#Hot Corner

Braun And The False Positive Paradox

Via The Big W:

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The false positive paradox is a statistical result where false positive tests are more probable than true positive tests, occurring when the overall population has a low incidence of a condition and the incidence rate is lower than the false positive rate.

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In other words, if the incidence of steroid use among Major League ballplayers is lower than the test's false positive rate, a majority of players who test positive will, in fact, be clean.

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There's obviously a lot we don't yet know about the Braun case, but I suspect this information might be useful in the coming days and weeks.

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