Alright, I've listened to your feedback and in honor of the draft being about a month away, this will be my last attempt until draft week. Y'all are the best. I've heard so much great advice. It really isn't hard to tell why this is the best community on SBNation. Thanks again for the feedback from all our resident team experts.
Again, I have projected no trades because I haven't a clue what types of craziness these GMs will get themselves into.
When you make a comment, please place the team name in the subject line to make it easier to navigate. Thanks!
1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford: The Colts feel pretty confident about Luck it seems. You don’t part with your franchise, Super Bowl winning QB unless you are. That is why the Colts don’t risk it on RG3 and stick with Luck. Imagine the outrage if they pass on the heir apparent to Manning for a Michael Vick/Cam Newton prodigy and he doesn’t win them a Super Bowl.
2. TRADE (Rams get Washington’s 2012, 2013, and 2014 first rounders and 2012 second): Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor: No one else is worth the king’s ransom Washington paid to get this pick.
3. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil, OT, USC: A line that gave up the fifth most sacks on a rookie quarterback is not something that can continue if they want Ponder to develop and vindicate his selection with last year’s 12th pick. Kalil is pretty much universally seen as a top three talent and LT is a position of need. Ponder will be thrilled.
4. Cleveland Browns: Trent Richardson, RB, Bama: Clearly the Brown’s biggest need is at QB, but I don’t think the Browns are going to jump at the consultation prize of Tannehill. Instead they decide to replace Peyton Hillis. Blackmon can’t pass to himself, but Richardson can make his own plays. The Browns upgrade a position of need and get value, something no other player offers at this point in the draft. They could always trade down.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU: The Bucs made a huge splash in free agency, addressing serious needs with serious talent. With Richardson gone, they go after best player available; which also happens to bolster a position of need. Ronde is on his last leg, Talib’s legal issues make him uncertain, and there is no one else but the newly acquired Wright. They still have cap space and there is time in free agency, so they might address their LB needs there, but no LB is worth this pick, so look in the second for that upgrade. RB and OT probably get picked in the third and fourth.
6. St. Louis Rams: Justin Blackmon, WR, OK St.: Losing Brandon Lloyd sealed this pick for the Rams. They need a legitimate passing target for Sam Bradford and it is safe to assume that the front office recognizes that Austin Pettis, Greg Salas, nor any other of their receivers fit the role. Sure, they have plenty of other needs; but with the money they invested in Bradford as the future of the franchise, they need results (and preferably soon). Plus, they have an extra second and additional firsts for the next two years to tinker away with. Grabbing someone to protect Sam Bradford is possible, but with their plethora of picks, I think they get O-line at some point in the second.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Quinton Coples, DE, UNC: Wide Receiver remains a pressing need, even after the Jags secured Laurent Robinson to a long-term deal, but Gabbert is going to have to work with what he has. Part of Gabbert’s problems stem from an offensive line that leaks like a sieve, but the talent discrepancy between the remaining first and second round RTs and DEs isn’t close. While the Jags will pass on Jonathon Martin and Riley Reiff; it is safe to assume Mike Adams, Kelechi Osemele, or Brandon Washington will probably be available when the Jags pick in the second. A comparable DE to Coples will be harder to find with the second rounder. They play the odds to get a big defensive playmaker and in doing so, address their sack-luster defense.
8. Miami Dolphins: Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa: If the Fins hope to take advantage of whatever QB they end up with, they need to guarantee his protection. They’ll be able to try and replace Brandon Marshall later in the draft when they won’t have to stretch to get value, but here would be a mistake. Look for Miami to go after a DE/OLB in the second or third rather than skipping on what many expect to be a sure RT rookie starter. If a great WR falls to them in the second or third, they may snap him up.
