FanPost

ct17 4-round Dec mock

Had to get this posted before the order reset again. I use NEPatriotsDraft, which updates the draft order by strength of schedule each week, and I modified it for playoffs.

I placed guys based upon where they were on my board, then look at team need. If you want to debate a player's draft position, I'd be glad to, too much talk about need and not enough about the players.

Any player that I thought had a shot at the 1st round in 2013 or a large improvement I kept out as "returned to school". Names of note were Osweiler, Wilson (Arkansas), Wagner, Eifert, Rhodes (Florida State), and Worthy.

So here goes:

FIRST ROUND:

1 (1) - IND - Ryan Lindley, QB, San Diego State - Just kidding, it's Luck.

2 (2) - MIN - Matt Kalil, LT, USC - Obvious. Best player, positional value.

3 (3) - STL - Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State - Strong look at Richardson here. Considered Claiborne as well. Two guys that will play well on turf. But Blackmon is my #3, and Lloyd is not the next Holt - 1 good season, not young.

4 (4) - JAC - Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU - Between Claiborne and Floyd. Sorry, no senior captain with a clean record here.

5 (5) - CAR - Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame - I don't see this as much of a need, but he is the best non-QB on the board.

6 (6) - MIA - Matt Barkley, QB, USC - Ready to play right away, looks good in the pocket.

7 (7) - WAS - Robert Griffen, QB, Baylor - I bet he could complete passes upside down. Deep ball accuracy, accuracy on the run is unbelievable.

8 (8) - ARI - Jonathan Martin, LT, Stanford - He does not belong any higher. The need locks in this pick.

9 (9) - PHI - Alshon Jeffrey, WR, South Carolina - The Eagles I know don't pick a LB this high. And this creates a monster WR core. Yes, they still extend Jackson too.

10 (10) - CLE - Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama - A good value here, and you need weapons to help McCoy. Who gets one more year.

11 (11) - KC - Landry Jones, QB, Oklahoma - No one seems to think Cassel is anything special. Which means you need a better QB. And they need to keep their starting CBs. Yes, Jones had a bad game yesterday. But you can't let that affect the pick. Go back on MTD to 2009 around this time and see what we were saying about Bradford. Or 2010 about Locker. Cassel is entering the cheapest year of his contract, Jones does not have to play right away.

12 (12) - SEA - Quentin Coples, DE/DT, North Carolina - I think Seattle can make use of Coples' abilities with they way their D-line operates.

13 (13) - SD - Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama - Gave a lot of thought to his teammate Upshaw here, especially with Gilchrist and Wright drafted last year. I would have grabbed Jeffrey if he had fallen. CB and OLB are positions that will be hit by free agency soon, and I'd keep Phillips over an aging Jammer and Cason.

14 (14) - TB - Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska - Need and value match, thought about Konz here as well.

15 (15) - BUF - Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Alabama - Merriman is just dead weight. Upshaw is a true OLB that can get the QB but also play the run and some coverage.

16 (16) - TEN - Luke Kuechly, MLB, Boston College - Ruud has been a bust and Kuechly is just too good to pass up. He makes so many tackles because he's always in the right place. Always.

17 (17) - NYJ - Mike Adams, RT, Ohio State - It really vexes them that they cannot run or protect Sanchez, this pick solves both problems. I think Adams could play LT, but obviously not here with Ferguson.

18 (18) - DEN - David Wilson, RB, Virginia Tech - Great combination of size and speed, Fox will want to run the ball to help Tebow. The only other pick that I considered here was Zack Brown, but three LBs were drafted last year.

19 (19) - NYG - Peter Konz, C/G - Powerful but can pull, perfect Giants lineman. Although not a typical position pick this high, like the Jets, the desire to run the ball trumps all else.

20 (20) - CLE from ATL - Mohammed Sanu, WR, Rutgers - They need a do-it-all WR that can run all of the routes, get open, and make the catch. That's Sanu. The size and speed to play outside, yet does most of his work over the middle. Zach Brown again considered here, but the offense needs more help.

21 (21) - DAL - Janorris Jenkins, CB, Northern Alabama - Proved his ability last year against top SEC WRs, pot smoking at college is hardly a unique incident.

22 (22) - CIN from OAK - David DeCastro, G, Stanford - Great on his feet, tough. Between him and Boling it is hard to tell who will play left and who will play right, one will probably have to bulk up a little. Much more athletic combo than big Bobbie Williams and Livings.

23 (23) - CIN - Chase Minnifield, CB, Virginia - Physical player yet quick enough to play the slot for Virginia, Mike Brown knows the lineage well.

