In the penultimate 2011 NFL Mock Draft of the year, we project five trades in Round 1, and watch six quarterbacks fly off the board.
Apr 25, 2011 - With the NFL less than four days away from draft day, this will be the penultimate 2011 NFL Mock Draft at SBNation.com for the season. Each year, I like to fold in at least one projection that features a few trades, and in order to put in a system of checks and balances to ensure nothing too crazy appears trade-wise, I built this mock draft with Dan Kadar of MockingTheDraft.com, SB Nation's NFL Draft blog.
In this projection, we've got five trades in the works, and -- perhaps much more importantly -- six quarterbacks off the board.
1. Carolina Panthers: Cam Newton, QB, Auburn. Some doubt about the certainty of this pick is starting to creep in, but Newton is still the favorite to be Carolina's pick.
2. Denver Broncos: Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama. Denver would really like to trade down, but may be out of most teams' price range. Dareus is an excellent consolation prize.
3. Buffalo Bills: Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M. Newton and Dareus may rank higher than Miller on Buffalo's board, but the A&M sack artist is an excellent fit for the rush-needy Bills.
4. Cincinnati Bengals: A.J. Green, WR, Georgia. Right now, the smart money is on the Bengals passing on Blaine Gabbert, taking A.J. Green, and trying to move back up for a quarterback. That'd be a gamble, but may pay big long-term dividends. Green is a stud.
Projected Trade
ARI gets: No. 9 overall, No. 40 overall (second round)
DAL gets: No. 5 overall, 2012 third-round pick
5. Dallas Cowboys (f/ARI): Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU. Peterson is a guy that Jerry Jones would go up (relatively cheaply) to get. He's a perfect fit for Dallas. Arizona, meanwhile, can slide down, pick up another pick this year, and continue their re-build with more bodies at better value - even if they lose a third next season.
6. Cleveland Browns: Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina. Moving to the 4-3 under Dick Jauron, it's imperative that the Browns get better personnel there. Quinn is a potentially elite pass rusher.
7. San Francisco 49ers: Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska. There's a strong chance that Gabbert is the pick here if he's available, but we all know that Jim Harbaugh has another quarterback in mind.
8. Tennessee Titans: Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri. It's tough to imagine Gabbert's slide continuing past Tennessee, who may have the biggest need for a QB in the entire league.
9. Arizona Cardinals (f/DAL): Tyron Smith, OT, USC. After moving down from No. 5, the Cardinals missed out on quality at the rush linebacker position, but can address that area with one of their two second-round picks. Smith is a potentially elite left tackle prospect, and OT is a really underrated need for the Cardinals.
10. Washington Redskins: Jake Locker, QB, Washington. This might strike many as a risky pick, but Locker's a high-character kid that fits Mike Shanahan's offense extremely well.
11. Houston Texans: Aldon Smith, DE, Missouri. Smith doesn't project perfectly as a rush linebacker, but in Wade Phillips' one-gap scheme, he'd have a lot of opportunities to blitz and get after the QB.
12. Minnesota Vikings: Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn. The other big name to slide, Fairley would be an excellent fit in Leslie Frazier's defense alongside Kevin Williams. That is some serious pass-rushing ability inside.
Projected Trade
DET gets: No. 17 overall, No. 74 overall (third round)
NE gets: No. 13 overall
13. New England Patriots (f/DET): Julio Jones, WR, Alabama. The Patriots aren't the type of team that looks to move up in Round 1, but for Jones, Bill Belichick might make a (cheap) exception. Jones is a plug-and-play receiver that would give the Pats a true No. 1 target on the edge, pairing with the likes of Deion Branch and tight ends Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez to make the Pats a true matchup nightmare. The Lions, meanwhile, slide down a few slots and pick up an extra third-round pick.
14. St. Louis Rams: Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois. A team that someone coveting Jones will need to move in front of. If Jones and Aldon Smith are both off the board, as in this scenario, Liuget is the smart-money projection.
15. Miami Dolphins: Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas. Without a second-round pick, the Dolphins - who want a quarterback - will either take one here, or try to trade down, recoup a pick and get their guy anyway. Right now, Mallett is the hot name to the Dolphins.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars: Cameron Jordan, DE, California. The Jags are a threat to take a quarterback, but Cameron Jordan perfectly fits the talent and character traits that GM Gene Smith covets.
17. Detroit Lions (f/NE): Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson. After moving down, the Lions would face an interesting decision here. A talent-first team in the draft, it's tough to envision them passing on Bowers to pair up front with Ndamukong Suh.
