FanPost

Drafttek 7 rounds as per YOUR needs

So after Steve_Chiefs posted a 7-rounder from Drafttek here based on his own Chiefs picks, I became interested in how the picks were generated.  I thought that the idea of a more professional, unbiased, automated draft sounded interesting.  So I looked at how it was set up.  They have 32 people there that provide the "need" rating for their team, that in concert with their player ratings creates the draft.  But I found I disagreed with their need ratings more than the player ratings.  They have Indy as the most likely team to reach for a need.  Several times.  Pittsburgh with a demand for a center.  The Jets with zero need for a WR despite the fact that both starters are free agents.  Numerous ratings seem to have been based on this season's injury issues, as if none of the injured players were ever going to play again.

So I went back through this site to find the team needs that you have posted.  The division team needs fanposts were very useful for half of the teams, as was the 32-team QB analysis fanpost.  I completely rewrote the drafttek need chart.  I tried to defer to BPA more than need, creating almost a two-tiered system where several positions were listed as strong needs and several were listed as lesser needs.  The result is below.  In general, for those do not know the system, the CRI of P1 represents the strongest need, decreasing in intensity to P6.  I only had one P1 (Arizona QB).  The delta numbers reflect how far the player has been picked from where drafttek has them on their big board.  The higher the need rating, the further down the big board they will look for the position.

The needs ratings are absent for rounds 5+.  I found that some computer error mangled the needs ratings beyond recognition.  Rounds 5 & 6 I had to heavily manually modify because of this.  Drafttek really wanted NE to pick 2+ TEs again this year.  They also gave me a lot of problems with Cincy every time I ran the mock.  Biased programming?  I used their rankings of players, except for QB where I exercised a little discretion.  They have Kaepernick rated very high, I had to work to move him back a little, I stuck him with NE because they have a zillion picks and can afford the chance.  They have RBs and ILBs rated higher than most people want them, so some teams got those positions earlier than they wanted.  Interior O-line and CBs were rated lowly, so many teams that had those wants missed out on them.  Beyond the usuals  in rounds 1 & 2, they had few CBs with mid-round ratings.

I edited the position labels a little to show why I found those players acceptable in their spots.  The drafttek site draft can separate LT from RT, but the public one cannot.  One of several features they use but the public cannot.  I also found it very annoying you cannot save anything, so my edited needs chart is gone.  I won't be doing this again.  Drafftek is a great concept, but needs more finishing touches on the programming level and better sources for rating team needs.

 

