It really feels like the NFL season just started, and yet there are only two more of these posts left after this week. Where has the season gone? For that matter, where has the entirety of 2012 gone? Good thing I've already begun writing "2013" on all my checks to get ahead of the game.
I tend to underestimate how many new readers we pick up each week in this column, and in the last few weeks I've heard from some readers that they don't quite follow what the various charts and stats mean. For those of you who are new here, you can get an explanation of what all these tables mean.
I still remain unconvinced about the Colts, and I still contend the same thing that happened to the 2010 Chiefs will happen to the Colts should they make the playoffs.
Division Averages
Division | Avg Ranking |
---|---|
NFC West | 13.0278 |
NFC South | 14.6111 |
NFC North | 14.8056 |
NFC East | 14.8889 |
AFC North | 15.7917 |
AFC East | 17.8056 |
AFC South | 18.9722 |
AFC West | 22.0972 |
Oh good, the NFC divisions are all better than the AFC divisions. All is right in the world again. Amusing too that the best and worst teams are in the west.
Stock Rising
Team | Week 15 Average | Week 16 Average | Difference |
---|---|---|---|
CAR | 21.477 | 16.851 | 4.626 |
NO | 19.693 | 16.007 | 3.686 |
WAS | 11.602 | 8.617 | 2.985 |
ARI | 28.290 | 25.948 | 2.342 |
ATL | 7.278 | 5.026 | 2.252 |
Stock Falling
Team | Week 15 Average | Week 16 Average | Difference |
---|---|---|---|
NYG | 5.881 | 9.409 | -3.528 |
TB | 16.006 | 19.494 | -3.488 |
DET | 21.318 | 24.299 | -2.981 |
SDG | 22.250 | 24.753 | -2.503 |
PIT | 13.773 | 16.058 | -2.285 |
Subjective Average
Subjective | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Broncos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.546 | 0.909 | ||
49ers | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1.818 | 2.182 | ||
Falcons | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3.909 | 1.273 | ||
Texans | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3.909 | -1.000 | ||
Patriots | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4.000 | -3.000 | ||
Packers | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5.818 | 0.091 | ||
Seahawks | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7.000 | 1.818 | ||
Redskins | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8.091 | 3.364 | ||
Colts | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10.727 | -1.000 | ||
Ravens | 11 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10.818 | -2.272 | ||
Giants | 12 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10.818 | -4.182 | ||
Cowboys | 10 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 11.727 | 1.909 | ||
Bengals | 13 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11.909 | 2.818 | ||
Vikings | 15 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13.727 | 1.546 | ||
Bears | 14 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 14.727 | -2.454 | ||
Steelers | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15.546 | -2.000 | ||
Saints | 18 | 17 | 23 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17.727 | 1.909 | ||
Rams | 17 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18.636 | -1.090 | ||
Dolphins | 19 | 19 | 25 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 19.818 | 2.364 | ||
Buccaneers | 20 | 21 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20.273 | -2.637 | ||
Panthers | 23 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 21 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20.273 | 4.182 | ||
Browns | 22 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 23 | 18 | 22 | 23 | 22.546 | -0.728 | ||
Jets | 21 | 26 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 18 | 24 | 26 | 22 | 22.818 | -1.636 | ||
Titans | 26 | 24 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 29 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 24.182 | 2.909 | ||
Chargers | 24 | 23 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 24.364 | -2.364 | ||
Bills | 25 | 29 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 25.273 | -0.637 | ||
Cardinals | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 27.182 | 2.273 | ||
Lions | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 28 | 27.455 | -2.819 | ||
Eagles | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 28.546 | -1.455 | ||
Raiders | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29.818 | 0.818 | ||
Jaguars | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31.273 | -0.182 | ||
Chiefs | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31.727 | -0.909 |
Observations:
- It happened to the 49ers, Texans and Falcons: the Patriots finally became the unanimous number-one team and subsequently lose the following week. Don't worry New England fans, you're in good company.
- There is no unanimous pick as to who should inherit that throne. Though the Broncos are now the leading candidate.
- You'd think the team that beat the Patriots would take over their spot at the top of the rankings, but I guess the Broncos' current nine-game win streak trumps the 49ers' victory.
- 13 teams currently have an average ranking of 12th or better. Yes, 13 teams in the top 12, heh.
- CBS is pretty down on the Saints and Dolphins, and high on the Bengals.