18. San Diego Chargers: J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin. San Diego is another team that might like to move down, but in this scenario, they'd have a hard time entertaining that notion with Watt still on the board.
19. New York Giants: Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College. Tackle was a big problem last year. Tom Coughlin is a BC guy. Castonzo offers some guard versatility, and can play on either side. He's an excellent fit for the Giants.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue. In desperate need of a defensive end, the Bucs will value Kerrigan's intangibles and hustle over Adrian Clayborn with this pick.
21. Kansas City Chiefs: Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA. There are a few ways the Chiefs could go with this pick, but getting a heady, versatile complement to Tamba Hali at OLB seems like a very smart move.
22. Indianapolis Colts: Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State. For whatever reason, Sherrod remains highly undervalued by the draft community. He's a plug-and-play left tackle in Indianapolis.
Projected Trade
PHI gets: No. 35 overall (second round), No. 66 overall (third round), 2012 third-round pick
CIN gets: No. 23 overall
23. Cincinnati Bengals (f/PHI): Andy Dalton, QB, TCU. As we mentioned up top, the Bengals will likely try to move back into Round 1 for a quarterback in the likely event that they pass on Blaine Gabbert at No. 4. Philadelphia is a strong trade partner, as they love to move up and down the board. It'd cost the Bengals a pretty penny to get Dalton, whom Bengals offensive coordinator Jay Gruden is reportedly very high on, but if they do it, they'd have two really nice fits for Gruden's system.
24. New Orleans Saints: Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama. Ingram is sliding out of the first round in many projections, but the Saints still have Super Bowl aspirations, and an immediate contributor at running back could vault their offense back to the top of the league. Ingram is the durable workhorse that the team lacked last year as Pierre Thomas dealt with injury.
Projected Trade
SEA gets: No. 35 overall (from CIN via PHI), No. 85 overall (third round)
PHI gets: No. 25 overall
25. Philadelphia Eagles (f/SEA): Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado. Again, Philly likes to move up and down the board, and word is the Seahawks would like to move out of the first round. Here, they'd get an early second-round pick (originally Cincinnati's) and an extra third, while Philly, through their two trades, would move up 19 spots in the third round and still get their guy in Jimmy Smith.
26. Baltimore Ravens: Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin. If Carimi lasts this long, he makes a lot of sense for the Ravens as an immediate starter, as they had a lot of question marks at right tackle a year ago.
27. Atlanta Falcons: Mike Pouncey, OG, Florida. Clayborn would be a serious consideration here, but Pouncey is a plug-and-play starter that could be the team's future at the center position, as well. He's a safer pick.
Projected Trade
NE gets: No. 43 overall (second round), 2012 second-round pick
MIN gets: No. 28 overall
28. Minnesota Vikings (f/NE): Christian Ponder, QB, Florida State. If Ponder lasts this long, there could be a dogfight for his services, and Minnesota seems the most likely team targeting Ponder to cough up a future pick to a team that specializes in acquiring them, the Patriots. Ponder is a nice fit for the Vikings and coordinator Bill Musgrave, and is pretty solid value at this point in Round 1.
29. Chicago Bears: Danny Watkins, OG, Baylor. Stephen Paea might be tempting, but it's pretty close to imperative that the Bears get a starting offensive lineman here. That's exactly what Watkins is.
30. New York Jets: Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple. Between Wilkerson and Phil Taylor, Rex Ryan gets his choice of solid D-Line prospect. Wilkerson offers better versatility and more upside.
31. Pittsburgh Steelers: Aaron Williams, CB, Texas. Rather than reaching on an offensive lineman, it makes more sense for the Steelers to target Williams - a physical, ball-hawking playmaker for their secondary.
32. Green Bay Packers: Nate Solder, OT, Colorado. Bryan Bulaga seems to have settled in on the right side, so Solder could be an option as a long-term replacement for Chad Clifton on the left side.
Comments
Good looking mock
I’d still like KC to draft Pouncey.. I would be fine with Ayers though.
Bleed Chiefs
by tomahawk44 on Apr 25, 2011 11:29 AM EDT reply actions
Chiefs should draft Dalton
by Steve_Chiefs on Apr 25, 2011 11:29 AM EDT up reply actions
I actually would love if we drafted a top QB
I like Cassel but I want a guy to be ready to take over
Bleed Chiefs
by tomahawk44 on Apr 25, 2011 11:45 AM EDT up reply actions
Excellent Mock Draft
One of the best I have seen
All the trades and picks make sense
by Pablo Escobar on Apr 25, 2011 11:46 AM EDT reply actions
Only change I would make. I like Cam Heyward to the Packers
by Pablo Escobar on Apr 25, 2011 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions
It could very well be the red hair
But Dalton in the 1st is just unbelievable to me, let alone someone actually trading back into the 1st to get him. I get that hes “a winner”, but he lacks top tier physical skills, which generally dictates a later(2-3) round pick.