Round Pick Team Selection Psn School CRI Delta ReachValue
1 1 Carolina Andrew Luck QB Stanford P1 0 Value
1 2 Cincinnati A.J. Green WR Georgia P3 -6 Reach
1 3 Denver Nick Fairley DE34 Auburn P2 1 Value
1 4 Detroit Prince Amukamara CB Nebraska P3 1 Value
1 5 Buffalo Robert Quinn OLB34 North Carolina P3 -4 Reach
1 6 Arizona Patrick Peterson CB LSU P3 -1 Reach
1 7 Dallas Da'Quan Bowers DE34 Clemson P3 3 Value
1 8 Tennessee Bruce Carter OLB43 North Carolina P2 -3 Reach
1 9 San Francisco Marcell Dareus DE34 Alabama P3 3 Value
1 10 Washington Cameron Newton QB Auburn P3 -2 Reach
1 11 Cleveland Julio Jones WR Alabama P1 -4 Reach
1 12 Houston Brandon Harris CB Miami (FL) P3 -10 Reach
1 13 Seattle Derek Sherrod RT Mississippi State P3 3 Value
1 14 Minnesota Akeem Ayers OLB43 UCLA P6 -4 Reach
1 15 St Louis Cameron Jordan DE43 California P3 2 Value
1 16 New England Anthony Castonzo LT Boston College P3 2 Value
1 17 Miami Mark Ingram RB Alabama P2 12 Value
1 18 Indianapolis DeMarcus Love LT Arkansas P3 -3 Reach
1 19 Kansas City Justin Blackmon WR Oklahoma State P2 -1 Reach
1 20 San Diego Von Miller OLB34 Texas A&M P3 -6 Reach
1 21 Tampa Bay Ryan Kerrigan DE43 Purdue P2 -10 Reach
1 22 Jacksonville Janoris Jenkins CB Florida P3 -11 Reach
1 23 Green Bay Justin Houston OLB34 Georgia P2 -6 Reach
1 24 Chicago Gabe Carimi OT Wisconsin P3 -6 Reach
1 25 NY Giants Greg Jones OLB43 Michigan State P3 2 Value
1 26 NY Jets Adrian Clayborn DE34 Iowa P2 10 Value
1 27 Philadelphia Marcus Cannon OG TCU P2 -8 Reach
1 28 Baltimore Michael Floyd WR Notre Dame P3 -8 Reach
1 29 New Orleans J.J. Watt LDE43 Wisconsin P3 4 Value
1 30 Pittsburgh Stephen Paea NT Oregon State P3 2 Value
1 31 Atlanta Kyle Rudolph TE Notre Dame P3 14 Value
1 32 New England Stefen Wisniewski OG/OC Penn State P3 -2 Reach
2 33 New England Cameron Heyward DE34 Ohio State P3 -6 Reach
2 34 Cincinnati Ryan Mallett QB Arkansas P4 10 Value
2 35 Denver Corey Liuget NT Illinois P2 -13 Reach
2 36 Detroit Jason Pinkston OG Pittsburgh P2 -1 Reach
2 37 Buffalo Nate Solder OT Colorado P3 -10 Reach
2 38 Arizona Jake Locker QB Washington P1 -39 Reach
2 39 Dallas Ahmad Black FS Florida P3 1 Value
2 40 Tennessee Jimmy Smith CB Colorado P2 -11 Reach
2 41 San Francisco Ryan Broyles WRslot Oklahoma P5 -3 Reach
2 42 Washington Allen Bailey DE34 Miami (FL) P3 -1 Reach
2 43 Cleveland Kendall Hunter RBC Oklahoma State P4 1 Value
2 44 Houston Travis Lewis OLB43 Oklahoma P4 12 Value
2 45 Seattle Rodney Hudson OG Florida State P3 -13 Reach
2 46 Minnesota Mark Barron S Alabama P2 -10 Reach
2 47 St Louis Drake Nevis DT43 LSU P3 7 Value
2 48 Oakland Jake Kirkpatrick OC TCU P3 -7 Reach
2 49 Denver Mikel LeShoure RB Illinois P4 30 Value
2 50 Indianapolis Shane Vereen RB California P4 23 Value
2 51 Kansas City Jerrell Powe NT Mississippi P3 -16 Reach
2 52 San Diego Torrey Smith WR Maryland P3 -2 Reach
2 53 Tampa Bay Quan Sturdivant OLB43 North Carolina P3 4 Value
2 54 Jacksonville Tyler Sash FS Iowa P3 -3 Reach
2 55 Green Bay Orlando Franklin OT Miami (FL) P2 -11 Reach