Subjective Standard Deviation
Subjective | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seahawks | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0.000 | -1.113 | ||
Redskins | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 0.288 | -1.017 | ||
Jaguars | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 0.445 | -0.223 | ||
Chiefs | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 0.445 | -0.584 | ||
Steelers | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 0.498 | -0.659 | ||
Packers | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0.575 | -0.218 | ||
Raiders | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 0.575 | -0.493 | ||
49ers | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0.716 | -0.023 | ||
Eagles | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 0.782 | -0.011 | ||
Broncos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.782 | 0.284 | ||
Patriots | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0.853 | 0.853 | ||
Colts | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 0.862 | 0.245 | ||
Rams | 17 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 0.881 | 0.225 | ||
Texans | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1.083 | 0.087 | ||
Cardinals | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 1.113 | 0.222 | ||
Falcons | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1.240 | 0.304 | ||
Vikings | 15 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 1.286 | 0.234 | ||
Chargers | 24 | 23 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 1.298 | -0.050 | ||
Lions | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 28 | 1.373 | -0.238 | ||
Bears | 14 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 1.420 | 0.000 | ||
Buccaneers | 20 | 21 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 1.656 | 0.885 | ||
Bills | 25 | 29 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 1.656 | -0.064 | ||
Ravens | 11 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 1.696 | 1.040 | ||
Saints | 18 | 17 | 23 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 1.710 | 0.484 | ||
Cowboys | 10 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 1.710 | 0.484 | ||
Panthers | 23 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 21 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 1.863 | -0.154 | ||
Browns | 22 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 23 | 18 | 22 | 23 | 1.876 | -0.332 | ||
Dolphins | 19 | 19 | 25 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 1.898 | 0.202 | ||
Giants | 12 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 1.898 | 1.017 | ||
Bengals | 13 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 1.975 | 0.923 | ||
Jets | 21 | 26 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 18 | 24 | 26 | 22 | 2.328 | -0.115 | ||
Titans | 26 | 24 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 29 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 2.480 | 1.169 |
Observations:
- Oh neat, the Seahawks are a unanimous ... 7th.
- Redskins would have been a unanimous 8th, but CBS had to throw a wrench in it.
- Jaguars and Chiefs are bad again, Steelers consistently mediocre.
- Packers almost unanimous at #6, but this time it's SI messing it up.
- Though the Bears moved down ~2.5 spots, they did so in unison; their deviation is the same as last week.
- Both teams from New York are in the bottom four on this list.
Objective Average
Objective | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
49ers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2.429 | 0.196 | ||
Broncos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3.143 | 0.732 | ||
Patriots | 1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 3.571 | -0.821 | ||
Seahawks | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3.714 | 0.411 | ||
Texans | 10 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 6.000 | -1.250 | ||
Falcons | 12 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6.143 | 3.232 | ||
Packers | 5 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 6.571 | 1.179 | ||
Giants | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 8.000 | -2.875 | ||
Redskins | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9.143 | 2.607 | ||
Bears | 6 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9.714 | -0.464 | ||
Bengals | 7 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 12.714 | 0.661 | ||
Panthers | 11 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 13.429 | 5.071 | ||
Ravens | 13 | 21 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13.571 | -1.321 | ||
Saints | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 14.286 | 5.464 | ||
Cowboys | 17 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 14.857 | 0.768 | ||
Steelers | 15 | 13 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 16.571 | -2.571 | ||
Rams | 18 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 17.286 | -1.536 | ||
Vikings | 23 | 27 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 22 | 17.857 | 2.143 | ||
Buccaneers | 21 | 20 | 22 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 18.714 | -4.339 | ||
Dolphins | 20 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 26 | 20 | 16 | 19.857 | 1.018 | ||
Lions | 16 | 14 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 22 | 21 | 21.143 | -3.143 | ||
Colts | 26 | 25 | 12 | 21 | 13 | 26 | 28 | 21.571 | 0.304 | ||
Jets | 25 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 22.143 | -1.268 | ||
Browns | 19 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 24.000 | -2.250 | ||
Bills | 22 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 27 | 26 | 24.571 | -1.446 | ||
Cardinals | 27 | 30 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 24.714 | 2.411 | ||
Chargers | 24 | 24 | 28 | 25 | 29 | 21 | 25 | 25.143 | -2.643 | ||
Titans | 28 | 29 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 29 | 27 | 26.286 | 1.089 | ||
Eagles | 29 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28.143 | -0.893 | ||
Raiders | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29.714 | 0.536 | ||
Jaguars | 31 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31.143 | -0.643 | ||
Chiefs | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31.857 | -0.357 |
Observations:
- Once again, the 49ers are atop this list even though not a single objective site ranks them as #1.
