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Do Not Seek BCS Chaos, As It Is Upon You

Today the prevailing thought when it comes to the national-championship-type game arranged by the BCS this year is "boy, isn't the BCS lucky Texas kicked that field goal."Without said field goal, Texas descends from its lofty peak and the second bid in the national title game falls to Cincinnati or TCU, and one team spends the offseason as the new Utah. Another senator takes time off from whatever it is that senators do to stump for his local college football team, etc. The Texas win apparently destroys all complaints,since it's just obvious Texas should go.

A simple question: why? BCS computers have been notoriously erratic ever since they removed the margin of victory component, but if it was up to them Cincinnati would be Alabama's opponent. Four of the six computer polls rank the Bearcats above the Longhorns, and one of the dissenters is Richard Billingsley's notoriously stupid, consistently outlying poll that places extreme weight on Billingsley's arbitrary preseason rankings.

And it's not like the computers are obviously wrong. Texas's nonconference schedule was UL-Monroe, Wyoming, UTEP and UCF. Cincinnati had I-AA SEMO and a game against MAC tomato can Miami, but then took on Fresno State and Illinois at home and Pac-10 contender Oregon State on the road.Meanwhile, the Big 12 was terrible this year. Sagarin actually rates the Big East above the Big 12. There is a credible case that Cincinnati has more meat on its resume.

Sagarin also rates Texas's schedule more difficult and puts the Longhorns well above Cincinnati in his "predictor" rankings that take scoring margin into account, so it's not like the Bearcats area slam dunk when it comes to the numbers. That's not the point, though:the point is that an undefeated BCS conference team from a league better than the Big 12 this year is getting passed over in favor of a better name. There's absolutely nothing that definitively stakes Texas to a better resume than Cincinnati. This is unlike LSU's two-loss national title season, when LSU's blowout of top-10 Virginia Tech gave them a trump card and uncontroversial passage into the crystal football game.These are two nearly identical undefeated teams. By rights, there should be rioting and blood in the streets, and there would be if you gave Penn State or Ohio State or Miami or virtually any other team with cachet the exact same resume Cincinnati has.

Don't be fooled by the helmets: for the ninth time in 12 years,the BCS system has failed to construct an uncontroversial championship game, and this time it's leaving out three undefeated teams with at least somewhat credible claims for a shot. Burn it down.

This post originally appeared on the Sporting Blog. For more, see The Sporting Blog Archives.

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I’ll I know is TCU vs Alabama would have been the best game.The SEC didn’t want either TCU or Bosie St to play Florida and do a Utah on them again….Corruption….

by SailorGabe on Dec 7, 2009 4:04 PM EST reply actions  

The  concept of voting/ranking teams is absurd to begin with,but to determine which 2 teams play for the "championship"  rises to the level of insanity.The exact same voters who annointed Bama & Texas are the ones who had Florida ranked #1 the entire regular season,how’d that work out? I’m finding it harder and harder to even watch college football anymore.

by goblueman on Dec 7, 2009 4:32 PM EST reply actions  

Do everything just like they do now… but, if there’s any question of who’s #1 after the bowls, they should decide it XFL style by just throwing a ball and having two meanest blacks on either team fight for it.

by L'etat, c'est moi on Dec 7, 2009 6:06 PM EST reply actions  

The BCS supposed best quality is putting quality teams year after year matched up against foes of equal nature.
The schedule teams play and their results dictate matchups.
Couple blips.
Texas played an overvalued competition as the season marched on and were given the championship spot by virtue of not receiving one last year.
Continuity seems to play a roll in every pre-season ranking.
Question: If that were the case, why is unbeaten in consecutive seasons Boise State (winners over pac 10 champion Oregon) Impressive TCU that returned to the poinsettia bowl in 2008. the underrated #11 Frogs defeated unbeaten #9 Boise State (undefeated Boise St.) 17-16 in what many described as the bowl that should have been a BCS game
and a Cincinatti team that has played impressive competition.

why are teams like Notre Dame, Ohio State, Florida given top rankings based on their recruiting classes and history when OO-BCS conference teams or the undervalued Big East getting shafted.

Though no aged voter will likely endorse this in the AP, if the Alabama-Texas game is so equal. Give the AP championship based on the team who has the largest margin of victory between the 3 notorious games.

by NucksGM on Dec 7, 2009 8:11 PM EST reply actions  

Burn it down indeed. If you go undefeated in a BCS conference with a stronger schedule than at least 1 of the other 2 undefeated BCS schools it seems pretty obvious you should be there. But we all know it’s about money and pay to play essentially. Everyone is getting paid but the players who amount to indentured servants at this point.
At least at Cincinnati 75% of student athletes graduate and get a degree out of the deal, a much higher percentage than any other program currently ranked in the top 10.
Go Bearcats! 

by Ivesdale on Dec 7, 2009 11:52 PM EST reply actions  

Putting an emphasise on preseason rankinigs is the problem.  The sports writers and coaches are biased because there human.  They will vote Florida or Alabama #1 year after year. Then it’s theres to lose.  Florida has 1 top 20 win. Exactly 1.  They occupied the #1 spot for the entire season with the exception of a few weeks when Alabama held the spot.

by secoverrated on Dec 8, 2009 10:45 AM EST reply actions  

TCU’s SOS = 75
Cinn.‘s SOS = 42
TEXAS’ SOS = 30

The media and sourpuss fans can say what they want about “stronger schedules” but the fact is that you obviously don’t know any facts. Three great seasons for three teams, but to say that Texas doesn’t belong is just bogus. Look past your homer blinders and look at the numbers. This BS argument has gotten old three days ago. Get over it, and hope that your respected teams win there bowl games.

