Fantasy Stat Breakdown: Strong Play For Brandon Jacobs?

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Some Friendly And Not So Friendly Defenses

Fantasy football is all about matchups. With so many poor teams this year, taking advantage of decent players in great matchups is more important than ever. No, this doesn't mean you should bench your studs, but with so few teams employing a featured back, finding advantageous matchups for lesser backs can be key. Here are the most user-friendly pass and rushing defenses on the year to date:

User Friendly Pass Defenses

  1. Tennessee Titans
  2. Atlanta Falcons
  3. Cincinnati Bengals
  4. San Francisco 49ers
  5. Kansas City Chiefs
Comments: Playing against the Colts and Texans certainly skews stats against the Titans, but make no mistake, they've been abysmal. Cortland Finnegan and the rest of the secondary are beginning to get healthy, but the Titan's problems go deeper than that. Continue to start quarterbacks and receivers with confidence against Tennessee...Turns out the Falcons may miss Brian Williams quite a bit....The Bengals attracted some attention earlier in the year for shutting down big names like Greg Jennings, Braylon Edwards, and Derrick Mason, but even then they were giving up big chunks of yards to other players. Without Antwan Odom applying the heat, the Bengals' secondary has been a bit exposed...The Chiefs secondary is about to get even worse

User Friendly Run Defenses
  1. Buffalo Bills
  2. Cleveland Browns
  3. Tampa Bay Bucs
  4. Oakland Raiders
  5. St. Louis Rams
Comments: The Bills made a journeyman like Ryan Moats look like a star last week...Even Matt Forte and the Bears, with their awful offensive line, were able to wrack up numbers on the ground against the Browns. And yes, this means that you should sell "high" on Forte. Now. Right this minute...According to Football Outsiders (via Buc'Em), the Bucs have the worst defense in the league, and much of their poor play is a result of one of the poorest defensive lines in football...The Raiders specialize in making second backs like Ahmad Bradshaw and Shonn Greene fantasy gods...After trading Will Witherspoon two weeks ago, the Rams' defensive front seven is actually weaker than it was at the beginning of the year.


WR Target Numbers

If a WR isn’t getting the ball, then his numbers are sure to be a fantasy dud. One way to project WR performance is to follow the number of times they’re targeted by the QB. From week-to-week fortunes can change, but if the QB is looking for your fantasy receivers, you can trust to play them each week.

Last week’s target leader? Reggie Wayne.

Not that it should come as a surprise, but the Indianapolis Colts’ Reggie Wayne was the most targeted wide receiver in Week 8, logging a whopping 20 looks! This is impressive, so much that it leads all wideouts for any given week. The previous season chart-toppers had 17 (Andre Johnson, Week 2; Randy Moss, Week 3).

Lots of other target stats tucked away in this KFFL article.


The Stats Say This Is Brandon Jacobs' Week

Andy Behrens at Yahoo! has an excellent column for your perusal this week, chock full o’ stats. Amongst the other goodies to be found is this surprising declaration – Brandon Jacobs will go off this week. Why Jacobs? The matchup stats for the Chargers defense says so.

In a week where the NFL’s most user-friendly run defenses all have byes (Buffalo, Cleveland, Oakland, St. Louis), the Chargers are the team to pick on. They’ve given up 132.1 rushing yards per game. San Diego allows more fantasy points to opposing running backs than any other team active in Week 9. And right now, Ahmad Bradshaw is running on a peg leg. Jacobs is an outstanding play. Start him with full confidence.

Direct all emails to Andy Behrens if Jacobs bombs this week. Check out the rest of the article for a plethora of stats.


Fantasy Stat Breakdown: Lucky Number Seven(teen)

- The Rams ended a 17 game losing streak by scoring 17 points against the Lions. Rams' QB Marc Bulger completed 17 passes, including three to Steven Jackson for 17 yards.  The Rams are now 1-7.

- Donovan McNabb hasn't thrown a TD pass against an AFC team this season

- Miami's Joey Haynos became the fifth Dolphin to catch a TD pass this year. All five of them only have a single touchdown.

- San Francisco's Alex Smith has thrown for over 235 yards only twice in his career.  The last time was Sept 24, 2006.

- T.J. Houshmandzadeh is averaging less than 55 receiving yards per game.

- If your league scores QBs for each 25 passing yards, then you love Dallas QB Tony Romo.  This season he's squeaked out an extra point by throwing for 255, 255, 256, 351 and 353 yards in games this season.

- Derek Anderson has a total of 320 passing yards in the last four games.  Peyton Manning topped that himself with 347 passing yards this week alone.

- Before Sunday, Matt Schaub had a touchdown pass in six straight games.

- The Broncos have only a single 100 yard rushing performance and a single 100 yard receiving performance this year. Before the season you wouldn't have expected that. You really wouldn't have expected that those two guys would be Correll Buckhalter and Tony Scheffler.

- In his last two games, Drew Brees has more interceptions (4) than touchdowns (3)

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