- Team Efficiency is remaining extremely bullish on the Panthers. Though the other sites are starting to catch on as Carolina has risen an average of five spots this week.
- I'm surprised the Ravens didn't drop more, they looked pretty flat against Denver.
- Eight of the top 12 teams are in the NFC.
- Nine of the bottom 12 teams are in the AFC (10 of the bottom 13).
Objective Standard Deviation
Objective | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaguars | 31 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 0.350 | -0.516 | ||
Chiefs | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 0.350 | -0.357 | ||
Raiders | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 0.700 | -0.268 | ||
49ers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0.728 | -0.129 | ||
Redskins | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 0.833 | -1.213 | ||
Saints | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 1.030 | -0.531 | ||
Eagles | 29 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 1.125 | -0.354 | ||
Seahawks | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1.278 | -0.258 | ||
Packers | 5 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 1.678 | -1.270 | ||
Bills | 22 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 27 | 26 | 1.990 | -1.699 | ||
Jets | 25 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 2.100 | -3.522 | ||
Texans | 10 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2.204 | 0.350 | ||
Buccaneers | 21 | 20 | 22 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 2.250 | -2.164 | ||
Cowboys | 17 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 2.356 | 0.238 | ||
Chargers | 24 | 24 | 28 | 25 | 29 | 21 | 25 | 2.474 | -0.354 | ||
Patriots | 1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 2.556 | 0.278 | ||
Broncos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2.642 | -0.024 | ||
Browns | 19 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 2.778 | -0.039 | ||
Dolphins | 20 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 26 | 20 | 16 | 2.850 | 0.482 | ||
Cardinals | 27 | 30 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 2.914 | 0.654 | ||
Falcons | 12 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2.997 | 0.821 | ||
Bengals | 7 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 3.010 | -0.488 | ||
Rams | 18 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 3.104 | -0.761 | ||
Giants | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 3.162 | 1.074 | ||
Titans | 28 | 29 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 29 | 27 | 3.369 | 1.193 | ||
Bears | 6 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 3.614 | 0.017 | ||
Ravens | 13 | 21 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 3.659 | -0.457 | ||
Steelers | 15 | 13 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 3.736 | 0.864 | ||
Lions | 16 | 14 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 22 | 21 | 4.324 | -0.896 | ||
Panthers | 11 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 4.403 | -3.423 | ||
Vikings | 23 | 27 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 22 | 5.841 | 1.779 | ||
Colts | 26 | 25 | 12 | 21 | 13 | 26 | 28 | 6.068 | -0.648 |
Observations:
- Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders: terrible across the board
- Colts still lacking consistency, though it's slightly better.
- Panthers' consistency is improving. Maybe Team Efficiency isn't so crazy in the end?
- Pretty good agreement that the Chargers aren't great.
Overall Average
Subj vs Obj | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
49ers | 1.818 | 2.429 | 2.123 | 1.190 | ||
Broncos | 1.546 | 3.143 | 2.344 | 0.821 | ||
Patriots | 4.000 | 3.571 | 3.786 | -1.911 | ||
Texans | 3.909 | 6.000 | 4.955 | -1.125 | ||
Falcons | 3.909 | 6.143 | 5.026 | 2.252 | ||
Seahawks | 7.000 | 3.714 | 5.357 | 1.115 | ||
Packers | 5.818 | 6.571 | 6.195 | 0.635 | ||
Redskins | 8.091 | 9.143 | 8.617 | 2.985 | ||
Giants | 10.818 | 8.000 | 9.409 | -3.528 | ||
Ravens | 10.818 | 13.571 | 12.195 | -1.797 | ||
Bears | 14.727 | 9.714 | 12.221 | -1.460 | ||
Bengals | 11.909 | 12.714 | 12.312 | 1.739 | ||
Cowboys | 11.727 | 14.857 | 13.292 | 1.339 | ||
Vikings | 13.727 | 17.857 | 15.792 | 1.844 | ||
Saints | 17.727 | 14.286 | 16.007 | 3.686 | ||
Steelers | 15.546 | 16.571 | 16.058 | -2.285 | ||
Colts | 10.727 | 21.571 | 16.149 | -0.348 | ||
Panthers | 20.273 | 13.429 | 16.851 | 4.626 | ||
Rams | 18.636 | 17.286 | 17.961 | -1.313 | ||
Buccaneers | 20.273 | 18.714 | 19.494 | -3.488 | ||
Dolphins | 19.818 | 19.857 | 19.838 | 1.690 | ||
Jets | 22.818 | 22.143 | 22.481 | -1.453 | ||
Browns | 22.546 | 24.000 | 23.273 | -1.489 | ||
Lions | 27.455 | 21.143 | 24.299 | -2.981 | ||
Chargers | 24.364 | 25.143 | 24.753 | -2.503 | ||
Bills | 25.273 | 24.571 | 24.922 | -1.041 | ||
Titans | 24.182 | 26.286 | 25.234 | 1.999 | ||
Cardinals | 27.182 | 24.714 | 25.948 | 2.342 | ||
Eagles | 28.546 | 28.143 | 28.344 | -1.174 | ||
Raiders | 29.818 | 29.714 | 29.766 | 0.677 | ||
Jaguars | 31.273 | 31.143 | 31.208 | -0.413 | ||
Chiefs | 31.727 | 31.857 | 31.792 | -0.633 |
Observations:
- 49ers still the top dog overall, though the Broncos are nipping at their heels.
