2011 NFL Draft Order: Carolina Panthers Have Firm Grip On No. 1 Pick

With only two games left for each team to play in the NFL's 2010 regular season, the 2011 NFL Draft order is starting to take shape. The Panthers appear to be a near-lock for the No. 1 overall pick -- they currently have a 95% chance of securing the top selection. Based on remaining strength of schedule, and tiebreakers, the Broncos have a better chance of getting the second pick than the Bengals, despite both teams having the same record currently. From there, it is a series of variables and tiebreakers, but if the season ending today, this is what the 2011 draft order would be. (To determine tiebreakers, we used the projected strength of schedule for each team):

  1. Carolina (2-12)
  2. Denver (3-11)
  3. Cincinnati (3-11)
  4. Arizona (4-10)
  5. Detroit (4-10)
  6. Buffalo (4-10)
  7. San Francisco (5-9)
  8. Washington (5-9)
  9. Dallas (5-9)
  10. Houston (5-9)
  11. Cleveland (5-9)
  12. Seattle (6-8)
  13. Tennessee (6-8)
  14. Minnesota (5-8)**
  15. New England - from Oakland (7-7)
  16. Miami (7-7)
  17. San Diego (8-6)
  18. Jacksonville (8-6)
  19. Tampa Bay (8-6)
  20. Green Bay (8-6)
  21. St. Louis* (6-8)
  22. Indianapolis* (8-6)
  23. Kansas City* (9-5)
  24. Chicago* (9-4)**
  25. New York Giants* (10-4)
  26. New York Jets* (10-4)
  27. Baltimore* (10-4)
  28. New Orleans* (10-4)
  29. Philadelphia* (10-4)
  30. Pittsburgh* (10-4)
  31. Atlanta* (12-2)
  32. New England* (12-2)

One asterisk denotes a team currently in the playoffs. The draft order for those teams will depend on how they do in the postseason. Two asterisks means the team is yet to play its Week 15 game.

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