Pre-Post-Rain Delay Second Guessing

Walking the bases loaded is usually an awful idea. Hitters hit better with the bases loaded.  Walking Matt Holliday to get to Jon Jay, for example, usually isn't smart. It creates too much of an advantage if the pitcher falls behind.

So Ron Washington put Magglio Ordonez on to load the bases. Like, on purpose. He'd rather face Alex Avila with the bases loaded than C.J. Wilson face Magglio Ordonez with first base open.

Year Ordonez PA Intentional Walks
2011 357 0


Odd. This hasn't come up before tonight. Also odd: Alex Avila is better than Magglio Ordonez. Maybe not last year or the decade before, but he's better now. He's better against lefties, and he's better against right-handers. He's better against starters, and he's better against relievers. He's better against goats, he's better on boats. He's better in the rain, he's better on a train.

And he's sure as hell better when hitting with the bases loaded than Magglio is with runners on second and third.

Aw, heck, I'm not too proud to avoid micro-splits when it supports my position.

Split (Magglio Ordonez) PA BA OBP SLG OPS
Runners on second/third 11 .111 .182 .111 .293

 

Split (Alex Avila) PA BA OBP SLG OPS
Bases loaded 16 .333 .375 .444 .819


Those are useless splits, but I want one reason. One reason. Just one good reason why you'd rather pitch to Avila with the bases loaded than Magglio with a base open. I'm a simple man. That's all I want.

And of course Avila's going to strike out after the rain delay to make me look like an ass. Better to be wrong early than pretend you were right after the fact. 

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