Updated throughout the day with quick takes from staff.
Unless you're a journalist covering Michigan, Signing Day is a day of hope and joy. It's a very wobbly, indeterminate day of hope and joy, but what are you going to do, not care at all? Maybe if you're a communist. It's usually all sunniness and joy, so how about some grim doom?
What follows is one man's potentially inaccurate and laughable attempt at identifying the teams that should be most disappointed with their recruiting hauls this year. It's based on my vast, moderately disturbing knowledge of the recruiting scene and national rankings from Scout, Rivals, and ESPN.
First, an exclusion to explain:
On with the preposterously hasty DOOM:
5. Ohio State. This is more DOOM in a national sense than a regional one: Ohio State still brought in the second-best class in the Big Ten after Penn State. (Some services rank Michigan higher, but Michigan brought in 27 kids to Ohio State's 18.) After two years of recruiting at a USC or Florida level, Ohio State took a steep drop this offseason despite their Rose Bowl breakthrough, losing out on a trio of highly-touted offensive line commits on Signing Day and striking out on the top four kids in the state of Ohio. Given OSU's last two classes, they're not exactly headed for the Alamo Bowl, but a future national championship game might have disappointingly familiar results because of events from this January.
4. Cincinnati. This is not a huge surprise, since Brian Kelly exited stage left, but Cinci's class is 74th in Rivals star rating and saw several defections to Notre Dame and other schools. They finished just ahead of Washington State and behind SMU and Memphis. They did pick up spectacularly-named QB Munchie Legaux in a late signing-day switch, but the payoff for UC was exceedingly meager given their season. Without Brian Kelly around to make quarterbacks magically delicious, a return to Car Care and Tire bowls beckons.
3. Minnesota. Like our upcoming #1 school of DOOM, the entire point of Minnesota's head coach is that he can recruit, and he can't even do that, really. Minnesota pulled in two-four star recruits, suffered through eleven decommitments, and failed to get Seantrel Henderson despite offering his extremely marginal best friend JD Pride.
2. Miami. A Miami class with 28 commitments in it that has two more four stars than two stars is mindblowing, even given the 'Canes current middling status. Making things worse are the classes of Miami's two primary in-state rivals, which owned.
Miami picked up one top 100 recruit. It is in Florida. This is a very bad sign. Even worse: Baylor(!) is a notch ahead of them in star average on Rivals.
1. Illinois. Doctor Saturday covered this in detail today. In sum: this is Zook's worst class ever, with one four star, and his best class ever just exited stage right without a bowl bid. Rivals has them 70th, 8th in the Big Ten. If Zook couldn't hack it with actual talent, what's he going to do with these guys? Probably watch them on TV after he gets fired.
This post originally appeared on the Sporting Blog. For more, see The Sporting Blog Archives.
Comments
BUCKEYE RECRUITING:
1. Valid pts. brought out in this year’s low ranking of OSU’s class however;
A. One class does NOT make a team.
B. Recruiting ranking is NOT an exact science.
C. OSU did have diversity of talent on this team.
D. Player development, intelligence and attitude are just as crucial as talent.
E. Jim Tressel states accurately that the best recruits for any class are the Sr.s who don’t leave.
F. Part of the cause may be; Some of those players realized that they couldn’t start immediately so they won’t to schools where they have a better chance to start and some players in OH didn’t grow up in OH, so their allegiance may be elsewhere!
But the warning is clear, should this continue, it could mean for difficulty in years to come, and, and, what does this say about OSU’s success when competing with richer FB states like FL, CA and TX!!
by Revkume on Feb 4, 2010 11:43 PM EST reply actions
I love it when writers doom any program. If sporting greats like Don Haskins or Jesse Owens listened to twits like Brian ‘Hack’ Cook, nobody would ever achieve anything.
Pulling the hazard cord early is pretty stupid, especially in light of the fact that two of your ‘doomed’ programs had stellar years in recruiting prior to this one (and will probably bookend this down year with such). This article could have waited for a time when these teams limp away with consecutively bad years.
Texas walked with a monster class, and they’re obviously going to compete at a very high level. USC will always be around, but if they manage to slip the impending NCAA sanctions without taking a shot to their recruiting next season it will be a miracle. Florida always recruits well, but Miami and Florida State used to be just as good…no longer.
