History is having very little impact on the odds for the third meeting between Manny Pacquiao and Juan Manuel Marquez. The two men have faced off twice already in their great careers with the first fight resulting in a draw and the second a hotly disputed split decision that went Pacquiao's way.
In many cases the previous bouts being so competitive would mean very narrow odds at the bookmakers, but there are many factors at play in this fight. Pacquiao is now the much larger man, having moved up in weight from featherweight and super featherweight where the men met the first two time to a legitimate welterweight. Marquez is coming up in weight to meet Pacquiao and try to take his welterweight title. The last time we saw Marquez go up to this weight was the worst performance of his career as he was dominated by Floyd Mayweather, Jr.
It's also not helping matters that Marquez is now 38 years old and seen by many as on the downside of his career.
SB Nation boxing blog Bad Left Hook put together this table of the current odds on the fight which show just how heavy of a favorite Pacquiao is now:
There are some other bets one can make on the fight as the oddsmakers at BoDog have set the over/under on rounds at 10 1/2 with the under at -150 and the over at +110.
The favorite result is Pacquiao by KO, TKO or DQ at -160, Pacquiao by decision is +190, Marquez by KO, TKO or DQ is at +1000, Marquez by decision +1200 and a repeat of their first draw is a very big longshot at +2000.
We'll have live results of the full card right here on SB Nation later tonight.