9. Carolina Panthers: Fletcher Cox, DT, Miss. St.: The Panthers front office isn’t one of the ten teams bringing in Kirkpatrick, so it looks like they’ve made a decision to go in a different direction. Instead of grabbing the big, physical, project Brockers; they go with one of the most NFL ready D-linemen in the draft. Playing Drew Brees and Matt Ryan twice a year, makes it critical that you be able to defend the pass pretty well. The breakdown is as much on the line of scrimmage as it is covering passing routes. Corner will probably have to be a second round choice after passing up on Kirkpatrick.
10. Buffalo Bills: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Bama: After bringing in Mario Williams the Bills will focus on other needs than improving their already impressive line. With great DE/OLB choices later, the Bills choose an elite corner who fell for making some bad choices. Coming to Buffalo will probably help with that. Adding Williams and Kirkpatrick will certainly help defend against Tom Brady and the rest of the AFC East. Protecting Fitz is certainly a priority (the least sacked starting QB in the league last year) but addressing the third worst sacking defense will get the nod at some point.
11. Kansas City Chiefs: David Decastro, OG, Stanford: The Chiefs have addressed their immediate needs at OT, TE, and CB; and brought in depth at RB in Free Agency. They have two major needs, at NT and OG. Protecting Matt Cassel (or the guy who replaces him) has to be in the front office’s mind, and so they go after BPA and get a major part of Andrew Luck’s success. If they don’t get DeCastro, expect them to get depth in other places, but nothing is more glaring than at NT. Decastro is a sure thing to plug in by most accounts, better than any of the guys on the Chiefs interior line. Put him next to Winston and that is a scary line.
12. Seattle Seahawks: Melvin Ingram, DE/OLB, South Carolina: Right now, Pete Carroll’s pass rush consists mostly of Chris Clemons. When Melvin Ingram falls past the Jags and Bills, he gets scooped up. Able to rush off the edge or play OLB in a 3-4 package; Ingram will be an immediate upgrade to the pass rush unit. ILB is certainly a possibility, but with depth at LBer in the second, they grab someone else to contribute later as well. WR is a need, some people are projecting Floyd, but I don’t see them passing up Ingram. Interior line is another common pick, but with . In the end, I think getting Matt Flynn takes a lot of pressure off whether to move early in the draft for a QB, so I expect they go to the other side of the ball here.
13. Arizona Cardinals: Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford: After a paying the $7 million bonus to Kevin Kolb, it is safe to assume protection is going to be a priority. So far the Cardinals have signed Levi Brown and Adam Snyder, but that won’t be enough to turn around the line that gave up the second most sacks in the league. They pick Martin because as a three year starter at LT for Andrew Luck, he can fit right in and slide Brown to RT. While fixing interior line is a consideration, the benefit of protecting Kolb’s blindside outweighs the value of the number one interior lineman. Speed WR and rush OLB are both needs, but can be addressed later.
14. Dallas Cowboys: Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis: The Cowboys did an outstanding job in free agency addressing needs with improvements rather than place holders. Acquiring Carr probably ensures they don’t go after CB early, while getting Pool makes a Barron pick unlikely, and the signing of Dan Conner and franchising of Anthony Spencer makes linebacker less of a priority. Getting a serious interior O-lineman is a possibility and trying to replace Laurent Robinson’s 11 touchdowns could be an early focus, but chances are they see the big, athletic Poe and Jerry falls in love. Besides being an incredible athlete (especially for his size), he is the only real guaranteed first round NT in this year’s draft. Brockers is reportedly projected as a 3-4 end or 4-3 tackle; same as Still, Worthy, or Cox (and none have Poe’s size). It doesn’t hurt that Poe has favorable measurables to Haloti Ngata and Paul Soliai.
15. Philadelphia Eagles: Michael Brockers, DT, LSU: Adding DeMeco Ryans makes the Luke Kuechly pick unnecessary. A big, physical, athletic DT like Brockers will help upgrade the pass rush and be a run stopper to help ease the last year’s run issues. Brockers will be able to supplement improved LB play and create the type of defense needed in the run heavy NFC East (See Murray, RG3, and the Giants). Expect Philly to improve secondary with later picks, though don’t be surprised in a WR gets picked early too.
