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Fantasy Racing at Talladega

Mat Kenseth in dominating fashion won at Texas last Saturday night.  No surprise a won.  But who wins at Talladega?

 

Favorites:

Dale Earnhardt has been the man at Talladega.  In 22 starts Earnhardt Jr has five wins (four of which were consecutive), eight top fives, 11 top tens, 696 laps lead, and an averafe finish of 15.09.  Jr hasn't won here since the fall of 2004 and since then has only finished in the top five once and the top ten three times. But Jr is perhaps a new Jr and with his new crew chief and being up to sixth in points this culd be the same Jr who win six races and show plate dominance.

Tony Stewart is known as Jr's favorite dancing partner at Talladega.  But Stewart has had his own fair share of success.  In 24 start Smoke has one win, nine top fives, 12 top tens, 270 laps lead and an average finish of 15.46.  Stewart hasn't recorded a top ten since win there in the fall of 2008, but Stewart is still a favorite and will be one to beat Sunday.

Jeff Gordon is also one of the best racers the sport has.  In 36 starts Gordon has six wins, 13 top fives, 17 top tens, 822 laps lead, and an average finish of 16.42.  Gordon swept the races in 2007 but since then only has one top ten at Talladega.  But his finishes don't reflect his performance watch out for him.

Jamie McMurray in 2010 became known as "Mr.Restrictor Plate".  In17 starts McMurray has one win, five top fives, six top tens, 170 laps lead, and an average finish of 19.18.  In the last three races there taking out the fall race McMurray and has won and finished second in two of them.  Odds say he could be the favorite.

Kevin Harvick got into what was the three car and drives almost like the late Dale Earnhardt when it comes to Restrictor plates.  In 20 starts Harvick has one win in exciting fashion, five top fives, nine top tens, 120 laps lead, and an average finish of 14.80.  Harvick won and finished second in the Talladega races in 2010.  He already recorded two wins, a third could come.

Clint Bowyer used to struggle at Talladega but now he thrives.  In ten starts Bowyer has one win, two top fives, four top tens, 25 laps lead, and an average finish of 19.40.  Bowyer scored a top ten in the first races here in 2010 and beat his teammate Harvick to win in the fall.  Bowyer is coming on strong and Talladega could continue that trend.

Ones to watch:

Kurt Busch is more then likely the best restrictor plate racer without a win.  In 20 starts Busch has six top fives, 13 top tens, 113 laps lead, and an average finish of 13.70.  Busch won the non point races at Faytona and Talladega could finally end the way he wants it to. With a win.

Brad Keselowskiis the best driver with more then three starts at Talladega.  In four starts Keselowski has one win, one top fives, three top tens, 18 laps lead, and an average finish of 13.25.  Keselowski's best finish this season is 15th, Talladega could be a momentum changer.

Joey Logano like Keselowski has been impressive at Talladega.  In four starts Logano has two top fives, three top tens, 22 laps lead, and an average finish of 13.25.  Logano has had it rough in 2011.  His best finish is 13th at Martinsville and that was his only lead lap finish.  If he can stay out of trouble at Talladega he could finally have a good races.

Trevor Banye has never started a Cup race at Talladega but he is the Daytona 500 champion and that makes him one to watch.

Pick: 

Jamie McMurrayhas had a rough season thus far with one top ten but he has been strong.  He is one of the best on these plate tracks and is a good bet for Sunday.  A win would help McMurray's bid for the chase.

Top ten:

1.Jamie McMurray

2.Dale Earnhardt

3.Tony Stewart

4.Ryan Newman

5.Landon Cassil (09 car folks won here in 2009)

6.Brad Keselowski

7.Kevin Harvick

8.Clint Bowyer

9.Travis Kvapil

10.Trevor Bayne.

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