SB Nation Bracketology: All Teams Can Do Now Is Wait

SB Nation's Chris Dobbertean predicts the current field of 65. He has Minnesota, Virginia Tech, Florida and Utah State in; and Illinois, Mississippi State and UTEP out.

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8 Total Updates since March 8, 2010
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Final Bracketology: Virginia Tech And Florida In At UTEP And Miss. State's Expense

So, one of the most confusing and convoluted bubble years ever comes to a close. I honestly think I have no chance at getting the final few teams correct, as there isn't enough separation between them.

Click here to see my final projected bracket.

Here are links to my seed list and tracking spreadsheet.

Mississippi State could have made things much easier had they won the SEC Tournament today. But a DeMarcus Cousins layup at the buzzer forced overtime, where John Wall was sublime. The Bulldogs, in my opinion, needed that win to get in, but the Committee may feel differently. 

Ohio State sewed up a two seed with a win over Minnesota in the Big Ten final. The Gophers are in regardless, but again, the Committee may want to go a different route.

Duke won the ACC, but I doubt that won't be enough to wrest the top one seed from West Virginia.  

Temple won the A-10 Tournament, and I have them solidly as a three seed.

Here's a final look at my projected field.

The Rundown

Top Four Seeds: KansasKentuckySyracuseWest Virginia
Last Five In: CaliforniaMinnesotaVirginia Tech, Utah State, Florida
First Four Out: UTEPIllinois, Mississippi State, William & Mary

Conference Breakdown

Big East: 8
Syracuse (1), West Virginia (1), Villanova (2), Georgetown (3), Pittsburgh (4), Marquette (7), Notre Dame (8), Louisville (10)

ACC: 7 
Duke (2), Maryland (5), Clemson (8), Florida State (8),Georgia Tech (9), Wake Forest (10), Virginia Tech (11)

Big 12: 7 
Kansas (1), Kansas State (2), Baylor (3), Texas A&M (6), Texas (7), Oklahoma State (8), Missouri (9)

Big Ten: 5 
Ohio State (2), Wisconsin (4), Purdue (4), Michigan State (5), Minnesota (12)

MWC: 4 
New Mexico (3), BYU (5), UNLV (9), San Diego State (10)

A-10: 3
Temple (3), Richmond (6), Xavier (7)

SEC: 3
Kentucky (1), Tennessee (4), Vanderbilt (5), Florida (11)

Pac-10: 2
Washington (11), California (11)

WCC: 2
Gonzaga (6), St. Mary's (10)

WAC: 2
Utah State (12), New Mexico State (13)

One Bid Leagues (20): America East (Vermont), Atlantic Sun (ETSU), Big Sky (Montana), Big South (Winthrop), Big West (UC Santa Barbara), Colonial (Old Dominion), Conference USA (Houston), Horizon (Butler), Ivy (Cornell), Metro Atlantic (Siena), Mid-American (Ohio), Mid-Eastern (Morgan State), Missouri Valley (Northern Iowa), Northeast (Robert Morris), Ohio Valley (Murray State), Patriot (Lehigh), Southern (Wofford), Southland (Sam Houston State), Southwestern (Arkansas-Pine Bluff), Summit (Oakland), Sun Belt (North Texas)

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Sunday Lunchtime Bracketology: West Virginia Grabs Final To Seed; Duke Will Look To Take It Back

After an eventful Saturday, there are several new protected seeds in my second-to-last projection of the season. Things seem to be coming into focus with only four games left in Championship Week.

Click here to see Sunday morning's full bracket.

Here are links to my seed list and tracking spreadsheet.

Kansas looks to have sewn up the top overall seed, as they grabbed their third victory of the season over Kansas State to claim the Big 12 Tournament crown. Kentucky and Syracuse remain on the top line, and West Virginia staked a claim by winning the Big East Saturday night. Currently, I have the Mountaineers as the final No. 1 instead of Duke.

