If Boise State And Fresno State Know What's Good For Them, They'll Abandon The WAC

↵Boise State is currently the No. 5 team in the national polls after an ↵opening week shiv-job against Oregon, which has earned them some BCS ↵Championship Game hype after Utah got stiffed last year and subsequently ↵hammered Alabama. Despite that, Tony Barnhart is right when he suggests ↵that Boise doesn't have the schedule to surpass any one-loss BCS ↵conference team even if they finish the season undefeated. I mean, look ↵at this: ↵

↵
↵⇥Here are the 12 Division I-A teams on the Boise State schedule for ↵⇥2009. The Broncos have a 13th game against UC-Davis, a ↵⇥Division I-AA team. The teams are listed in order of ranking from a poll ↵⇥on CBSSports.com which ranks all the Division I-A teams 1-120. ↵⇥
↵⇥
↵⇥Oregon--21 ↵⇥
↵⇥Tulsa--67 ↵⇥
↵⇥Fresno State--69 ↵⇥
↵⇥La. Tech--76 ↵⇥
↵⇥Hawaii--79 ↵⇥
↵⇥Bowling Green--80 ↵⇥
↵⇥Idaho--83 ↵⇥
↵⇥Nevada--89 ↵⇥
↵⇥New Mexico State--103 ↵⇥
↵⇥San Jose State--107 ↵⇥
↵⇥Utah State--114 ↵⇥
↵⇥Miami (Ohio)--118 ↵
↵

↵You can quibble with the deployment of an opinion poll this early in ↵the season -- opinion polls aren't doing so hot at reflecting things that ↵happen between the sidelines so far -- but the larger point is that the WAC ↵is going to have a hugely losing record against BCS conferences, and the ↵remainder of Boise's schedule is Oregon and some bad MAC/CUSA/Sun Belt ↵teams. The profile of Boise's schedule won't be much different in Week ↵15 than it is now. There are going to be two-loss teams with better ↵resumes than a hypothetically undefeated Boise State. ↵

↵

↵How is Boise ever going to get out of this? They're not. They can't ↵make San Jose State into a program worth beating. The WAC remains one ↵dominant team that's established itself as a relevant program on a national stage, ↵one interesting program that might pull off an upset here or there and ↵a bunch of programs that will never find themselves anything more than ↵doormats. Maybe you could throw Hawaii in as a program that's ↵potentially interesting every once in a while, but after that, Boise's ↵schedule is a collection of schools that would finish dead last in any ↵BCS conference not containing Washington State. ↵

↵

↵Just next door, the Mountain West has three programs (BYU, Utah and ↵TCU) that have established themselves as serious threats to BCS programs. ↵If Boise could just get into the Mountain West and drag one or two of ↵its stronger compatriots along, then we're talking about a conference ↵that would at least have an argument for the BCS auto-bid that the Big ↵East is currently in tenuous possession of. This might kill Boise's ↵treasured rivalry with Idaho -- which Boise has won 10 straight times ↵by at least two touchdowns -- but there's no other downside. Boise's only ↵lost more than one game twice since 2002. They've clearly outgrown their ↵current situation. It's time to move on up to the Mountain West ↵side. ↵

↵

This post originally appeared on the Sporting Blog. For more, see The Sporting Blog Archives.

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