Durst's revised 2011 draft (with trades and explanations)

The Falcons  follow my plan!

see what all 32 teams will do after the  jump:


NFL Mock Draft - 04/26/2011
Round 1
1. Carolina Panthers
Cam Newton, QB Auburn. 

ESPN's Sal Paolantonio is "on site" at Carolina HQ, and  confirms that  Cam Newton is the "odds-on favorite" for the No. 1 overall pick.  I think he will be the biggest "bust" of the decade.

2. Denver Broncos

Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama

A lot of talk about Von Miller to the Broncos has surfaced but I think that is misinformation. 

But in Dareus they get the run-stuffer that would make head coach John Fox happy, and he'd represent a cornerstone around which to build in Denver's transition back to a 4-3 defense.
3. Buffalo Bills

Von Miller, OLB, Texas AM :

Blaine Gabbert will be tempting, but the Bills will address their need for a pass rusher with the third pick. Only three teams had fewer sacks than Buffalo’s 27 in 2010, and it’s painfully obvious that Aaron Maybin isn’t the answer.

4. Cincinnati Bengals
A.J. Green, WR, Georgia: Goodbye TO and Ocho Cinco.  Expect new O.C. Jay Gruden to look for a quarterback in the second round ... possibly Ryan Mallett.

5. Dallas Cowboys (from Arizona for #9 and Dallas's 2nd round pick)

Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU:  Jerry Jones has long been rumored to be infatuated with Peterson thanks to his blend of size and playmaking ability. Is Patrick Peterson is the best SAFETY in this draft?

 6. Cleveland Browns
Julio Jones, WR, Alabama:  despite the need for Dline help as the Browns convert to a 4-3 defense, second-year quarterback Colt McCoy can't fully develop without a go-to outside weapon. In 2010 the Browns top two receivers were a TE and a RB.
7. San Francisco 49ers

Blaine Gabbert:  The 49ers probably won't pass if Gabbert falls this far. 

 Note: A team like Washington might try to trade into the slot to get Gabbert if he slides past No. 5.'s Mike Mayock says " I love the marriage of Gabbert and coach Jim Harbaugh". Gabbert reportedly ran more of a pro offense in high school, and was a 5 star recruit, who originally committed to Nebraska to run then Cornhuskers coach Callahan's west coast offense. 

8. Tennessee Titans
Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn  Mike Munchak has witnessed the demise of the Titans' defense since the departure of Haynesworth. Fairley's red flags are a concern, but he has big-time ability and is a perfect fit as a three-technique in their new scheme.  Having former Auburn assistant Tracy Rocker on the Titans' new staff couldn't hurt.
9.  Arizona Cardinals (from Dallas)
Tyron Smith, OT, Southern California: After moving down from No. 5, the Cardinals missed out on Gabbert.  Smith is a potentially elite left tackle prospect, and OT is a really underrated need for the Cardinals.
10. Detroit (from Washington Redskins, for #13 and Detroits 3rd round pick)

Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska

The Lions biggest need is at the cornerback position and Amukamara can immediately contribute.  They make this trade because there is a great possibility that the cornerback needy Texans select Amukamara at #11.

11. Houston Texans

Aldon Smith, OLB : John McClain of the Houston Chronicle remains steadfast that the Texans will take Aldon Smith at No. 11.  He believes Houston would take Smith over Robert Quinn due to concerns Quinn's benign brain tumor may reappear.

12. Minnesota Vikings

Robert Quinn, DE UNC:  The "Williams Wall" is no longer the teams strength.
 13. Washington (from Detroit Lions)

 Cameron Jordan, DE, California. Haynesworth doesn't like th
14. St. Louis Rams

Corey Liuget, DT, IllinoisJulio Jones isn't falling to the Rams and in all likelihood St. Louis isn't moving up to get him.

Look back at Steve Spagnuolo's Super Bowl defense, when his Giants beat the Patriots. Players came in waves, particularly from the interior, to batter Tom Brady.

15. Seattle Seahawks (from Miami Dolphins, for #25 and #57)

Jake Locker Qb, Washington:  coach Carroll once called Locker the best college QB he ever faced:

I think his protege, and current Huskies coach Steve Sarkisian has also put more than a few good words

16. Jacksonville Jaguars

Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue: Kerrigan has a nonstop motor, and underrated athleticism.  The Jags have invested heavily on DLine over the last few years, some like Tyson Alualu and Terrance Knighton worked out, others like Derrick Harvey and Quintin Groves did not.

17. Philadelphia Eagles (from New England Patriots, from Oakland for # 23 3rd and 4th rounder)

Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado: Smith is a big, physical corner who had some off-the-field issues. However, there are some personnel men who think Smith is the best of the CB group. The Eagles have also shown in the past that they're not afraid to deal picks.

18. San Diego Chargers

J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin:  The Chargers' need for a disruptive 3-4 defensive end with size, speed and a great motor finds its perfect match in Watt, the former Central Michigan tight end who can both stand up against the run and chase down the passer. Plus, he just seems like a no-nonsense, A.J. Smith kind of guy. 