24 (24) - CHI - Dwight Jones, WR, North Carolina - Like Cleveland, they need a multi-ability WR. Knox and Hester are fast (understatement of the year), but someone has to run the full route tree.

25 (25) - DET - Riley Reiff, LT, Iowa - I think it's safe to call Backus old now. Many have Reiff higher, but I think that is ignoring talent for need. He lets a lot of rushers get inside him and needs some work. But he has the athletic ability to play the left side, and teams picking this low can't afford to pass good left tackle prospects if they have a need.

26 (26) - HOU - Brandon Thompson, NT, Clemson - A huge value pick that could have gone earlier, I'd consider giving him to KC at 11. But 1-tech DTs do not have positional value and a lot of higher teams are set in the middle.

27 (27) - NE - Melvin Ingram, OLB/DE, South Carolina - The ability to play multiple positions, but with Haynesworth gone and Ellis and Carter short-timers it would make sense to go back to a 3-4. I love his speed off the end. But he could play LDE. Or rush DT.

28 (28) - NE from NO - Jared Crick, DE/DT - Watch his tape from 2010. Or the Wisconsin game this year. Gets push on double teams. Bull rushes single blockers. Chases QBs to the sideline. I could give a crap that he's not 300 lbs. I look for results. He's a 3-4 DE in the Seymour mold, but he could play 3-tech DT like he does at Nebraska.

29 (29) - BAL - Vontaze Burfict, ILB, Arizona State - It helps to have Ray Lewis as a mentor. A defense with veteran leaders to try and straighten Burfict out. Because he needs straightening. Physical attacker needs to improve his thinking processes.

30 (30) - SF - Jayron Hosley, CB, Virginia Tech - Quick feet and tough for a small guy, a slot CB that will hit you. Sticks to WRs like glue. Keeps the tall Culliver outside.

31 (31) - PIT - Barrett Jones, LG/T, Alabama - Strong and agile, can play multiple positions, fits the Steelers mold. I'm leaning towards left guard, especially with my later picks.

32 (32) - GB - Vincent Curry, OLB, Marshall - A late riser on my board. I see him as an OLB, he hustles around the field and covers ground. Which is good because with Matthews on the other side he won't be a full-time rusher.

SECOND ROUND:

1 (33) - IND - Mike Brewster, C/G, Ohio State - Not the position Indy fans want, but I do not see a greater need I like here (see how far down my next WR and CB are picked). Indy has more regular players (starters and subs that play numerous snaps) as free agents than any other team, including at guard, so there are holes to fill. Brewster is not the strongest in this class, but he moves well and is intelligent - teams line up their DTs away from him, and he does a good job figuring out which guard to help - or often helps both.

2 (34) - STL - Zach Brown, OLB, North Carolina - A BPA pick that fell because of so many 3-4 teams drafting in the 20's. Rams have so many holes, they have to really focus on BPA.

3 (35) - MIN - Markelle Martin, FS, Oklahoma State - He's higher on my board than many others, I could also see him going to the Rams. Covers a lot of ground, makes intelligent decisions.

4 (36) - CAR - Kevin Zeitler, G, Wisconsin - The best offensive lineman left on my board, he can play left or right sides. Don't see any other good players to fit needs here, and this is a need.

5 (37) - MIA - Don'ta Hightower, ILB, Alabama - A BPA pick, can't believe he fell this far. Faster than everyone thinks (he played injured last year). Big hitter.

6 (38) - JAC - Brandon Jenkins, RDE, Florida State - I'm liking him more as a RDE now than an OLB, Kampman cannot be relied upon, a different kind of player than the larger DEs on the Jags roster. Small but moves off the left tackle well.

7 (39) - PHI from ARI - Manti Te'o, MLB, Notre Dame - This is where the top MLB usually falls. Although this does not match Philly draft history, I think LB is a special concern this year. Te'o and Chaney can play either MLB or SAM.

8 (40) - PHI - Nick Foles, QB, Arizona - A shocker. One QB goes to the desert, one comes back from the desert. I have him as a first round talent. Threads the needle more than any other QB in the draft. Vick is getting hurt often, backup QB gains high priority. Or future starter????

9 (41) - CLE - Whitney Mercilus, RDE, Illinois - Still looking for pieces to complete the swtich to 4-3, WILLs here but RDE ranks higher.

10 (42) - KC - Lamar Miller, RB, Miami - With Charles coming off a major injury and Jones aging, I see this as a necessary pick.