2 56 Chicago Brandon Burton CB Utah P5 -6 Reach
2 57 NY Giants Davon House CB New Mexico State P3 -22 Reach
2 58 NY Jets Jonathan Baldwin WR Pittsburgh P3 -7 Reach
2 59 Philadelphia Aaron Williams CB Texas P2 -25 Reach
2 60 Baltimore Brian Lainhart S Kent State P4 -12 Reach
2 61 New Orleans Mason Foster OLB43 Washington P3 -7 Reach
2 62 Pittsburgh Matt Reynolds RT BYU P3 -14 Reach
2 63 Atlanta Leonard Hankerson WR Miami (FL) P3 -12 Reach
2 64 New England Jeremy Beal OLB34 Oklahoma P4 -5 Reach
3 65 Carolina Sione Fua DT43 Stanford P3 -8 Reach
3 66 Cincinnati Marvin Austin DT43 North Carolina P3 -22 Reach
3 67 Denver D.J. Williams TE Arkansas P4 22 Value
3 68 Detroit Martez Wilson LB Illinois P4 27 Value
3 69 Buffalo Pat Devlin QB Delaware P3 -33 Reach
3 70 Arizona Aldon Smith OLB34 Missouri P3 -20 Reach
3 71 Dallas Benjamin Ijalana OG Villanova P3 -21 Reach
3 72 Tennessee Lance Kendricks TE Wisconsin P3 12 Value
3 73 San Francisco Christian Ponder QB Florida State P3 -21 Reach
3 74 Washington Dontay Moch OLB34 Nevada P3 0 Value
3 75 Cleveland Christian Ballard DE34 Iowa P2 -11 Reach
3 76 Houston Rahim Moore FS UCLA P3 -22 Reach
3 77 San Diego Curtis Brown CB Texas P3 -35 Reach
3 78 New England Ryan Williams RB Virginia Tech P6 32 Value
3 79 St Louis Austin Pettis WR Boise State P2 -4 Reach
3 80 Oakland Mike Pouncey OG Florida P3 -5 Reach
3 81 Miami Kristofer O'Dowd OC USC P2 -13 Reach
3 82 Indianapolis Ras-I Dowling FS/CB Virginia P4 -14 Reach
3 83 Kansas City Tim Barnes OC Missouri P3 -30 Reach
3 84 San Diego James Carpenter RT Alabama P4 2 Value
3 85 Tampa Bay Danny Watkins OG Baylor P3 -22 Reach
3 86 Jacksonville Colin McCarthy MLB Miami (FL) P6 34 Value
3 87 Green Bay Andy Dalton QB TCU P5 16 Value
3 88 Chicago Stephen Schilling OG Michigan P3 -30 Reach
3 89 NY Giants Joseph Barksdale OT LSU P5 -28 Reach
3 90 San Diego Jared Crick DE34 Nebraska P4 0 Value
3 91 Philadelphia Tank Carder OLB43 TCU P4 32 Value
3 92 Baltimore Chimdi Chekwa CB Ohio State P3 -28 Reach
3 93 New Orleans Jordan Todman RB Connecticut P5 40 Value
3 94 Pittsburgh Courtney Upshaw ILB Alabama P6 30 Value
3 95 Atlanta Tyron Smith LT USC P3 -7 Reach
3 96 New England Colin Kaepernick QB/WR Nevada P6 46 Value
4 97 Carolina Dwayne Harris WR East Carolina P3 -8 Reach
4 98 Cincinnati DeAndre McDaniel FS Clemson P4 -3 Reach
4 99 Seattle Johnny Patrick CB Louisville P3 -46 Reach
4 100 Detroit Mark Herzlich OLB43 Boston College P3 -4 Reach
4 101 Buffalo Luke Stocker TE Tennessee P3 38 Value
4 102 Arizona Lee Ziemba OT Auburn P3 -24 Reach
4 103 Dallas Curt Porter RT Jacksonville State P3 -39 Reach
4 104 Tennessee Brandon Fusco OC Slippery Rock P3 -26 Reach
4 105 San Francisco Jabaal Sheard OLB34 Pittsburgh P3 -4 Reach
4 106 Philadelphia DeMarco Murray RB Oklahoma P6 45 Value
4 107 Cleveland Sam Acho OLB34 Texas P3 -15 Reach
4 108 Houston Kendrick Ellis DT43 Hampton P6 11 Value
4 109 Buffalo Don'ta Hightower ILB Alabama P5 19 Value
4 110 Minnesota John Moffitt OG/OC Wisconsin P3 -33 Reach
4 111 St Louis Nate Irving OLB43 North Carolina State P3 -4 Reach