16. New York Jets: Michael Floyd, WR, ND: Rex Ryan got management to double down on the Mark Sanchez experiment, which might make or break Rex at this point. If you are going to pay for Sanchez, he needs more weapons. Enter Tebow, but I digress. Pass rushing needs, aging linebackers, and running back all make the front office sit for a second, but they’ve committed to Sanchez (sort of), so they have to give him the tools to succeed. Whether he can is a different matter altogether. They pass on Kuechly, the best MLB in the draft, because they MUST help Sanchez.
17. Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland): Luke Kuechly, MLB, BC: The Bengals did an excellent job filling their limited needs in free agency, and will likely use their abundance of picks to address improvements rather than needs. Safety seems set, corner will be addressed later, the line can be improved but is a strength. Having Rey Maualuga, Dontay Moch, Keith Rivers, and Luke Kuechly rotating at LB will be crazy. Tons of speed and instincts. There is a chance they get an OG, like Cordy Glenn, but I think it is less a need than an improvement and can be picked in the second or third round.
18. San Diego Chargers: Nick Perry, DE/OLB, USC: It seems like Chargers fans are willing to give up on the Larry English experiment. After a free agency flurry, the Chargers have refurbished their offense with playmakers and weapons. Now they will get the pass rusher they need to pressure the weak AFC West. Perry has great size and incredible speed. The only linebacker who was faster was Bruce Irvin, who is 25 pounders lighter. Perry will be a huge boon to a Chargers defense that fell in the bottom ten sack teams and allowed a less than respectable 7.9 yards per attempt (fifth worst). At the end of the day, the Chargers have no real needs they MUST go after in the draft so they grab the best player available with probably every pick. With Gate’s foot injury, TE might be an early surprise pick if someone good falls to them. Maybe go after o-line, but really, they have all the flexibility in the world.
19. Chicago Bears: Courtney Upshaw, OLB, Bama: No Bears fans want to admit it, but Lance Briggs and Brian Urlacher are getting older and they need help. Free Agency and the trade for Brandon Marshall have helped address their most pressing need at WR, so the Bears get to plan long-term and get the best player of need for them.
20. Tennessee Titans: Devon Still, DT, Penn St.: Failure. The Titans miss on returning Peyton to the state that made him famous. The grabbed Hutchinson in an attempt to lure Peyton home, but without him, I doubt they decide to use this pick to further improve their battered O-line (though they might later). Still can help immediately plug in on the line and help bring the pressure the Titans need to avoid being the 31st best pass rush in the NFL again next year. Secondary is also an immediate need, but I think they grab a top DT instead of a second tier corner or leap for safety.
21. Cincinnati Bengals: Stephen Gilmore, CB, South Carolina: Defense wins the AFC North, and the Bengals need an improved secondary to be relevant. After figuring things out at linebacker and safety, they throw Gilmore across from injured Leon Hall (or replacing Hall if needed) to firm up a long-term secondary squad. No running back picked here would offer more value, and so they get value. Mel Kiper says some GMs have Gilmore over Kirkpatrick, which I don’t ascribe to, but I do think he gets selected before Jenkins despite being less polished on his technique.
22. Cleveland Browns (from Atlanta): Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M: After making such a public attempt for RG3 and the crushing year (physically and in confidence), I think it is pretty clear they can’t bring Colt back in to start. The question is whether they use the fourth pick to leap at Tannehill (who I think is this year’s version of Blaine Gabbert and will be taken too early) or do they wait? I say they wait after losing Peyton Hillis to address that need with the number one running back in this year’s draft. I think he will fall just because the Dolphins aren’t in love, the Bills have a better starter, and the Jags would rather keep up the Gabbert experiment. The Browns fans will be less than thrilled after seeing the excitement in DC and Indy, but at least they get Trent Richardson.