- Texans beat the Colts and still drop overall, interesting.
- Redskins are surging quite nicely. The NFC East is a pretty fun race to watch this year.
- Panthers also surging.
- Giants were absolutely embarrassed this week, and their rankings reflect it.
Overall Standard Deviation
Subj vs Obj | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | 31.727 | 31.857 | 0.416 | -0.552 | ||
Jaguars | 31.273 | 31.143 | 0.416 | -0.396 | ||
Raiders | 29.818 | 29.714 | 0.629 | -0.416 | ||
Redskins | 8.091 | 9.143 | 0.764 | -0.900 | ||
49ers | 1.818 | 2.429 | 0.780 | -0.262 | ||
Eagles | 28.546 | 28.143 | 0.951 | -0.185 | ||
Packers | 5.818 | 6.571 | 1.197 | -1.005 | ||
Patriots | 4.000 | 3.571 | 1.740 | 0.028 | ||
Seahawks | 7.000 | 3.714 | 1.789 | -0.872 | ||
Bills | 25.273 | 24.571 | 1.826 | -1.002 | ||
Chargers | 24.364 | 25.143 | 1.886 | -0.231 | ||
Texans | 3.909 | 6.000 | 1.909 | 0.221 | ||
Broncos | 1.546 | 3.143 | 1.922 | 0.017 | ||
Buccaneers | 20.273 | 18.714 | 2.055 | -1.283 | ||
Rams | 18.636 | 17.286 | 2.157 | -0.549 | ||
Saints | 17.727 | 14.286 | 2.240 | 0.861 | ||
Jets | 22.818 | 22.143 | 2.266 | -1.831 | ||
Dolphins | 19.818 | 19.857 | 2.315 | 0.207 | ||
Cardinals | 27.182 | 24.714 | 2.347 | 0.364 | ||
Falcons | 3.909 | 6.143 | 2.370 | -0.235 | ||
Browns | 22.546 | 24.000 | 2.378 | -0.105 | ||
Steelers | 15.546 | 16.571 | 2.415 | 0.342 | ||
Bengals | 11.909 | 12.714 | 2.462 | -0.036 | ||
Cowboys | 11.727 | 14.857 | 2.505 | 0.575 | ||
Giants | 10.818 | 8.000 | 2.825 | 1.139 | ||
Ravens | 10.818 | 13.571 | 2.961 | -0.314 | ||
Titans | 24.182 | 26.286 | 3.037 | 1.303 | ||
Bears | 14.727 | 9.714 | 3.505 | 0.531 | ||
Lions | 27.455 | 21.143 | 4.230 | -0.640 | ||
Vikings | 13.727 | 17.857 | 4.282 | 0.671 | ||
Panthers | 20.273 | 13.429 | 4.560 | -1.505 | ||
Colts | 10.727 | 21.571 | 6.536 | -0.893 |
Observations:
- Yep, the Redskins are consistently that good.
- 18 green arrows, 14 red arrows. Slowly becoming more consistent overall.
- Again, no surprise the Colts are at the bottom of this list again this week.