4 112 Oakland Jurrell Casey DT43 USC P4 -20 Reach
4 113 Miami Dejon Gomes FS Nebraska P6 4 Value
4 114 Indianapolis Jarvis Jenkins DT43 Clemson P3 -22 Reach
4 115 Kansas City Titus Young WR Boise State P6 -1 Reach
4 116 San Francisco Shareece Wright CB USC P3 -41 Reach
4 117 Tampa Bay Noel Devine RBC West Virginia P6 26 Value
4 118 Jacksonville Ronald Johnson WR USC P4 -9 Reach
4 119 Green Bay Daniel Thomas RB Kansas State P4 47 Value
4 120 Chicago Devier Posey WR Ohio State P5 -19 Reach
4 121 NY Giants Quinton Carter FS Oklahoma P4 0 Value
4 122 NY Jets Lavonte David SS Nebraska P4 44 Value
4 123 Philadelphia Rob Housler TE Florida Atlantic P6 9 Value
4 124 Baltimore Kai Forbath PK UCLA P6 21 Value
4 125 Jacksonville Kevin Kowalski OC Toledo P3 -41 Reach
4 126 Pittsburgh Lawrence Guy DE34 Arizona State P6 -7 Reach
4 127 Atlanta Jerrel Jernigan WRslot Troy P6 28 Value
4 128 New England Andrew Rich S BYU P6 -1 Reach
5 129 Carolina Alfonzo Dennard CB Nebraska
-42 Reach
5 130 Cincinnati Adam Grant RT Arizona
-24 Reach
5 131 Tampa Bay Kelvin Sheppard LB LSU
44 Value
5 132 Detroit Vincent Brown WR San Diego State
-18 Reach
5 133 Buffalo Owen Marecic FB/ILB Stanford
52 Value
5 134 Arizona Josh Bynes ILB Auburn
9 Value
5 135 Dallas Chase Minnefield CB Virginia
-64 Reach
5 136 Tennessee Ricky Stanzi QB Iowa
-13 Reach
5 137 San Francisco Johnny Brown FS Mississippi
-19 Reach
5 138 Washington Derrick Locke RBC Kentucky
32 Value
5 139 Cleveland Chris Hairston RT Clemson
-16 Reach
5 140 Houston Randall Cobb WRslot Kentucky
17 Value
5 141 Seattle Pernell McPhee LDE43 Mississippi State
-6 Reach
5 142 Minnesota Konrad Reuland TE Stanford
23 Value
5 143 St Louis Jeff Demps RB Florida
43 Value
5 144 Oakland Taylor Potts QB Texas Tech
-4 Reach
5 145 Miami Anthony Gray NT Southern Miss
-17 Reach
5 146 Indianapolis Clint Boling OG/RT Georgia
-42 Reach
5 147 Kansas City Wayne Daniels OLB34 TCU
13 Value
5 148 Philadelphia Mike Hartline QB Kentucky
-18 Reach
5 149 Tampa Bay Zane Taylor OC Utah
-55 Reach
5 150 Jacksonville Quinton Coples DE43 North Carolina
-14 Reach
5 151 Green Bay Casey Matthews ILB Oregon
13 Value
5 152 Chicago Ross Homan OLB43 Ohio State
-1 Reach
5 153 Minnesota Marcus Gilchrist CB Clemson
-58 Reach
5 154 NY Jets Preston Dial TE Alabama
10 Value
5 155 Philadelphia Zach Hurd OG Connecticut
-43 Reach
5 156 Seattle Graig Cooper RB Miami (FL)
19 Value
5 157 New Orleans Greg Romeus DE43 Pittsburgh
-22 Reach
5 158 Pittsburgh Colin Jones S TCU
-3 Reach
5 159 Atlanta Matt Bosher PK Miami (FL)
24 Value
5 160 New England Donnie Fletcher CB Boston College
-63 Reach
6 161 Carolina Stephen Good OG Oklahoma
-49 Reach
6 162 Cincinnati Vince Browne DE43 Northwestern
-11 Reach
6 163 Cleveland Mike McNeill TE Nebraska
11 Value
6 164 Seattle Mike Blanc DT43 Auburn
1 Value
6 165 Buffalo Edmund Gates WR Abilene Christian
-4 Reach
6 166 Arizona Zach Pianalto TE North Carolina
-4 Reach
6 167 Dallas Jacquizz Rodgers RB Oregon State
43 Value
6 168 Tennessee Jeremy Kerley WRslot TCU
37 Value