23. Detroit Lions: Janoris Jenkins, CB, Northern Alabama: Losing Wright in free agency makes finding a starting quality corner a must. They resigned Backus and franchised Avril, so I don’t see the Lions doing anything different unless they see a blue chip talent free fall down to them. LB is also a strong possibility here, but they grab value at a position of need rather than making a leap.
24. Pittsburgh Steelers: Cordy Glenn, OT/OG, Georgia: How is Big Ben still able to move? He has been sacked more than forty times in every season he played more than 14 games and has to injuries to show for it. They grab the versatile Georgia lineman to help stem the bleeding. The Steelers have to hope the addition of Glenn can keep Ben on the field and off the gurney. If they can’t keep Mike Wallace they might try for WR or maybe find a replacement for Farrior. O-line is probably the bigger need though.
25. Denver Broncos: Kelechi Osmele, OG/OT, Iowa St.: Peyton Manning is a Bronco. Wow. That throws this pick up in the air. Do they decide to go after someone to protect the recovering Peyton, or address the defense that spurred the Broncos into the playoffs? Corner, inside linebacker, and both sides of the line can get improved, but one can assume they protect their newest investment first and foremost. Konz is more injured than Peyton, so chances are they try to address center at some later point.
26. Houston Texans: Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech: Texans fans are demanding a big, fast WR and will not take no for an answer. Replacing Mario Williams, DeMeco Ryans, or Eric Winston can wait. With the core of the defense blown up and the line a bit shaky, it really is tough to tell who the Texans would pick; but the physical performance Hill put on at the combine and the very real need to give Matt Schaub more targets than just Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels could be enough.
27. New England Patriots: Andre Branch, DE/OLB, Clemson: What does a team that came minutes away from winning the Super Bowl, is coached by an evil genius, and has a million picks do? They copy their enemies. Pass rush will be the order of the day after free agency brings in several great receivers. Their second worst pass defense was a product of their pass rush as much as their young secondary. By no means does it look like Branch would be a lock for filling that hole, he’d make a dent. Good size, great speed, and a dynamic playmaker with several years of starting time under his belt. They pick Branch over Mercilus because Branch’s quicker speed off the block and proven experience rather than the one year starter.
28. Green Bay Packers: Whitney Mercilus, DE/OLB, Illinois: Pass Rush help is going to be a focus so they get a running partner for Clay Matthews. Green Bay had the worst pass defense in the NFL, but lead the league in defensive interceptions. They can address secondary needs later, but right now they have to get the guys they need to get to the quarterback. Mercilus is going to add pressure and help free up Clay Matthews and the 3-4 DE they grab in the second to draw blockers for big plays. Expect offensive line, running back, and secondary help later too.
29. Baltimore Ravens: Donta' Hightower, ILB, Bama: The Ravens are finally going to have to admit that Ray Lewis is going to retire someday and they need someone who can step in. Hightower is a beast, critical to Bama’s recent successes, and will excel under the tutelage of one of the best LBers to ever put on pads. Although finding a long-term center is a need, I think they pass on Konz, who has a history of serious injuries. Replacing Grubbs will be necessary, but I don’t think anyone will jump out at them enough to pass over Hightower.
30. San Francisco 49ers: Mark Barron, SS, Bama: The 49ers are fortunate that they are young, talented, and well coached because it gives them the luxury of going BPA for need. Getting back Rogers and signing Manningham helps secure up the big needs they had going into free agency. Now they grab the best safety in the draft and decide to go after their other big needs at corner and guard later. If they get value and talent with the rest of their picks, they could be serious Super Bowl contenders next year.
31. New England Patriots: Kendall Reyes, DT/DE, UCONN: Since the Patriots lost the Super Bowl, they have improved at WR, pass rush, and returned the necessary players on O-line. They still need to make adjustments at 3-4 DE, secondary, RB, and maybe safety but their choices have been narrowed for them. Since 3-4 pass rush emphasizes OLB, the Pats took Branch. Now they make sure they grab value by getting the DE who will bring the pressure possible to help Branch succeed. Reyes had one of the quickest 40s and second most reps for a D-lineman at the combine, showing scouts the agility and explosiveness that the Pats are going to be looking for.
