Is Matt Cain Great? Or Just Lucky?

Paapfly writes about sabermetrics-defying Matt Cain, and includes this beautifully nerd-friendly line: “FIP is no friend to Cain, and xFIP is his mortal enemy.”

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I’m still not sure what to think about Cain, but this is a great introduction to the ongoing battle.

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Update: Dave Cameron takes a good look at HR/FB rates, and the news for Cain's supporters is not particularly encouraging.

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