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MtD Consensus Mock Draft


There are a lot of mock drafts out there from so-called "experts," and sometimes, "consensus" mock drafts are compiled from these mock drafts.

I think its a great concept. I believe, however, that these experts are no better than dedicated fans like us. So, I decided to compile a consensus mock draft of the 1st round based on the last 15 mock drafts by the community.

Note: I did not use any mocks that simulated trades.

1) Carolina Panthers

Cam Newton, QB  73%

 

2) Denver Broncos

Marcel Dareus, DT  66.6%

 

3) Buffalo Bills

Von Miller, OLB 66.6%

 

4) Cincinnati Bengals

A.J. Green, WR 53.3%

 

5) Arizona Cardinals

Blaine Gabbert, QB 46.6%

 

6) Cleveland Browns

Julio Jones, WR 26.6% (A.J. Green was taken; 40%)

 

7) San Francisco 49ers

Patrick Peterson, CB 60%


8) Tennessee Titans

Nick Fairley, DT 80%


9) Dallas Cowboys

Tyron Smith, OT 66.6%


10) Washington Redskins

Robert Quinn, OLB 13.3% (Julio Jones was taken; 60%)


11) Houston Texans

Prince Amukamara, CB 33.3%


12) Minnesota Vikings

DaQuan Bowers, DE 66.6%


13) Detroit Lions

Cameron Jordan, DE 33.3% (Prince Amukamara was taken; 33.3%)


14) St. Louis Rams

Corey Liuget, DT 60%


15) Miami Dolphins

Mark Ingram, RB 66.6%


16) Jacksonville Jaguars

Aldon Smith, DE 26.6% (Ryan Kerrigan, DE tied at 26.6%)


17) New England Patriots

Gabe Carimi, OT 26.6%


18) San Diego Chargers

J.J. Watt, DE 33.3% (Aldon Smith was taken; 33.3%)


19) New York Giants

Mike Pouncey, C 46.6%


20) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Ryan Kerrigan, DE 46.6%


21) Kansas City Chiefs

Phil Taylor, NT 53.3%


22) Indianapolis Colts

Anthony Castonzo, OT 46.6%


23) Philadelphia Eagles

Jimmy Smith, CB 46.6% (Notable: Gabe Carimi 40%)


24) New Orleans Saints

Adrian Clayborn, DE 40%


25) Seattle Seahawks

Jake Locker, QB 46.6%


26) Baltimore Ravens

Justin Houston, OLB 26.6% (Notable: Akeem Ayers 20%; Jimmy Smith 20%)


27) Atlanta Falcons

Torrey Smith, WR 13.3% (Adrian Clayborn, 20%, and Mike Pouncey, 13.3%, were taken)


28) New England Patriots

Cameron Heyward, DE 33.3%


29) Chicago Bears

Nate Solder, OT 33.3%


30) New York Jets

Muhammad Wilkerson, DE 26.6% (Notable: Phil Taylor 26.6% and Akeem Ayers 20%)


31) Pittsburgh Steelers

Brandon Harris, CB 46.6%


32) Green Bay Packers

Derek Sherrod, OT 26.6% (Notable: Justin Houston 20%)

 

Interesting Facts:

- New England was interesting because they own two picks in the 1st round, so half the picks for each were allocated to defense and offense.

- Atlanta was the most difficult selection, as there were 10 different prospects mocked to them.

- Jacksonville was the only selection where I had to make a tiebreaker, as both Ryan Kerrigan and Aldon Smith were available and tied. I flipped a coin for this selection.

- The lead pipe lock, according to MtD draftniks is Nick Fairley going to the Titans, with the highest percentage (80%) being mocked to them.

- The biggest loser, if the real thing shakes out this way, is the Washington Redskins. They had the highest dropoff in percentage mocked. Since Julio Jones was mocked to them a whopping 60% of the time, but already taken by Cleveland. The next highest was Robert Quinn at a paltry 13.3%. It was the largest such dropoff in the entire draft.

- Only 3 QBs were taken (more were mocked, but did not receive enough votes to be the picks). Cam Newton, Blaine Gabbert, and finally Jake Locker.

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