32. New York Giants: Mohamed Sanu, WR, Rutgers: After picking up a new TE and grabbing secondary help, the Super Bowl Champions have to find the answer to their expiring O-line needs, LB, and replacing Mario Manningham and Brandon Jacobs. Stacy Andrews, Kareem McKenzie, and Tony Ugoh all are free agents and can be improved upon. Giants fans seem pretty high on Konz, despite past injury woes, but they are also screaming for WR. Sanu is the preferred WR, so he goes over Jeffery. What the Giants need to get the most value out of this pick.
33. St. Louis Rams: Zach Brown, LB, UNC:
34. Indianapolis Colts: Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford:
35. Minnesota Vikings: Jerel Worthy DT/DE, MSU:
36. Tampa Bay Bucs: Doug Martin, RB, BSU:
37. Cleveland Browns: Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina:
38. Jacksonville Jaguars: Rueben Randle, WR, LSU:
39. St. Louis Rams (from Washington): Zebrie Sanders, OT, FSU:
40. Carolina Panthers: Josh Robinson, CB, Central Florida:
41. Buffalo Bills: Mike Adams, OT, OSU:
42. Miami Dolphins: Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor:
43. Seattle Seahawks: Mychal Kendricks, LB, Cal:
44. Kansas City Chiefs: Alameda Ta'amu, NT, Washington:
45. Dallas Cowboys: Kevin Zietler, OG/OT/OC, Wisconsin:
46. Philadelphia Eagles: Chase Minnifield, CB, UVA:
47. New York Jets: Vinny Curry, DE/OLB, Marshall:
48. New England Patriots (from OAK): Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin:
49. San Diego Chargers: Harrison Smith, SS, ND:
50. Chicago Bears: Ben Jones, OG/C, UGA:
51. Philadelphia (from AZ): Brandon Taylor, SS, LSU:
52. Tennessee Titans: Chandler Jones, DE/OLB, Syracuse:
53. Cincinnati Bengals: Brandon Thompson, DT/DE, Clemson:
54. Detroit Lions: Lavonte David, LB, Nebraska:
55. Atlanta Falcons: Shea McClellin, DE/OLB, BSU:
56. Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Martin, DT/DE, Michigan:
57. Denver Broncos: Josh Chapman, DT, Bama:
58. Houston Texans: Bruce Irvin, OLB, WVU:
59. New Orleans Saints: *FORFEITED*
60. Green Bay Packers: Jared Crick, DE, Nebraska:
61. Baltimore Ravens: Amini Silotalu, OG/OT, Midwestern St:
62. San Fransisco 49ers: Senio Kelemete, OG, Washington:
63. New England Patriots: George Iloka, FS, Boise State:
64. New York Giants: Dwayne Allen, TE, Clemson:
65. Indianapolis Colts: Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska:
66. St. Louis Rams: Tyrone Crawford, DT/DE, BSU:
67. Minnesota Vikings: Casey Heyward, CB, Vanderbilt:
68. Cleveland Browns: Brandon Washington, OG/OT, Miami:
69. Tampa Bay Bucs: Markelle Martin, FS, Oklahoma State:
70. Washington Redskins: Jamell Fleming, CB, Oklahoma:
71. Jacksonville Jaguars: Brian Quick, WR, Appalachian State:
72. Buffalo Bills: Nick Toon, WR, Wisconsin:
73. Miami Dolphins (From Chicago from Carolina): Brandon Weeden, QB, OkState:
74. Miami Dolphins: Ronnell Lewis, OLB, OU:
75. Kansas City Chiefs: Bobby Wagner, LB, USU:
