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SB Nation 2010 NCAA Tournament -- Midwest

2010 NCAA Tournament, Midwest Preview & Predictions: The Toughest Region

For the rest of the bracket, check out our breakdowns of the East, West, and South regions.

Mar 15, 2010 - Everyone is predicting that the Midwest is the toughest of the NCAA Tournament's four regions this year, but remember this is a tournament and only the team in front of you matters and not the whole bracket. The reason this region is being considered so strong is because of the coaching experience and tournament success of those involved:

Bill Self, Kansas- National title for Kansas and led three separate teams to the NCAA tournament.

Tom Izzo, Michigan State- Five final four appearances and one national title, all for Michigan State.

Lon Kruger, UNLV- One final four appearance (Florida)  and has guided four teams to the NCAA tournament. 

Steve Fisher, San Diego State- One national title as interim coach and three final four appearances as Michigan head coach.

Gary Williams, Maryland-  Seven sweet-sixteen appearances, two final fours and one national title.

Thad Matta, Ohio State-  National title runner-up and guided three separate teams to the NCAA tournament.

Now onto the actual players on the court, where this region contains three of five Sporting News first team All-Americans with Ohio State's Evan Turner, Maryland's Greivis Vasquez, and Oklahoma State's James Anderson.  If that is not enough, Kansas' Sherron Collins is a second team selection and Georgetown's Austin Freeman is a fifth team pick. Even with all of this star power, Turner is the marquee player in this region and has the ability to take the Buckeyes as far as he can.

#1 Kansas vs. #16 Leigh- A sixteen seed has never beaten a one seed and do not expect one here.  However, Leigh has a stud player in C.J. McCollum who was the Patriot League player of the year and was named to the Sporting News freshman All-American team.

#8 UNLV vs. #9 Northern Iowa- This will be a contrast of two styles as UNLV will want to run the ball while Northern Iowa is a walk the ball up type of team. Northern Iowa has a gaudy record of 28-4, and they rely on a team effort in scoring while UNLV is lead by Tre'Von Willis and Chace Stanback, but are not as deep as UNI.

#5 MIchigan State vs. #12 New Mexico State- New Mexico State is in because they upset Utah State in the WAC finals.  Do not be fooled into picking the trendy 12-5 upset -- Tom Izzo will have his team ready to go.

#4 Maryland vs. #13 Houston- The Terps should win, but they need to watch out for Houston's Aubrey Coleman, who lead the nation in scoring.  The good news for Maryland is that they have All-American Greivis Vasquez and Houston is not a good defensive team.

#6 Tennessee vs. #11 San Diego State- This is the game that has the best upset potential.  San Diego State is coming off winning the MWC title where they beat a top 10 New Mexico team.  Tennessee does have wins over Kentucky and Kansas this year, but also have loses to Georgia and USC.  The Aztecs are super athletic, but do not always play the best basketball, however they do have a super freshman in Kawhi Leonard.

#3 Georgetown vs. #14 Ohio- Ohio made a surprise run in the MAC tournament to get this bid, and Georgetown will be too much.  The Hoyas are a team that wants to run and are led by Austin Freeman and Greg Monroe who average 16 a game a piece.  The downside to the Hoyas is that they go only seven deep which could hurt them down the line.

#7 Oklahoma State vs. #10 Georgia Tech- Oklahoma State has the best player in the Big XII no one knows in James Anderson, and Georgia Tech did make a nice run to the ACC finals only to lose a close game to Duke.

#2 Ohio State vs. #15 UC Santa Barbara- Ohio State has Evan Turner and UCSB has um... well... just the coolest nickname of the tournament in the Gauchos.  Seriously, UCSB has Orlando Johnson who is a scoring threat, but they are not deep enough to keep up with the Buckeyes.

Best Opening Round Game

 #4 Maryland vs. #13 Houston

Both teams routinely score in the 80's and this game could get well beyond that if either team abandons their defense.  Maryland is the obvious better team and will most likely win, but this will be one of the more entertaining games of the region. 

