FanPost

Fantasy Racing Texas

Kevin Harvick after winning at Martinsville and beating Dale Earnhardt Jr with four laps to go won back to back races.

Harvick up until that point had never won at Martinsville in the cup series.  Can he do the same at Texas?

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Carl Edwards stats are part impressive and part huh?  Edwards has three wins, and 476 laps lead at Texas.  But outside of those wins he has only one other top ten, has one pole, and an average finish of 17.67 in 12 starts.  That means Edwards typically only does well at Texas when he is running well and he is running well thus far.

Jeff Burton has two wins at Texas which are ten years but only has one top five out side of those wins.  But Burton has nine top tens,  156 laps lead, and an average finish of 16.10 in 20 starts.  He is one of three drivers win multiple races at Texas and that makes him a favorite.

Denny Hamlin is the most recent of drivers to win multiple races at Texas. In fact he did the Texas two step in 2010 becoming the first driver to sweep both Texas races.  In 11 starts Hamlin has two wins, five top fives, eight top tens, 131 laps lead, and an average finish of 8.82.  Hamlin has had much fortune in 2011 but history shows he will be strong Saturday night.

Matt Kenseth has been perhaps the most consistent driver at Texas in typical Kenseth fashion.  In 17 starts Kenseth has one win, eight top fives, 11 top tens, 500 laps lead, and an average finish of 9.47.  Kenseth is coming off of two fourths and a sixth Texas could be his races.

Tony Stewart has trouble at Texas last season but he is still really good here.  In 18 starts Smoke has won win in which he lead 278 laps, four top fives, ten top tens, 542 laps lead, one pole, and an average finish of 13.22. Stewart has shown most likely the most strength on the mile and a halfs tracks there is no reason he couldn't win Saturday night.

Jimmie Johnson like Stewart always seems to be a favorite every week.  In 15 starts Johnson has one win, seven top fives, 11 top tens, 118 laps lead, and an avaerage finish of 10.07.  Johnson in the last seven races in Texas has finished 1st, 2nd, 15th, 2nd, 38th, 2nd and 9th.  Throw out the 38th place finish and that is average finish of 5.1.

Ones to Watch;

Kurt Busch maybe should be considered at favorite at Texas.  In 16 starts the elder Busch has one win, three top fives, ten top tens, 185 laps lead, and an average finish of 13.81. But Busch in the last two races hasn't shown a lot of strength but he can win at Texas.

Dale Earnhardt Jr loves Texas.  He has one win there which was his first career win, three top fives, eight top tens, 446 laps lead, two poles, and an average finish of 14.82.  Jr has been solid all season long.  He sniffed victory lane at Martinsville and that could set him off to score his 19th career victory.

Greg Biffle is one of the best drivers on the mile and a half tracks.  In 14 starts Biffle has one win, four top fives, seven top tens, 612 laps lead, but an average finish of 19.00 which is the worst of any driver in this article.  Biffle hasn't been himself this year.  He does have one top ten finish of 8th at Bristol but he just hasn't shown strengthth like Edwards, Kenseth or even David Ragan.

Kevin Harvick does very well at Texas.  In 16 starts Harvick has three top fives, eight top tens, but amazingly only five laps lead.  But an average ifnish of 12.44.  Harvick is on a hot streak and he could make in three for three at Texas.

Kyle Busch has been dominant at Texas in the nationwide series.  In Cup pretty good too.  In 12 starts shrub has four top fives five top tens, 441 laps lead, and an average finish of 16.17. 

And how about Jamie McMurray.  Got his first top ten of the year at Martinsville and moved up five spots in points to 23rd.  McMurray in 14 starts at Texas has three top fives, six top tens, 70 laps lead, and an average finish 16.50.  McMurray won at Charlotte last year the sister track to Texas he could grab his first win of 2011 at Texas.

Winner:  Carl Edwards

Carl Edwards has been up and down at Texas.  How does someone with three wins and 476 laps lead.  But in 12 starts Edwards has an average finish of 17.67 and only one top ten outside of his wins which was a tenth in the spring race in 2009.  YetEdwards has been strong this season with a win, three top fives and four top tens in six races.  When Edwards is having a good season he is usually fast at Texas and I expect nothing less.


Top ten: 

1. Carl Edwards

2.Tony Stewart

3.Jamie McMurray

4.Matt Kenseth

5.Denny Hamlin

6.Kyle Busch

7.Jimmie Johnson

8.Kevin Harvick

9.Clint Bowyer

10.David Reuitmann

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