11 (43) - SEA - Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M - Really rethinking this after watching the Texas game. Physical skills but mentally lacking, but he is "new" at QB. Fans claim they want a mobile QB. Who starts in 2012 would be a big question. But without trading up, it's either Tannehill or wait until 2013.

12 (44) - SD - Dwayne Allen, TE, Clemson - A value pick to a team that knows how to use him, I keep reading reports that Gates' injury is long-term trouble, and he is not young.

13 (45) - TB - Kelechi Osemele, RT/G, Iowa State - I think very little of Trueblood, and the interior line could use help too. Blount needs big holes.

14 (46) - WAS - Casey Heyward, CB, Vanderbilt - Had this pick last week when Washington was higher, more comfortable with it now that they moved down the draft. Also happy to see a Redskins fan suggest it in another post. Heyward, like Jenkins, proved his worth one-on-one against top WRs..

15 (47) - BUF - Jarius Wright, WR, Arkansas - I have this guy at the top of the 2nd tier of WRs, can replace Parrish who was never that successful.

16 (48) - NYJ - Marvin McNutt, WR, Iowa - A late season riser with good hands and good routes, runs more of the tree than Edwards or Burress.

17 (49) - DEN - Stephen Gilmore, CB, South Carolina - He's athletic but I have him further back then most because his coverage skills are not great. Send him to live with Bailey.

18 (50) - NYG - LaMichael James, RB, Oregon - I'm not sure if I believe this myself. Bradshaw is a constant injury threat and Jacobs is declining, James brings speed and toughness for his size. Almost went Pead here.

19 (51) - TEN - Mark Barron, S, Alabama - Took a hard look at Ben Jones here. Titans have free agents and age at the safety position, and Barron is a very smart defender ready to play right away.

20 (52) - ATL - Andrew Datko, LT, Florida State - The uncertainty over his shoulder pushes him past the top of the 2nd round. The pros have better doctors. Good feet. Baker is coming up on free agency and has never performed at a 1st round level.

21 (53) - NE from OAK - Ben Jones, C, Georgia - A lot of teams will be looking at him. Koppen is likely done, and this completes the makeover of the old OL, only Mankins is left.

22 (54) - CIN - Cyrus Gray, RB, Texas A&M - He played hurt in the beginning of the year, and now is out. Neither career threatening. I remember 2010 when we were talking about a future 1st rounder. Considering Michael was healthy, don't know why A&M played him through the hamstring injury.

23 (55) - CHI - Brandon Washington, G, Miami - Better off moving back to guard. Can't really explain what the Bears are doing, and why Garza got a multi-year extension at his age and ability level, so don't be surprised if they draft zero OL. But I'm giving them one.

24 (56) - DAL - TJ McDonald, FS, USC - More secondary help for Dallas, a large athlete that needs to learn discipline, but Jones likes flashy.

25 (57) - DET - Ryan Broyles, WR, Oklahoma - Drops because of the injury, so a BPA here, but Burleson might become too expensive by the end of his contract.

26 (58) - NE - Jeff Fuller, WR, Texas A&M - Another big dropper, but he won't be expected to carry the load here so he would have time to develop. NE should use all of its picks this year to make a push while Brady and Wilfork are still dominating, plus, acquiring lots of picks has filled many holes, but had some misses, there are only a few holes left that need good young talent.

27 (59) - NO - Lavonte David, OLB, Nebraska - The speed to use in the dome, and a great job playing the run the last few weeks.

28 (60) - HOU - Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor - How scared were the fans when Johnson was injured? They definitely need more talent and depth at WR, and Wright is a good value here.

29 (61) - BAL - Robert Lester, S, Alabama - He's not going to be the next Ed Reed, but he understands his coverage responsibilites. Needs to come out now, he could look worse next year with two new CBs in front of him.

30 (62) - SF - Billy Winn, DE, Boise State - I know your DEs are playing well. But Winn is an incredible athlete and the best player available here, Smith will last longer if you give him some occasional rest.

31 (63) - PIT - Josh Chapman, NT, Alabama - The last step in Smith-Hampton-Keisel becoming Hood-Chapman-Heyward.

32 (64) - GB - Devon Still, DE, Penn State - Not a favorite player of mine but GB likes to rotate the D-line and they have had some turnover at DE.

THIRD ROUND:

1 (65) - IND - AJ Jenkins, WR, Illinois - Indy loves those 6-0 fast guys. Wayne should resign but Gonzalez is headed for semi-pro and Garcon could draw interest from other teams.

2 (66) - MIN - Alameda Ta'amu, DT, Washington - Big does not equal nose tackle. Needs a lot of technique work, hopefully Pat will stick around and help out. Strong upper body, quick for his size, but trouble anchoring. At this point, Minnesota should be looking for free agent WR help.