Difference in Averages
Subj vs Obj | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colts | 10.727 | 21.571 | 10.844 | -1.304 | ||
Vikings | 13.727 | 17.857 | 4.130 | -0.597 | ||
Cowboys | 11.727 | 14.857 | 3.130 | 1.141 | ||
Ravens | 10.818 | 13.571 | 2.753 | -0.952 | ||
Falcons | 3.909 | 6.143 | 2.234 | -1.959 | ||
Titans | 24.182 | 26.286 | 2.104 | 1.820 | ||
Texans | 3.909 | 6.000 | 2.091 | 0.250 | ||
Broncos | 1.546 | 3.143 | 1.597 | 0.176 | ||
Browns | 22.546 | 24.000 | 1.455 | 1.523 | ||
Redskins | 8.091 | 9.143 | 1.052 | 0.756 | ||
Steelers | 15.546 | 16.571 | 1.026 | 0.571 | ||
Bengals | 11.909 | 12.714 | 0.805 | 2.157 | ||
Chargers | 24.364 | 25.143 | 0.779 | 0.279 | ||
Packers | 5.818 | 6.571 | 0.753 | -1.088 | ||
49ers | 1.818 | 2.429 | 0.610 | 1.985 | ||
Chiefs | 31.727 | 31.857 | 0.130 | -0.552 | ||
Dolphins | 19.818 | 19.857 | 0.039 | 1.346 | ||
Raiders | 29.818 | 29.714 | -0.104 | 0.282 | ||
Jaguars | 31.273 | 31.143 | -0.130 | 0.461 | ||
Eagles | 28.546 | 28.143 | -0.403 | -0.562 | ||
Patriots | 4.000 | 3.571 | -0.429 | -2.179 | ||
Jets | 22.818 | 22.143 | -0.675 | -0.368 | ||
Bills | 25.273 | 24.571 | -0.701 | 0.810 | ||
Rams | 18.636 | 17.286 | -1.351 | 0.445 | ||
Buccaneers | 20.273 | 18.714 | -1.558 | 1.703 | ||
Cardinals | 27.182 | 24.714 | -2.468 | -0.138 | ||
Giants | 10.818 | 8.000 | -2.818 | -1.307 | ||
Seahawks | 7.000 | 3.714 | -3.286 | 1.407 | ||
Saints | 17.727 | 14.286 | -3.442 | -3.556 | ||
Bears | 14.727 | 9.714 | -5.013 | -1.990 | ||
Lions | 27.455 | 21.143 | -6.312 | 0.324 | ||
Panthers | 20.273 | 13.429 | -6.844 | -0.889 |
Observations:
- Colts still grossly overrated. Though it got slightly better this week (10.7% improvement).
- Holy cow. All of the nine most under-ranked teams are in the NFC. Is this on purpose?
- Even though it was unanimous on the subjective side, the Seahawks at #7 are about 50% under-ranked.
- Panthers are being slept on now.
Best Match-ups for Week 16
Last week we saw four match-ups where the two opponents were within one ranking position of each other. This week, we have none. It doesn't mean there aren't a few good match-ups still.
Opponents (Ranking) | Game Time | Ranking Difference |
---|---|---|
St. Louis (17.961) at Tampa Bay (19.494) | Sun, Dec. 23 1:00PM EST | 1.533 |
San Diego (24.753) at NY Jets (22.481) | Sun, Dec. 23 1:00PM EST | 2.272 |
New Orleans (16.007) at Dallas (13.292) | Sun, Dec. 23 1:00PM EST | 2.715 |
NY Giants (9.409) at Baltimore (12.195) | Sun, Dec. 23 4:25PM EST | 2.786 |
Observations:
- The Chargers make the "Best Match-Up" list again this week, which naturally means the Jets are going to blow them out.
- Dallas is on this list again this week, and that worked out well last week; that was a good game against the Steelers.
- Given Baltimore's abundance of injuries, I don't expect this to be as close a game as the rankings would indicate. Then again, I also didn't expect the Giants to ever be shut out.
Worst Match-Ups for Week 16
Opponents (Ranking) | Game Time | Ranking Difference |
---|---|---|
New England (3.786) at Jacksonville (31.208) | Sun, Dec. 23 1:00PM EST | 27.422 |
Cleveland (23.273) at Denver (2.344) | Sun, Dec. 23 4:05PM EST | 20.929 |
Washington (8.617) at Philadelphia (28.344) | Sun, Dec. 23 1:00PM EST | 19.727 |
Atlanta (5.026) at Detroit (24.299) | Sun, Dec. 23 1:00PM EST | 19.273 |
Tennessee (25.234) at Green Bay (6.195) | Sun, Dec. 23 1:00PM EST | 19.039 |
Some definite clunkers this week, which naturally means we'll see two huge upsets (probably not).
Surely, you all have your own observations. Speak up in the comments about what you take away from these rankings.