by HORNEDMONSTER on Dec 8, 2009 12:04 PM EST reply actions  

PEnnn State graduation rate 85%

by aubbie on Dec 8, 2009 2:16 PM EST reply actions  

Penn State graduation rate 85%. Sorry about the Typo.Obvious I didn’t didn’t graduate!

by aubbie on Dec 8, 2009 2:18 PM EST reply actions  

There will never be any selection process without controversy.  Cook, why don’t you quit your knee jerk, mantra/paradigm driven whining and just deal with it?  A playoff system would be monumentally stupid, but most people won’t understand that until it’s way too late to go back.  And if it ever does happen (God forbid), the media idiots hyping it the most now will be the ones who most conveniently will forget that the bed they will lie on is the one they made.

by XofDallas on Dec 8, 2009 4:13 PM EST reply actions  

Texas or Cincinnati or TCU or Boise State?  Given that Florida is the only undefeated team with a good SoS, there is no way out of the nightmare scenario.

You mention Billingsley, but why does Colley rank Texas ahead of Cincinnati?  A clue is on this page.

by corona79 on Dec 8, 2009 4:19 PM EST reply actions  

lol, and another thing.  Let’s suppose Nebraska had won the Big 12 Championship game.

TCU would play Alabama in the BCS Championship game.  Cincinnati would play either Boise State, Florida or Texas in another of the BCS games.  Cincinnati and Boise State would bitch about not being in the BCS game, you and everyone else would continue your pathetic screaming for a playoff system, and… so what?  The BCS system STILL would have done exactly what it was designed to do. 

Think about it this way – when the Arizona Cardinals wound up in the Superbowl, a lot of commentators started talking about how the NFL regular season holds much less meaning than it used to.  You have teams like the Colts basically resting players for the playoffs, not caring really whether they win or lose games, etc.

I really do not want to see that ever happen to College ball.  

by XofDallas on Dec 8, 2009 4:20 PM EST reply actions  

Everyone screams that Texas is getting in only because of its pre-season ranking and name brand etc. Well….I completely agree with that and to a certain extent don’t think its such a bad thing. Outside of head to head performance, there has to be some way to decide these things. If TCU/Cincy/Boise/Utah keep putting up big seasons and beat a few big name schools (ie Boise > OU and Utah > Bama), they’ll start getting the benefit of the doubt and also start out higher at beginning of year. As it is now, Texas had a pretty good claim to last year’s game, and went undefeated through the Big 12 (while lacking firepower at top a much more balanced conference than last year). What I’m saying is that when in doubt, pedigree, historical performance and pre-season ranking can help make a little bit of order out of chaos. Also considering the reality that the bowls are about maximizing revenue, it’s natural that the ncaa (as well as the bowls themselves) will lean toward marquee, name brands.That said, I’d love to see an 8 team playoff this year. Good luck TCU Cincy etc and congrats on a great year!Hook ’em!

by fareastlonghorn on Dec 8, 2009 4:58 PM EST reply actions  

Just one problem, that two loss LSU team that seemed like such a slam dunk because they beat a top ten Virginia Tech team at the beggining of the season thing…  Did they not leapfrog a two loss OU team that destroyed the number two ranked team in the country at the end of the season?  You’re argument does’nt hold water, media members who were convinced that LSU was the most deserving lobbied to get that matchup, and it worked.  Don’t slam the computers, rather slam the two biased easily manipulated human polls for BCS ignorance.  Having seen all of the top teams play TCU would seem to be the closest thing to a slam dunk pairing for Bama.  They have pretty muched taken care of buisness all year, they did’nt have to find a way to sneak out of any game with a win.  Boise is scary as well, I’d have said Cinci would be a good matchup as well but with all of the Brian Kelly to Notra Dame talk that could sink the Bearcats chances.  I’m more upset at the lack of testicular fotitude that was evident when Boise and TCU were paired against each other.  Why not grow a set and let one play Florida and one play Cinci?  Should Cinci show up to play against Florida the Gators might be wishing they’d have been playing one of others (the Bearcats when on their game are scary good, think Bama but with a potent offense!).  Who knows…  And what about Iowa against whoever they’re playing in the Orange???  If these are the top level, dream matchups the BCS promised then I’ll pass.

by BradEz1 on Dec 8, 2009 10:37 PM EST reply actions  

what will interest me… if cinn plays florida close or wins the sugar bowl… basically returning most of the team with two very important players leaving, pike and mardy… but with a proven very good backup being a soph and a transfer wr from usc becoming eligible … was ranked in the top 10 of his position as a hs recruit..will be the ranking of cinn in next yrs preseason poll… last two seasons end with a top 20 and top 25 ranking… won the conference… ranked 33 in the preseason…these are same people that make up the human polls that greatly influence who is chosen to play in the title game…. and that is scary

by mkbar on Dec 9, 2009 9:53 AM EST reply actions  

XofDallas- would you be so kind to explain exactly how a playoff would be "monumentally stupid"?  Your one example of the Colts resting players is comparing apples to toothpaste.  College and pros have completely different dynamics.  In case you forgot, each NFL division only has 4 teams, so to get into the playoffs you have to better than just 3 other teams.  How many teams do college conferences (hint, some of them even have the number in their name.  Careful, though, one of them tries to trick you!).

So if you can come up with any compelling reason why a popularity poll is better than proving it on the field, please stuff it.  And no, interfering with school work doen’t count, saying team #9 or #17 will whine doesn’t count, saying it degrades the bowls doesn’t count.  None of those have to do with proving who is the top team.  Or should we get rid of basketball’s tourney, also?

by bryan1945 on Dec 9, 2009 11:55 AM EST reply actions  

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