While the Mountaineers and Blue Devils have similar records against the Top 50, WVU's wins are simply better. WVU owns an 8-5 record against these teams, with victories against No. 7 (twice) Georgetown, No. 9 Texas A&M, No.13 Villanova and No. 15 Pitt. Duke, meanwhile is 7-4, with their best victories coming against No. 22 Maryland and No. 32 Georgia Tech, who they split with. They also lost to the seventh-rated Hoyas. The Blue Devils could take the top spot back with a win over the Yellow Jackets in today's ACC final, but I doubt it.

Below the top line, Tennessee and Vanderbilt may have played themselves out of protected seed range after their losses in the SEC semifinals. Purdue is also in danger after they were demolished by Minnesota in the Big Ten semis. I still have both the Volunteers and Boilermakers on the four line, so they're as protected as two Southern/Midwestern teams forced to play out West can be. Vanderbilt drops to a five, but they're in a pod with Wisconsin in Spokane.

At the other end of the field, Houston stole a bid by beating UTEP for the second time this season, meaning the Miners are squarely on the bubble. Washington also played bid thief by topping Cal in the Pac-10 final. Finally, in the WAC final, New Mexico State beat Utah State for the second time, meaning the Blue Aggies likely took another at-large.

That means teams like Virginia Tech and Florida could be out, especially if Mississippi State beats Kentucky in the SEC championship on Sunday. Illinois looked to be in good shape, but they couldn't close the deal at the end of regulation and the first overtime, before they fell to Ohio State. Then, Minnesota made Purdue look like a bunch of middle schoolers. Not quite the contrast the Illini needed. 

It will indeed be a tense day.

Here's how things stand on Selection Sunday at around noon ET.

The Rundown

Top Four Seeds: KansasKentuckySyracuseWest Virginia
Last Five In: CaliforniaMinnesota, Utah State, UTEP, Virginia Tech
First Four Out: FloridaIllinois, Mississippi State, William & Mary

Conference Breakdown

Big East: 8
Syracuse (1), West Virginia (1), Villanova (2), Georgetown (3), Pittsburgh (4), Marquette (7), Notre Dame (8), Louisville (10)

ACC: 7 
Duke (2), Maryland (5), Clemson (7), Florida State (8),Wake Forest (9), Georgia Tech (9), Virginia Tech (11)

Big 12: 7 
Kansas (1), Kansas State (2), Baylor (3), Texas A&M (6), Texas (7), Oklahoma State (8), Missouri (9)

Big Ten: 5 
Ohio State (2), Wisconsin (4), Purdue (4), Michigan State (5), Minnesota (11)

MWC: 4 
New Mexico (3), BYU (5), UNLV (9), San Diego State (10)

A-10: 3
Temple (3), Richmond (6), Xavier (7)

SEC: 3
Kentucky (1), Tennessee (4), Vanderbilt (5)

C-USA: 2
UTEP (12), Houston (14)

Pac-10: 2
Washington (11), California (11)

WCC: 2
Gonzaga (6), St. Mary's (10)

WAC: 2
Utah State (12), New Mexico State (13)

One Bid Leagues (20): America East (Vermont), Atlantic Sun (ETSU), Big Sky (Montana), Big South (Winthrop), Big West (UC Santa Barbara), Colonial (Old Dominion), Horizon (Butler), Ivy (Cornell), Metro Atlantic (Siena), Mid-American (Ohio), Mid-Eastern (Morgan State), Missouri Valley (Northern Iowa), Northeast (Robert Morris), Ohio Valley (Murray State), Patriot (Lehigh), Southern (Wofford), Southland (Sam Houston State), Southwestern (Arkansas-Pine Bluff), Summit (Oakland), Sun Belt (North Texas)

For a more detailed breakdown of the teams fighting for the final few spots in the tournament, visit Bubble Watch.

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Saturday Bracketology: No Changes On Top Lines Friday; Saturday Could See Major Shift

The top 24 teams in Saturday's bracket are the same as they were in Friday's projection.