Best Chance For A First Round Upset

 #11 San Diego State over #6 Tennessee

The Aztecs are an up and down team with a bunch of athletes and if they get going they can play with nearly any team in the country.  San Diego State is on a huge hot streak by winning the Mountain West tournament which included an impressive win over New Mexico.  Tennessee has beaten Kansas and Kentucky this year, but they are like the Aztecs who play inconsistently.  San Diego State is the hotter of the two teams and has a very good shot to win this game.

Dream Game To See

#1 Kansas vs. #2 Ohio State

The best team in Kansas taking on possibly the best player in college hoops in Evan Turner.  Kansas has been one of the top teams in the country all year while the Buckeyes have been less consistent, but that has to do with Turner missing some games due to an injury.  Kansas has Sherron Collins, but he is no Evan Turner, or at least does not have the hype of Turner.  A number one verse a number two for a final four bid would be intense by any measure, but again this is the best team against a team with the best player with apologizes to John Wall.

Final Four Pick

These are my very early and off the cuff reactions, so I am not responsible for anyone who follows this advice and is not successful.  The regional final will be Ohio State vs. Kansas and my prediction is for Ohio State to advance to the Final Four in Indianapolis. 

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Comments

Display:

Jeremy with the surprise pick.

Ohio St and KU should be a great match-up but I just see KU stumbling here. KU is playing their best ball right now and they’ve stepped up in big games this year when they’ve needed to.

KU has a bad habit of playing to their competition, the nice thing about being in the toughest bracket is that we can pretty much count on the ’hawks to bring it for 6 games!

Rock Chalk!!

Man crush. Sherron.

by labbadabba on Mar 15, 2010 12:51 PM EDT reply actions  

labba - do you mean "just don't see KU stumbling"?

and I also agree, of course. Mostly because KU hasn’t let a single player beat them all season long. Teams need good games out of three or four guys to beat KU—Turner can’t do it on his own.

Zapp Brannigan/Dayton Moore quote of the day: "[my most important sabermetric stats are] runs scored and runs driven in"

by SagehenMacGyver47 on Mar 15, 2010 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yup, going with Ohio State

I just think they will be able to get it done. I know Kansas is deeper while Ohio State plays maybe seven deep, but I like Evan Turner a lot.

by Jeremy Mauss on Mar 15, 2010 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Depth is overrated

The days of having a 10 deep team are over. Carmelo one with a D-Leaguer and a bunch of life insurance sales reps a few years ago.

because I couldn't go for 3...

by SouthBayBuckeye on Mar 15, 2010 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sorry but OSU doesn't have a chance

For starters they’ve advanced past the first weekend once under Thad Matta’s coaching (in 2007 when they had Oden and Conley). They played a questionable NCS with a loss to UNC and a complete choke job to WVU. Most importantly they play literally just one sub a game. There’s no way a team with a 6-man rotation can go deep in the tourney, they’ll wear down eventually. I see them getting to the Sweet 16 at best.

by NU Wildcat Offense on Mar 15, 2010 2:28 PM EDT reply actions  

Right Now

I hate KU, but there’s no way they lose to OSU (either one of them). Ohio State had to struggle to win their league tournament. KU’s bench is absolutely tooooo strong and OSU is, as has been pointed out, pretty much a 6 man team.

As a matter of record, I’d like to say now that I’m not sure the OSU from Ohio can get past the OSU from Oklahoma in the second round.

by ArkieCat on Mar 15, 2010 3:03 PM EDT reply actions  

I see a lot of chalk in this bracket. I think SDSU will upset Tennessee. They have Steve Fisher as a head coach and he knows what he is doing once he gets to the tourney.

Kansas is likely to advance out of this bracket, but it should be a very good matchup against tOSU if they both make it.

Wake Forest '12

Mother So Dear

by RAJohnston on Mar 15, 2010 5:35 PM EDT reply actions  

SDSU

Has the athletes but they do not always play good hoops. If they are on they could win two games.

by Jeremy Mauss on Mar 15, 2010 9:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

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