The point is that there is an ebb and flow to recruiting, and one buttperch’s opinion obviously doesn’t doom any program.
by Uberbuckeye on Feb 5, 2010 6:27 AM EST reply actions
Totally off base with tOSU. tOSU will be fine. That program is a rock and after next year they will be getting a really good class next year. I fully expect tOSU to get to either the Rose or BCS Title game next year. It would not surprise me one bit if they won it all next year.
Unless they play the Trojans!! ;)
by SailorGabe on Feb 5, 2010 8:05 AM EST reply actions
As a buckeye fan living in the SEC, I am concerned. Not that the "ebb & flow" of talent will not give the Bucks a good class from time to time, but due to the fact that I believe the flow our population in general is south & west. I am an example, I grew up in Ohio, went to College in SoCal, and now work/live in the ATL. Just like in SoCal, I now see more & more license plates and meet many people from MI, OH, IL, PA, NY, etc. in GA. As people move, there children (and allegences that go along with them) are going to southern schools. I think this whole thing is more demographics than anything else. Does anyone else agree with me?
by mkwmson on Feb 5, 2010 9:22 AM EST reply actions
The reality is that in talent rich states like TX, FL and CA, teams don’t recruit they select. TX and FL have to turn away players that’s why there are boat loads of them playing for just about every school in the nation.
by Revkume on Feb 5, 2010 9:47 AM EST reply actions
Forget the services—
The question is did Tressel get the guys he went after? Did he get the guys he was high on since they were sophomores and juniors? Did he get the guys that plug well into the O$U system?
Rumors of O$U’s death have been greatly exaggerated. Am I happy at my school’s recruiting? Heck Yeah! We got guys that fit into what RR is trying to accomplish, but to say the party is over in the hell-hole known as Columbus, OH is just hackey journalism.
Uber is right. This is all ebb and flow. FL had a great year for a great reason— the potential for early PT is high at a premier program. USC has lost a little shine because the rest of the Pac10 finally woke up, etc. Someday, A&M will finally get their act together and that will hurt TX’s recruiting. FSU may finally be getting out of its own way and give the Gators some grief too. In the zero-sum game known as recruiting, you can’t but help have the ebb and flow.
by umich4life on Feb 5, 2010 11:13 AM EST reply actions
Predictions of buckienut doom are wildly exaggerated. All knowledgeable college football fans are aware that for the past 30 years Ohio State has been entirely smoke and mirrors perception. This pathetic recruiting year will evaporate just as soon the tuba player makes his hop and stomp to dot the I. That is the essence of Ohio State, and far beyond the ken of the likes of Brian Cook.
by LadyVolsLover on Feb 5, 2010 12:23 PM EST reply actions
This column is a joke, Ohio St. is not going anywhere. The bigger problem is for the Big Ten, the media’s biggest punching bag. The conference is at a disadvantage from the start with location in recruiting, but with all these top players from the midwest going to the USC and Florida’s of the world it puts them at a bigger disadvantage.
by Prod on Feb 5, 2010 12:38 PM EST reply actions
Very nice article. The man prefaced by saying "It’s based on my vast, moderately disturbing knowledge of the recruiting
scene and national rankings from Scout, Rivals,
and ESPN."
Still the reactions from our THE———osu contigent is pretty muct par for that course. Only 4yrs time will tell the tale but i think the author hit a few nails squarley on the head. Be very interested in seeing his list of the "other"5.
by A260oldschoolblue on Feb 9, 2010 12:38 AM EST reply actions
.T—-osu fan(atics)…I ‘prod’ you to look at your record in the 90’s against the Maize and Blue since you make it so obvious that "This column is a joke, Ohio St. is not going anywhere".
Seems Meeeeechigan does a fine job recruiting in the states down south…moreso since RR’s hire, but fine nonetheless. The league repped themselves well in the bowls so that point is also moot. (did u check your record for the 90’s?)
You see prodman we are entering the 3rd year of a recruiting and learning curve that your school has yet to consider, but consider you will when you see what RR puts on the field these next few yrs. By then you’ll be what…..searching for whatever decent spread coaches are available, losing to RR regularly, and be many years behind where all college ball is headed….the spread. We have the master in place, his players in place and learning, but most importantly believing….What will be fun is to see how fast you guys start to crucify Tress and Co. Hell….even the Irish were bright enough to see the light.
by A260oldschoolblue on Feb 9, 2010 12:51 AM EST reply actions
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