Click here to see Saturday's full bracket.

Here are links to my seed list and tracking spreadsheet.

With Georgetown and West Virginia facing off for the Big East crown Saturday, that could change. The Mountaineers can potentially claim a top seed with a win, while Georgetown can grab a protected seed of their own (likely Pitt's 3 seed) with a win.

Syracuse moves up to the third overall number one, as it appears Arinze Onuaku's injury isn't as severe as it appeared on Thursday.

No less than 12 bids will be handed out on Saturday, meaning we'll be ever closer to clarity, especially in the cases of California, Washington, UTEP, Utah State and San Diego State. 

Here's how things stand on Selection Eve.

The Rundown

Top Four Seeds: KansasKentuckySyracuseDuke
Last Four In: San Diego State, Virginia TechWashington, Rhode Island
First Four Out: MinnesotaMississippi State, William & Mary, Mississippi
Next Four Out: Seton HallArizona State, South Florida, UAB

Conference Breakdown

Big East: 8
Syracuse (1), West Virginia (2), Villanova (3), Pittsburgh (3), Georgetown (5), 
Notre Dame (8), Marquette (9), Louisville (10)

ACC: 7 
Duke (1), Maryland (5), Florida State (7), Clemson (8),Wake Forest (10), Georgia Tech (11), Virginia Tech (12)

Big 12: 7 
Kansas (1), Kansas State (2), Baylor (4), Texas A&M (6), Texas (7), Missouri (9), Oklahoma State (9)

Big Ten: 5 
Purdue (2), Ohio State (3), Michigan State (3), Wisconsin (5), Illinois (12)

A-10: 4
Temple (4), Richmond (6), Xavier (7), Rhode Island (13)

MWC: 4 
New Mexico (3), BYU (5), UNLV (8), San Diego State (12)

SEC: 4
Kentucky (1), Vanderbilt (4), Tennessee (4), Florida (12)

Pac-10: 2
California (8), Washington (11)

WCC: 2
Gonzaga (6), St. Mary's (11)

One Bid Leagues (22): America East, Atlantic Sun (ETSU), Big Sky (Montana), Big South (Winthrop), Big West, Colonial (Old Dominion), Conference USA, Horizon (Butler), Ivy (Cornell), Metro Atlantic (Siena), Mid-American, Mid-Eastern, Missouri Valley (Northern Iowa), Northeast (Robert Morris), Ohio Valley (Murray State), Patriot (Lehigh), Southern (Wofford), Southland, Southwestern, Summit (Oakland), Sun Belt (North Texas), Western Athletic

For a more detailed breakdown of the teams fighting for the final few spots in the tournament, visit Bubble Watch.

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Friday Bracketology: Despite Loss And Onuaku Injury, Syracuse Holds On To Top Seed

Thanks to an overwhelming number of games Thursday and a good amount of time spent reviewing seeding, particularly in the middle of the bracket, this bracket looks significantly different from Thursday's version.

Click here to see Friday's full bracket.

Here are links to my seed list and tracking spreadsheet.

On the top line, there's one minor change. Syracuse drops down to the fourth overall number one seed after their loss to Georgetown in the Big East quarterfinals and Arinze Onuaku's knee/quad injury. Even with that setback, the Orange aren't likely to fall to the two line, especially as West Virginia's best shot at a high RPI win on the way to a Big East tournament crown would be against Georgetown in the final. With the way this tournament's unfolded so far, that's not a result to bank on.

Ohio State jumped back up to the two line without playing a game, as New Mexico struggled to beat lowly Air Force in their Mountain West semifinal. The Buckeyes begin Big Ten tournament play Friday against archrival Michigan in the quarterfinals.

In the middle of the bracket, there was a good amount of shuffling. Teams like Richmond, Marquette, Florida State, Florida and California shifted up, while others, including Xavier, Northern Iowa, Oklahoma State, Louisville and Wake Forest dropped.

