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Fantasy Baseball: Top 20 Pitchers Based on K/100 Pitches

During my lunch break on Tuesday, I was scanning the baseball sites I frequent, including one I haven't visited in quite awhile-www.thebaseballanalyst.com. The Baseball Analysts is run by Rich Lederer, and his Tuesday post on ranking pitchers based on strikeouts per 100 pitches interested me. He has been following this metric for a few years now, so I decided to take a look myself. You can take a look at his article here.

Here are the Top 20 starting pitchers based on strikeouts per 100 pitches (I used a cutoff of 150 innings pitched so guys like Stephen Strasburg and Brandon Morrow are not included):


Player INN PC K ERA WHIP Kd9 QS W K/P
Liriano, Francisco SP MIN  165.3 2590 178 3.266 1.246 9.69 18 12 6.87
Lester, Jon SP BOS   182 2932 196 3.264 1.192 9.69 17 16 6.68
Latos, Mat SP SD   155.7 2448 160 2.255 0.976 9.25 19 13 6.54
Weaver, Jered SP ANA   189 3196 205 3.143 1.106 9.76 22 11 6.41
Kershaw, Clayton SP LA   176.3 2988 191 3.011 1.242 9.75 20 11 6.39
Lincecum, Tim SP SF   178.7 2942 188 3.677 1.327 9.47 18 12 6.39
Hernandez, Felix SP SEA   219.3 3298 209 2.298 1.085 8.58 27 11 6.34
Hamels, Cole SP PHI  181 2904 183 3.182 1.182 9.1 18 9 6.30
Gallardo, Yovani SP MIL   161 2793 175 3.801 1.36 9.78 14 11 6.27
Wainwright, Adam SP STL   200.3 2943 184 2.336 1.033 8.27 22 17 6.25
Lee, Cliff SP TEX   184.3 2580 161 3.369 1.025 7.86 15 10 6.24
Halladay, Roy SP PHI   221 3145 196 2.362 1.05 7.98 22 17 6.23
Johnson, Josh SP FLA   183.7 2987 186 2.303 1.105 9.11 23 11 6.23
Sanchez, Jonathan SP SF   164.7 2781 172 3.389 1.245 9.4 12 10 6.18
Oswalt, Roy SP PHI   183.7 2801 168 3.087 1.073 8.23 21 11 6.00
Nolasco, Ricky SP FLA  157.7 2475 147 4.51 1.281 8.39 16 14 5.94
Haren, Dan SP ANA   202 3231 190 4.233 1.322 8.47 17 9 5.88
Jimenez, Ubaldo SP COL   190.3 3051 178 2.79 1.151 8.42 22 18 5.83
Lewis, Colby RP TEX   170.7 2852 165 3.955 1.225 8.7 16 9 5.79
Shields, James SP TB   175.7 2849 164 4.918 1.406 8.4 16 13 5.76

Here is a quote from his article:

As detailed in Strikeout Proficiency (Part Two), K/P has the highest correlation in each of the five run measures (ERA, R/G, ERC, FIP, and DIPS). K/BF has the second-highest correlation and K/IP has the lowest correlation. In any other words, K/P > K/BF > K/IP.

So, Lederer feels that his K/P is a better metric to rank starting pitchers than K/9 or K/IP. To calculate K/P, I used the following formula:

                               (K/Pitches thrown) * 100

I plan to take a look at this metric again at the end of the season providing year to date data along with second half data. It is not a surprise to see many of the top pitchers in baseball in the table above. I hope the second half data can provide some sleepers for 2011 fantasy drafts.

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