3 (67) - STL - Kawann Short, DT, Purdue - Need to get some pass rush up the middle, and he is the BPA here.

4 (68) - MIA - Greg Childs, WR, Arkansas - Size and speed if he can overcome his injuries, needs to shut down after the bowl game Might go Toon here or Cordy Glenn if he fails his medicals.

5 (69) - JAC - Nick Toon, WR, Wisconsin - Reliable hands and route running, a little less flashy because Wisconsin spreads the ball around.

6 (70) - CHI from CAR - Kendall Reyes, DT, Connecticut - A player I really like, good pursuit speed, and the pass rush a key aspect of the Lovie Smith defense.

7 (71) - PHI - Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin - 30+ touchdowns, probably because he never tried to pitch the ball backwards from the goal line.

8 (72) - CLE - Cordy Glenn, RG, Georgia - McCoy is taking a beating back there, and it's not because of Joe Thomas. Glenn is a great athlete for a big man, good feet.

9 (73) - KC - Zebrie Sanders, RT, Florida State - Much better athlete than anyone else the Chiefs have tried at right tackle.

10 (74) - SEA - Chris Polk, RB, Washington - Forsett had a good rookies year but has been slowly falling out of favor..

11 (75) - SD - Ronnell Lewis, OLB, Oklahoma - English is officially a bust and both current starters at OLB are free agents in 2013..

12 (76) - TB - Isaiah Pead, RB, Cincinnati - The exact opposite of Blount, real exciting player.

13 (77) - WAS - Joe Adams, WR, Arkansas - Last year they drafted taller outside WRs, this year they get a guy for the slot. Don't see any OL here for Shanahan's offense.

14 (78) - ARI - Chase Thomas, OLB, Stanford - Porter is done, and Thomas and Acho makes them younger and better. Also considered guards here.

15 (79) - BUF - Keith Tandy, CB, West Virginia - I think he has the potential to be a starter, good speed and coverage ability, many disappointments in Buffalo at CB. Can cover the slot.

16 (80) - DEN - Kirk Cousins, QB, Michigan State - No one is sure about Tebow, Cousins has a big arm and was impressive on a run-first team.

17 (81) - NYG - Keenan Robinson, LB, Texas - Giants stop squeezing players into the SAM role. A big, athletic, hard-hitting linebacker who will start when Kiwanuka moves back to DE.

18 (82) - TEN - Blake DeChristopher, G, Virginia Tech - Another team with a coaching change looking for bigger OL. Not quick enough for RT but he pulls very well.

19 (83) - NYJ - Shea McClellin, OLB, Boise State - Versatile athlete that can rush the passer but also handle the coverage responsibilites that the Jets put on their OLBs, takes the place of Thomas.

20 (84) - ATL - Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford - The new TE is overdone to Atlanta. But they need more pass catchers and Fleener is a good value here.

21 (85) - CIN - DeVier Posey, WR, Ohio State - Has looked good since returning to play, even though Miller is not throwing the ball much, and the cops are not monitoring his house for drug activity.

22 (86) - CHI - Cliff Harris, CB, Oregon - With good mass transit in Chicago Harris will not need to drive, Bears are a veteran team that can take in a young wildcard.

23 (87) - DAL - Kheeston Randall, DE, Texas - A lot of enphasis on defense but that is how the board is falling, and you have to do better than Kenyon Coleman, a career "because there is nobody better" player.

24 (88) - OAK - Lost due to drafting Terrelle Pryor in the 2011 supplemental draft.

25 (89) - DET - Levy Adcock, RG, Oklahoma State - I'm not sold on him as a tackle, but his tackle skills make him a good guard for a passing team.

26 (90) - NO - Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech - They are bound to lose a WR in free agency just like the Colts, and they can afford to wait while Hill learns a real passing offense.

27 (91) - HOU - Brandon Taylor, FS, LSU - With everyone watching their corners, people are missing their great safety play. Texans can ditch Manning's ridiculous contract to pay their OL.

28 (92) - NE - Neiko Thorpe, FS, Auburn - Still learning the position but a guy I see around the ball a lot, may be a slight reach here but it is hard to find a good free safety.

29 (93) - BAL - Brandon Mosley, LT, Auburn - Another player lost in the shadow of Cam. I was scouting Branch on Clemson early in the year, noticed Mosley instead.

30 (94) - SF - Eric Page, WR, Toledo - Great hands and catching ability, replacing Ginn in the slot.