76. Seattle Seahawks: Sean Spence, OLB, Miami:
77. Houston Texans (From Philadelphia): Derek Wolfe, DT/DE, Cincinnati:
78. New York Jets: David Wilson, RB, Va Tech:
79. Oakland Raiders: *USED ON TERREYLE PRYOR*
80. San Diego Chargers: Jayron Hosley, CB, Virginia Tech:
81. Chicago Bears: Bobby Massie, OT, Mississippi:
82. Arizona Cardinals: Greg Childs, WR, Arkansas:
83. Dallas Cowboys: Billy Winn, DE, BSU:
84. Tennessee Titans: Michael Brewster, C, OSU:
85. Cincinnati Bengals: Brandon Brooks, OG, Miami (Ohio):
86. Atlanta Falcons: Orson Charles, TE, Georgia:
87. Detroit Lions: LaMichael James, KR/RB, Oregon:
88. Pittsburgh Steelers: James-Michael Johnson, ILB, Nevada:
89. Denver Broncos: Lamar Miller, RB, Miami:
90. Philadelphia (From Houston): Cam Johnson, DE/OLB, Virginia:
91. New Orleans Saints: Dwight Bentley, CB, ULL:
92. Green Bay Packers: Isaiah Pead, RB, Cincinnati:
93. Baltimore Ravens: Marvin McNutt, WR, Iowa:
94. San Fransisco 49ers: Chris Polk, RB, Washington:
95. New England Patriots: Dwight Jones, WR, North Carolina:
96. New York Giants: Bernard Pierce, RB, Temple:
97. Indianapolis Colts: Chris Givens, WR, Wake Forest:
98. St. Louis Rams: Janzen Jackson, FS, McNeese State:
99. Minnesota Vikings: Marvin Jones, WR, California:
100. Houston (from Philadelphia via Tampa Bay): Philip Blake, OC/OG/OT, Baylor:
101. Cleveland Browns: Trumaine Johnson, CB, Montana:
102. Jacksonville Jaguars: Matt McCants, OT, UAB:
103. Washington Redskins: Audie Cole, ILB, N.C. State:
104. Miami Dolphins: Aaron Henry, S, Wisconsin:
105. Carolina Panthers: AJ Jenkins, WR, Illinois:
106. Buffalo Bills: Nigel Bradham, OLB, Florida State:
107. Seattle Seahawks: Levy Adcock, OT, Oklahoma State:
108. Kansas City Chiefs: Antonio Allen, S, South Carolina:
109. Denver Broncos (From New York): Tank Carder, ILB, TCU:
110. Washington Redskins (From Oakland): Mitchell Schwarts, OT, California:
111. San Diego Chargers: Robert Turbin, RB, Utah State:
112. Chicago Bears: Josh Norman, CB, Coastal Carolina:
113. Arizona Cardinals: Keenan Robinson, OLB, Texas:
114. Dallas Cowboys: David Molk, OC, Michigan:
115. Philadelphia Eagles: Jeff Fuller, WR, Texas A&M:
116. Tennessee Titans: Brandon Boykin, CB/KR, Georgia:
117. Cincinnati Bengals: T.Y. Hilton, WR, Florida International:
118. Detroit Lions: Lucas Nix, OG, Pittsburgh:
119. Cleveland Browns (From Atlanta): Trenton Robinson, FS, Michigan State:
120. Pittsburgh Steelers: Shaun Prater, CB, Iowa:
121. Denver Broncos: Brock Osweiler, QB, Arizona State:
122. Houston Texans: Ladarius Green, TE, Louisiana-Lafayette:
123. New Orleans Saints: Travis Lewis, OLB, Oklahoma:
124. Green Bay Packers: Quentin Saulsberry, C/OG, Mississippi State:
125. Buffalo Bills (From Baltimore): Nick Foles, QB, Arizona:
126. San Fransisco 49ers: Marcus Forston, DT/DE, Miami:
127. New England Patriots: Cliff Harris, CB/KR, Oregon:
128. New York Giants: Jonathon Massaquoi, OLB/DE, Troy: