2012 Breeders' Cup: Juvenile preview

Harry How

Power Broker and Shanghai Bobby lead the Juvenile field.

Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile
1 1/16 Miles, Dirt
Two-year-olds
$2,000,000

Day: Saturday, Nov. 3
Post Time: 11:36 a.m ET
TV: NBCSN

This year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile field is one of the weaker collection of colts to enter this race in quite some time. Typically, the winner of the Juvenile is the winter book favorite (or one of the favorites) for the Kentucky Derby, but with the exception of one or two horses in the field, this group doesn't appear destined for greatness next spring. Of course, attempting to judge the long term talents of a field of juveniles is incredibly difficult under any circumstances. But in this case, many of the Juvenile contenders have accomplish so little that it's difficult envisioning prolonged success in the coming months.

Shanghai Bobby is by far the most accomplished horse in the field and a legitimate favorite at 2/1 on the morning line. He's undefeated in four lifetime starts and has wins in the G2-Hopeful and G1-Champagne on his resume. He could be closer to even money on the tote board by the time this field goes to post.

Speak Logistics ships into the Breeders' Cup from Calder Race Course in Florida, where he's coming off a nice victory in the FSN Reality Stakes, an ungraded and restricted stakes race at two-turns. That two-turn experience could be valuable against a field where many haven't attempted a route race. Speak Logistics likes to get out and run hard in the early stages, a difficult way to win a race when there are other speed horses in the starting gate.

Power Broker dominated the G1-Front Runner at Santa Anita in his last start and is another quality colt in the deep barn of trainer Bob Baffert. This colt failed to win a race in her three starts over turf and Polytrack but "woke up" when touching the dirt for the first time at Santa Anita. Like Speak Logistics, Power Broker has won a race at two-turns.

Title Contender comes into the race after breaking his maiden at Santa Anita in his most recent start for Bob Baffert. One wonders how many good juveniles Bob Baffert can train in a single season as there is no end to the talent in his barn.

The Pick

Power Broker's prior success over the Santa Anita dirt track, and his wide post position that should allow jockey Rafael Bejarano to pick and choose where to place his ride in the early stages, which should make him awfully tough to beat.

9-Power Broker (5/2)
8-Fortify (9/2)
4-Shanghai Bobby (2/1)

The Field

Post Horse Jockey Trainer ML Odds
1 Title Contender M. Garcia B. Baffert 6/1
2 Speak Logistics A. Serpa E. Plesa, Jr. 8/1
3 He's Had Enough M. Gutierrez D. O'Neill 20/1
4 Shanghai Bobby R. Napravnik T. Pletcher 2/1
5 Monument J. Talamo J. Sadler 12/1
6 Dynamic Sky L. Contreras M. Casse 12/1
7 Capo Bastone J. Rosario J. Sadler 15/1
8 Fortify R. Dominguez K. McLaughlin 9/2
9 Power Broker R. Bejarano B. Baffert 5/2

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.