31 (95) - PIT - Matt Reynolds, LT, BYU - I have a higher rating on him than most other people do. And the Steelers favor larger linemen like Starks.

32 (96) - GB - Brandon Weeden, QB, Oklahoma State - Need a good backup for this offense, maturity a plus in this instance. A lot of talk about other teams looking at Flynn

FOURTH ROUND:

1 (97) - IND - Leonard Johnson, CB, Iowa State - Speedy CB that has done well against top competition.

2 (98) - STL - Doug Martin, RB, Boise State - A do-it-all back with good speed and receiving ability.

3 (99) - MIN - Jordan White, WR, Western Michigan - Later than I wanted to address WR but the board did not cooperate, since there are a lot of holes to fill.

4 (100) - JAC - Juron Criner, WR, Arizona - Very good hands, just not very quick.

5 (101) - CAR - Brandon Boykin, CB, Georgia - Good athlete that still needs work on coverage skills, but plays physical, and can handle returns.

6 (102) - MIA - Mike Ryan, RT, Connecticut - Much more athletic than their other recent RTs.

7 (103) - CLE - Travis Lewis, LB, Oklahoma - A good value here to play WILL, pushed back by too many 3- 4 teams.

8 (104) - KC - Dontari Poe, NT, Memphis - Needed even with Powe drafted last year, Gregg is ancient.

9 (105) - SEA - Frank Alexander, DE, Oklahoma - Taking value off the board, and another outside rusher to pair with or back up Clemons.

10 (106) - SD - Ryan Miller, RT, Colorado - Tall and athletic, will upgrade the pass protection.

11 (107) - PHI from TB - Emmanuel Acho, LB, Texas - Athletic LB with size, could be used as a size upgrade over Rolle or a speed upgrade over Chaney.

12 (108) - WAS - William Vlachos, C, Alabama - Small but powerful center that opens big holes for the running game.

13 (109) - ARI - Marquis Maze, WR, Alabama - They can use a slot WR, speed and elusiveness, can handle returns if Peterson becomes too valuable to risk.

14 (110) - PHI - Nate Potter, T, Boise State - I have him lower than most, don't like him a LT. He's a better backup than Dunlap, though, and can allow Herremans to move back to guard if necessary.

15 (111) - BUF - Bruce Irvin, OLB, West Virginia - A role player only, but good value here.

16 (112) - NYG - BJ Cunningham, WR, Michigan State - He catches the football when it hits his hands and makes plays.

17 (113) - TEN - TY Hilton, WR, Florida International - A team full of outside WRs can use a good slot guy.

18 (114) - NYJ - D'Anton Lynn, FS, Penn State - They draft a coach's son to play coverage safety.

19 (115) - DEN - Lucas Nix, G/RT, Pittsburgh - Similar to ex-teammate Pinkston is that he's a guard-tackle tweener that can play multiple positions, maybe Franklin moves inside.

20 (116) - CLE from ATL - Audie Cole, LB, North Carolina State - Will move back to SAM for a 4-3 team.

21 (117) - CHI - Kellen Moore, QB, Boise State - On an offense built around the QB, you need a great backup.

22 (118) - DAL - Julian Miller, OLB, West Virginia - Looking for someone to push Spencer.

23 (119) - WAS from OAK - Tank Carder, ILB, TCU - I can't believe he fell this far. How can you pass on a player named Tank?

24 (120) - CIN - Trumaine Johnson, CB/FS, Montana - He drops a little with the character concerns, but the cop pulled a taser out to break up a noisy party, I can hardly blame him.

25 (121) - DET - Andre Branch, DE, Clemson - After dropping this far the Lions grab the top player still on the board. I don't think he's quick enough to go higher, but he plays the run well. Future LDE if Avril moves over?

26 (122) - HOU - Moe Petrus, C/G - The strength of the Texans is the interior OL play. Petrus insures against injury or free agent losses.

27 (123) - NE - Kenny Tate, S, Maryland - Belichick will find a way to make use of him.

28 (124) - NO - Cam Johnson, DE, Virginia - It's hard to ignore BPA pass rushers in the late rounds, Romeus is still an unknown.

29 (125) - BUF from BAL - Bernard Pierce, RB, Temple - Jackson's injury showed the need for someone else to be physical and absorb some carries.

30 (126) - SF - Trenton Robinson, FS, Michigan State - Need a long-term solution at the position.

31 (127) - PIT - Aaron Henry, S, Wisconsin - Taking a shot at upgrading Clark.

32 (128) - GB - Jerry Franklin, ILB, Arkansas - Restoring some depth to the position, a guy that caught my eye when I was not scouting him.

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