But heck, as long as its not my Bills, they can pick as many QBs as they want in the 1st if it means some mid-first talent falls to the second.
MAYBE this will break the mold , we need to come to play sunday and this year we will not SURRENDER TO KNOW ONE THIS IS BUFFALOOO Godzilla nation
-abayarde
by uPitt_BillsFan on Apr 25, 2011 12:19 PM EDT reply actions
The red hair thing needs to stop.The color of a person’s hair does not dictate their ability to succeed or fail in life.
In the year two thousaaaaaaand.
In the year two thousAAAAAAND!
by TheAfghanTwilight on Apr 25, 2011 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions
really?
Part of the reason teams are projecting drafting early is because there is no free agency, he has experience as a four year starter and is not a project like Locker or Newton. I dont think Dalton will play day one but a late first rounder is not over the top to get him.
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by Jeremy Mauss on Apr 25, 2011 2:30 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
I like how you have the Seahawks trading back, Brian,
but they won’t trade back if both Jimmy Smith and Mike Pouncey are still available. Those are, most likely, the 1-2 guys on their board.
by Coach Owens on Apr 25, 2011 12:21 PM EDT reply actions
Agreed completely.
What if we simply took the highest ceiling players, who fit ANY system, and worked out the details later? If we do go that route, there’s no way you can convince me Ponder is a good choice in the 1st round.
by Tyler Jorgensen on Apr 25, 2011 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions
Watkins over Solder for the Bears?
Really?
by Doshi on Apr 25, 2011 12:27 PM EDT reply actions
"Locker's a high-character kid that fits Mike Shanahan's offense extremely well."
Not trying to be nitpicky, but how does a guy with a shaky ability to read defenses and demonstrated accuracy issues fit in a West Coast Offense?
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by Jeff Nusser on Apr 25, 2011 2:55 PM EDT reply actions
He sounds perfect for the Redskins offense.
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Hoya Saxa
by David St. Martin on Apr 25, 2011 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions
He said bitterly
by JamesPowell on Apr 26, 2011 12:30 AM EDT up reply actions
No even a Vikings fan
But Darrell Bevell isn’t their OC anymore. It’s Bill Musgrave. That being said, Ponder should be the kind of West Coast quarterback they need.
As a Lions fan, I’ll be disappointed if they don’t address some of their glaring needs on the Offensive Line. I’d be really disappointed if they moved down and didn’t take a guy like Castonzo.
by badpoet on Apr 25, 2011 4:28 PM EDT reply actions
Old habits re: Bevell. Thanks for the correction.
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by Brian Galliford on Apr 25, 2011 7:48 PM EDT up reply actions
“there could be a dogfight for his service”
I thought Michael Vick played for Philly?
by Starkey on Apr 25, 2011 7:25 PM EDT reply actions
Buffalo Bills Hopes
I really hope that Cam Newton goes to Carolina with the first pick.
This way my favorite team the Buffalo bils don’t get foolish and take at three.
Now if Marcell Dareus drops to us at three. Then he worth taking with the pick.
On the other hand the Bills need many holes filled on the roster. Trading down is the smart thing to do with N.E.
by Dziedzic on Apr 25, 2011 11:11 PM EDT reply actions
I cannot see Arizona passing on a QB. My god what a glaring need. That being said, I can see Dallas trying to make a deal with the Browns at #6 for petersen. Only thing that would stop that is NE and all of those picks. Would Bill actually let another Revis slip through his fingers and allow NY to beat him in the playoffs again?
"They kept throwing it at me. I don’t know why. They just kept trying, and I just kept knocking it down." - Joe Hayden, Cleveland Browns.
by J. W. on Apr 26, 2011 3:35 AM EDT reply actions
Yeah the Cardinals need a QB bad but they might feel like this class is deep at the position and that the 6th best QB is a better value than taking someone with the 5th overall pick… And honestly, you never know with the Cardinals. I’m not surprised by anything they do anymore.
by sportsgod on Apr 26, 2011 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions
You mean they are all mediocre prospects?
by The Delivery Guy on Apr 28, 2011 1:23 PM EDT up reply actions
God I hope Dallas gets Peterson. Dez and Peterson in consecutive years would bring us back baby
by SHAKEJUNT on Apr 26, 2011 8:50 AM EDT reply actions
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