6 169 San Francisco Rashad Carmichael CB Virginia Tech
-63 Reach
6 170 Washington Harold Ayodele NT Emporia State
-14 Reach
6 171 Cleveland Jeremy Kellem FS Middle Tennessee
-20 Reach
6 172 Houston Nate Potter OT/OG Boise State
4 Value
6 173 San Francisco Marcus Gilbert OG/OT Florida
-9 Reach
6 174 Minnesota Cecil Shorts III WR Mount Union
-8 Reach
6 175 St Louis Greg McElroy QB Alabama
-8 Reach
6 176 Oakland Elijah Joseph OLB43 Temple
16 Value
6 177 Miami Brandon Weeden QB Oklahoma State
-18 Reach
6 178 Indianapolis DeAngelo Tyson DT43 Georgia
-13 Reach
6 179 Kansas City Nathan Enderle QB Idaho
-52 Reach
6 180 San Diego Chris White ILB Mississippi State
40 Value
6 181 Tampa Bay Brooks Reed DE43 Arizona
-4 Reach
6 182 Jacksonville Kendric Burney CB North Carolina
-76 Reach
6 183 Green Bay Greg Little WR North Carolina
-20 Reach
6 184 Chicago Alex Linnenkohl OC Oregon State
-62 Reach
6 185 NY Giants Stanley Havili FB USC
90 Value
6 186 NY Jets Mike Mohamed ILB California
40 Value
6 187 Detroit Davonte Shannon S Buffalo
-13 Reach
6 188 Baltimore James Brewer RT Indiana
1 Value
6 189 New England Lee Smith TE Marshall
9 Value
6 190 Pittsburgh Ryan Van Bergen DE34 Michigan
13 Value
6 191 Atlanta Nigel Bradham OLB43 Florida State
10 Value
6 192 Denver Alex Wujciak ILB Maryland
18 Value
7 193 Carolina Justin Boren OG Ohio State
-37 Reach
7 194 Cincinnati Mario Fannin RB Auburn
43 Value
7 195 Denver Matt Conrath DE34 Virginia
-9 Reach
7 196 Detroit Pierre Allen DE43 Nebraska
-25 Reach
7 197 Buffalo Bryant Browning OG Ohio State
-50 Reach
7 198 Arizona Scott Lutrus ILB Connecticut
23 Value
7 199 Dallas Ryan Bartholomew OC Syracuse
-68 Reach
7 200 Tennessee Deunta Williams S North Carolina
-6 Reach
7 201 San Francisco Jamie Harper RB Clemson
60 Value
7 202 Washington Jason Kelce OC Cincinnati
-78 Reach
7 203 Cleveland Michael Egnew TE Missouri
14 Value
7 204 Houston Chris Carter OLB43 Fresno State
12 Value
7 205 Seattle Tyrod Taylor QB Virginia Tech
-6 Reach
7 206 Minnesota Rob McGill OT Louisiana Tech
-32 Reach
7 207 St Louis Delone Carter RB Syracuse
40 Value
7 208 Oakland Lawrence Wilson OLB43 Connecticut
-9 Reach
7 209 Miami Greg Salas WR Hawaii
-11 Reach
7 210 Indianapolis Collin Franklin TE Iowa State
5 Value
7 211 Kansas City Chris L. Rucker CB Michigan State
-30 Reach
7 212 San Diego Ben Thayer TE Eastern Michigan
-3 Reach
7 213 Tampa Bay Will Hill FS Florida
-11 Reach
7 214 Jacksonville Keith Williams OG Nebraska
-123 Reach
7 215 Green Bay James Rodgers WRslot Oregon State
18 Value
7 216 Chicago Kheeston Randall DT43 Texas
-12 Reach
7 217 NY Giants Alex Henery PK Nebraska
27 Value
7 218 NY Jets Derek Wolfe DE34 Cincinnati
-19 Reach
7 219 Philadelphia Mario Butler CB Georgia Tech
-57 Reach
7 220 Baltimore Eddie Jones OLB34 Texas
18 Value
7 221 New Orleans Tydreke Powell DT43 North Carolina
-23 Reach
7 222 Pittsburgh Chris Culliver CB/S Idaho
-48 Reach
7 223 Atlanta Chris Galippo LB USC
15 Value
7 224 New England Chase Beeler OC Stanford
-61 Reach

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