19. New York Giants

Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College: With an aging offensive line and Giant's head coach Tom Coughlin connections with BC, the Giants pick Castonzo who has been called the most pro-ready OT in this draft

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson

Appearing on PFT Live Wednesday, NFL Network's Mike Mayock suggested that Clemson DE Da'Quan Bowers could be in store for "a long fall" on the first day of the draft.  The slide stops here for Bowers, who was once thought of as a potential top overall pick. Bowers provides an immediate explosion off the edge for a defense that was 30th in total sacks last season.

21. Kansas City Chiefs

Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA:  Not only does Ayers fit a need as a complement to Tamba Hali, he fits GM Scott Pioli's criteria as a former team captain and leader. Ayers played outside linebacker in the 4-3 at UCLA, but many feel that his best fit in the NFL is as a 3-4 outside linebacker.
22.  Pittsburgh (from Indianapolis Colts for #31 + their 3rd and 5th round picks)

Mike Pouncey, OG, Florida

NFL Network's Jason LaCanfora reports the Steelers will "exhaust all realistic possible scenarios" to trade up for Florida OG Mike Pouncey.

23. New England (from Philadelphia Eagles)

Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple: The DE spot opposite Ty Warren has been barren since Seymour was shipped to Oakland prior to the '09 season.  Wilkerson has all the traits of a solid DE in their scheme.
24. New Orleans Saints

Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa Concerns about Clayborn's decline in production in 2010 and a medical condition called Erb's Palsy are given as reasons why this former Hawkeye could slip on draft day.

Clayborn gets a bump up after Justin Houston (believed by most pundits to be a mid-to-late first-round prospect) failed a drug test at the combine— and according to, that's his second substance abuse violation.

25. Miami Dolphins (from Seattle Seahawks)

Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama  The Dolphins desperately want to trade down to regain a second-round pick.

No matter who the quarterback is in Miami they will need to depend on a solid running game.  Both Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown are declining so adding Ingram would help rejuvenate the running game.

26. Baltimore Ravens

Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin: If Carimi is able to handle the "blind side", Michael Oher will move back to RT
27.Tennessee  (from Atlanta for Titans #39 and 77)

Andy Dalton QB, TCU: Difficult to say which QB the Titans prefer, but I am pretty sure they will trade up for one of them. 

It's amazing what "intangibles" and "quarterback wins" will do.... his alleged win total of 42 was helped considerably by one of the best defenses in the nation, but no player has risen up more mocks and analyst draft boards than Dalton.  I would rather spend a 5th rounder on Greg McElroy than a second on Dalton

28. Oakland Raiders (from New England Patriots for next years 1st round pick and this years 2nd round pick)

Colin Kaepernick, QB, Nevada:

The San Francisco Chronicle reports that the Raiders are trying to trade into the first round of the draft.

The Raiders traded their 2011 first-rounder for Richard Seymour, so their highest pick this year is No. 48. Wes Bunting of the National Football and arm strength would appeaPost is "hearing" Nevada QB Colin Kaepernick is "the guy they like," 

I compare him to former # 1 pick Alex Smith of the 49ers, both are perfect for thier college offense, and I loved them in college, but are not great pro prospects

29. Chicago Bears

Nate Soldier, LT, Colorado:  Oline coach Mike Tice is one of the NFL's finest. While Soldier is the most raw of the 1st round OTs

30. New York Jets

Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State:
31. Colts (from Pittsburgh Steelers)

Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State:

GM Bill Polian suggested after the season that he might have made a mistake in not drafting Indiana offensive tackle Rodger Saffold with the 31st overall pick last year. Saffold went on to star with the Rams. Don't expect the Colts to pass up a similarly gifted blocker this year.

32. Green Bay Packers

Ras-I Dowling, CB, Virginia: Surprising pick the press corner who might have been generating earlier first-round consideration had his senior season not been ruined by multiple leg injuries. May replace Charles Woodson sooner rather than later.


NOTE: In addition, I think Buffalo drafts Christian Ponder and The Bengals draft Ryan Mallett at the begaining of the second round.

#39 from Titans

Jabaal Sheard, DE, Pittsburgh: The Falcons feature one of the league's best pass rushers in John Abraham, but offer little to support him. Abraham, 33, finished with 13 sacks last year, but counterpart Kroy Biermann had only three sacks in 14 starts. Sheard (6-3, 264 pounds) has a nearly identical build as Abraham (6-4, 263) and Biermann (6-3, 260) and offers some explosiveness as a pass rusher to compliment the two veterans. Sheard, the 2010 Big East Defensive Player of the Year, impressed scouts with his ability to step up his level of play after Pitt's "other" top pass rusher Greg Romeus was sidelined with injuries. 

read more: Jabaal Sheard, DE Pittsburg (trade down target)


59. Atlanta Falcons

Jerrel Jernigan, WR, Troy : An explosive slot candidate, Jernigan's speed and elusiveness could help make a very good Atlanta offense the league's most difficult to defend.

read more: Jerrel Jernigan: WR 5-foot-9, 185 pounds


#77  from Titans = Kendall Hunter RB, Ok State:  A change-of-pace back that may develope into the next Ray Rice-Maurice Jones Drew. 

read more: RB Kendall Hunter: Oklahoma State,  5-8/197

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