We break down the fantasy projections for this Sunday’s matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills at Ralph Wilson Stadium.
Although he was sacked by the Tennessee Titans seven times last week, veteran quarterback Chad Henne managed to lead the Jags to their second win of the season in Week 12. The fifth year passer out of Michigan University threw for 261 yards and two touchdowns (including an interception) in just his second appearance of the season. Henne's counterpart this week will be Ryan Fitzpatrick, who like the rest of the Buffalo Bills has had a very inconsistent year. The former Ivy League graduate has been held under 200 yards passing in each of his last two starts. Though neither quarterback is the type of player who can single handedly lead your fantasy team to victory, neither team's secondary is anything to fear, so both pivots should get a chance to post above average fantasy numbers this week.
Such over inflated numbers will particularly benefit the Jaguars' receiving corps. as it appears Cecil Shorts and Justin Blackmon have turned the corner in their rookie seasons and shown flashes of the fantasy juggernauts they will be in the coming years. Blackmon scored a touchdown in his second straight game last week (five catches for 62 yards) while Shorts scored for the third straight week (four catches for 105 yards). Though both players missed practice due to injuries on Thursday, they are both expected to start on Sunday.
Stevie Johnson will have to step up his game to provide the Bills with any kind of an air attack, and a match against Jacksonville's pass defense may do the trick. Johnson finally managed to post his first 100-yard receiving game of the season against Indianapolis in Week 12. The performance represents some much-needed production for Johnson, who has not scored a touchdown since Week 7. Johnson may be counted on even more given Donald Jones' absence from practice on Friday.
If there is one area where the Bills hold a definitive advantage over the Jaguars, it will come in the backfield, especially considering the Jags sit 29th overall against the run. C.J. Spiller has averaged a spectacular 6.7 yards a carry this season. Considering Bills coach Chan Gailey said he'd like a 60-40% split in carries between Spiller and teammate Fred Jackson, both could be in line for solid fantasy numbers on Sunday. The dynamic duo in Buffalo will face-off against Rashad Jennings, who is the default starter for Jacksonville with Jalen Parmele and Maurice Jones-Drew both out due to injuries. Jennings has not done as well as many fantasy owners envisioned this year, but Buffalo has given up the second most yards per game to opposing rushing attacks in the league this season (over 147 yards per game allowed...only New Orleans allows more).
To say the least, Sunday's game between these two bottom-feeding teams could be one of the higher scoring affairs of Week 13.
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