where New York could make the greatest improvements is on offense, by finding hitters to match the total performance of Giambi at first base and the motley crew of DHs (not as hard as it might seem on first glance), and simply by getting league average performances from the center field and catcher positions, whether that's from incumbents Cabrera and Posada, or other options.

Ultimately, the arms race between New York and Boston over the past fifteen years has led to some pretty nasty unintended consequences for the Bombers. In order to compete with the two big spenders, the other three organizations in the AL East stepped up: Tampa Bay finally ditched Chuck LaMar and put together a crack baseball operations staff. The Blue Jays have slowly gotten better under J.P. Ricciardi to the point that they are legitimate threats to contend any given year now, and I'm sure that free agents are noticing that they take in Canadian dollars. And while the Orioles aren't in the picture just yet, they've ditched the all-free-agent approach and found young franchise cornerstones in Nick Markakis and Jeremy Guthrie.

The last Yankees dynasty is long dead, this season is dead, and the current generation of stars are in or approaching their death throes. The next Yankees championship will be cast from a totally different mold than the current squad.

This post originally appeared on the Sporting Blog. For more, see The Sporting Blog Archives.

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THE YANKEES will not take this lightly. look for them to sign just about EVERYBODY who is a top tier free agent. this means mark teixera, cc sabathia, ben sheets, and a few more. money will be no object as they move into the new yankee stadium. this embarassing season will force them to open up the wallets again. they tried to go with some youth, and it did not work. closing the old ball park like this does not sit well with yankee fans who expect to win every year.

Just some observations from here in Toronto.

by jays fly high on Sep 2, 2008 11:18 PM EDT reply actions  

I am not putting them to sleep yet. You never know what might happen and in the end, they do have some talent. They seem far out, which they are, but just wait another ten more games.

by broekhof17 on Sep 3, 2008 3:05 PM EDT reply actions  

It’s been a tough year for the Yankees, that’s for sure.

by rickumali on Sep 3, 2008 3:08 PM EDT reply actions  

This is baseball bliss

by soxfanindan on Sep 3, 2008 3:24 PM EDT reply actions  

There are a few reasons for the Yankees downfall:

1. Certain players on the team are old – Pettite, Mussina, etc. – The Yankees management needs to continually turn over the players on the team and obtain value for them so that the team does not age. The Boston Celtics were guilty of holding on to their franchise (Dennis Johnson, Kevin McHale, Larry Parrish, etc.).

2. Undeveloped farm system – In order to turn over the age of the ballclub, part of the plan is to have a well-organized farm system. The Yankees are not getting the top prospects. These players like (Ian Kennedy, Darrell Rasner, Melky Cabrera) have not played to their potential and I am not so sure that they can.

3. Leadership on the team – Granted, this team does not fall short of veteran leadership, however, there needs to be a vocal spokesperson on the team (preferably the "captain") that needs to keep the team’s spirits upbeat. After an at bat, or a fielding play by Cano or A-Rod, or the final score of the game, there should be a sense of competitiveness on the part of the players (throwing a glove, being demonstrative with the lack of play of another teammate (just unacceptable), even holding your own self to a higher standard than the team standard. The players need to be held accountable for their lack of hustle, their cockiness (cano’s case), their base running or fielding mistakes, etc..

4. The Yanks are going to succeed if the team chemistry is on the same page. From the looks of things right now, the team has a long way to go.

by jamcut63 on Sep 3, 2008 5:20 PM EDT reply actions  

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