There was one at-large change after Thursday's action, as Arizona State dropped out after losing to Stanford in the Pac-10 quarterfinals. Washington, who came back to beat Oregon State in the very next game, replaces them. 

Here's how things stand with three days remaining.

The Rundown

Top Four Seeds: KansasKentuckyDukeSyracuse
Last Four In: 
IllinoisMississippiWashington, San Diego State
First Four Out: Rhode Island, Dayton, Mississippi State, William & Mary
Next Four Out: Arizona StateSeton Hall, South Florida, UAB

Conference Breakdown

Big East: 8
Syracuse (1), West Virginia (2), Villanova (3), Pittsburgh (3), Georgetown (5), Marquette (7), 
Notre Dame (9), Louisville (9)

ACC: 7 
Duke (1), Maryland (5), Florida State (7), Clemson (7), Virginia Tech (8), Wake Forest (11), Georgia Tech (12)

Big 12: 7 
Kansas (1), Kansas State (2), Baylor (5), Texas A&M (6), Texas (9), Missouri (10), Oklahoma State (10)

Big Ten: 5 
Purdue (2), Ohio State (3), Michigan State (3), Wisconsin (4), Illinois (12)

MWC: 4 
New Mexico (2), BYU (5), UNLV (8), San Diego State (13)

SEC: 4
Kentucky (1), Vanderbilt (4), Tennessee (4), Florida (10), Mississippi (12)

A-10: 3
Temple (4), Richmond (6), Xavier (7)

Pac-10: 2
California (9), Washington (12)

WCC: 2
Gonzaga (6), St. Mary's (11)

One Bid Leagues (22): America East, Atlantic Sun (ETSU), Big Sky (Montana), Big South (Winthrop), Big West, Colonial (Old Dominion), Conference USA, Horizon (Butler), Ivy (Cornell), Metro Atlantic (Siena), Mid-American, Mid-Eastern, Missouri Valley (Northern Iowa), Northeast (Robert Morris), Ohio Valley (Murray State), Patriot, Southern (Wofford), Southland, Southwestern, Summit (Oakland), Sun Belt (North Texas), Western Athletic

For a more detailed breakdown of the teams fighting for the final few spots in the tournament, visit Bubble Watch.

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Thursday Bracketology: Arizona State, Ole Miss Enter; Big East Down To Eight

Conference tournament action will be well underway on Thursday, as every major conference (except for the Atlantic 10) will be in action. Therefore, expect to see things shuffle more between Friday and Sunday.

As for this projection, the biggest changes from Wednesday's bracket took place at the bottom of the at-large pool, where Seton Hall and South Florida fell out after unimpressive losses in the second round of the Big East Tournament. Their replacements were both idle Wednesday. Arizona State faces Stanford in a Pac-10 quarterfinal Thursday, while Ole Miss plays in the SEC quarterfinals Friday.

Click here to see Thursday's full bracket.

Here are links to my seed list and tracking spreadsheet.

The field breaks down in this way with four days left in the race for bids.

The Rundown

Top Four Seeds: KansasSyracuseKentuckyDuke
Last Four In: 
IllinoisMississippiArizona State, San Diego State
First Four Out: Rhode Island, Washington, Dayton, UAB
Next Four Out: Memphis, Mississippi State, South Florida, Seton Hall

Conference Breakdown

Big East: 8
Syracuse (1), West Virginia (2), Villanova (3), Pittsburgh (3), Georgetown (6), Louisville (8), 
Notre Dame (9), Marquette (9), 

ACC: 7 
Duke (1), Maryland (5), Clemson (7), Virginia Tech (8), Florida State (10), Wake Forest (10), Georgia Tech (11)

Big 12: 7 
Kansas (1), Kansas State (2), Baylor (5), Texas A&M (6), Oklahoma State (7), Texas (9), Missouri (10)

Big Ten: 5 
Purdue (2), Ohio State (3), Michigan State (3), Wisconsin (4), Illinois (12)

MWC: 4 
New Mexico (2), BYU (5), UNLV (8), San Diego State (13)

SEC: 4
Kentucky (1), Vanderbilt (4), Tennessee (4), Florida (11), Mississippi (12)

A-10: 3
Temple (4), Xavier (6), Richmond (7)

Pac-10: 2
California (12), Arizona State (12)

WCC: 2
Gonzaga (6), St. Mary's (10)

One Bid Leagues (22): America East, Atlantic Sun (ETSU), Big Sky (Montana), Big South (Winthrop), Big West, Colonial (Old Dominion), Conference USA, Horizon (Butler), Ivy (Cornell), Metro Atlantic (Siena), Mid-American, Mid-Eastern, Missouri Valley (Northern Iowa), Northeast (Robert Morris), Ohio Valley (Murray State), Patriot, Southern (Wofford), Southland, Southwestern, Summit (Oakland), Sun Belt (North Texas), Western Athletic

For a more detailed breakdown of the teams fighting for the final few spots in the tournament, visit Bubble Watch.

Continue

Wednesday Bracketology: Butler's Win Means No At-Large Changes

Since the major conference tournaments (other than the Big East) are really getting underway Wednesday, I've updated this bracket to reflect the results of Monday and Tuesday's limited slate.

The biggest change is that Gonzaga drops down a line after their loss to St. Mary's in Monday's West Coast final. Butler moves up to the five line to replace them after their dominating Horizon League championship win Tuesday.

Since Seton Hall and South Florida both won their Big East tournament openers, and there weren't any major shocks in the early conference finals, the at-large pool remains the same as it did in Monday's bracket.

I'll have a more complete update on Thursday after the Big 12 opening round and Big East second round.

Click here to see Wednesday's full bracket.

Here are links to my seed list and tracking spreadsheet.

Here's a look at how the field breaks down with five days left.

The Rundown

Top Four Seeds: KansasSyracuseKentuckyDuke
Last Four In: 
Seton Hall, San Diego State, South Florida, Illinois
First Four Out: MississippiArizona StateWashington, Dayton
Next Four Out: UAB, Memphis, Rhode Island, Mississippi State

Conference Breakdown

Big East: 10
Syracuse (1), West Virginia (2), Villanova (2), Pittsburgh (3), Georgetown (6), Louisville (8), Marquette (10), 
Notre Dame (10), Seton Hall (12), South Florida (12)

ACC: 7 
Duke (1), Maryland (5), Florida State (7), Virginia Tech (8), Clemson (9), Wake Forest (10), Georgia Tech (11)

Big 12: 7 
Kansas (1), Kansas State (2), Baylor (5), Texas A&M (6), Missouri (7), Oklahoma State (7), Texas (9)

Big Ten: 5 
Purdue (2), Ohio State (3), Michigan State (3), Wisconsin (4), Illinois (12)

MWC: 4 
New Mexico (2), BYU (5), UNLV (9), San Diego State (12)

SEC: 4
Kentucky (1), Vanderbilt (4), Tennessee (4), Florida (11)

A-10: 3
Temple (4), Xavier (6), Richmond (7)

WCC: 2
Gonzaga (6), St. Mary's (10)

One Bid Leagues (23): America East, Atlantic Sun (ETSU), Big Sky, Big South (Winthrop), Big West, Colonial (Old Dominion), Conference USA, Horizon (Butler), Ivy (Cornell), Metro Atlantic (Siena), Mid-American, Mid-Eastern, Missouri Valley (Northern Iowa), Northeast, Ohio Valley (Murray State), Pacific-10, Patriot, Southern (Wofford), Southland, Southwestern, Summit (Oakland), Sun Belt (North Texas), Western Athletic

For a more detailed breakdown of the teams fighting for the final few spots in the tournament, visit Bubble Watch.

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