FanPost

Overrated/Underrated NFL Draft Prospects: AFC West

Denver Broncos:
Overrated: Ronnie Hillman
Underrated: Malik Jackson
X-Factor: Brock Osweiler
Analysis: This isn't necessarily to say Hillman is a bad player, but at 175 pounds... he projects as a rotational RB at best. Guys like those are a dime a dozen. I don't necessarily like using early round picks on players like him. I could have gone with either Jackson or Danny Trevathan as underrated prospects. Those two have put up some big numbers in college the last couple years, but haven't gotten the recognition the top prospects at their respective positions have gotten. The X-Factor will most likely not see the field for at least a couple of years as he's raw and has some guy named Peyton Manning in front of him, but the tools are certainly there for Osweiler to develop into a terrific starter at the NFL level. He possesses great size and underrated mobility. The best news for him might be getting drafted by the Broncos. Developing his skills and soaking in the knowledge Manning will impart on him should do wonders for this kid. Osweiler reminds me a lot of Arizona Cardinals QB John Skelton. Philip Blake should be able to step right into the starting lineup at either guard or center. Derek Wolfe should be able to do the same at defensive tackle. Wolfe will be one of those guys that quietly has a very good career.

Kansas City Chiefs:
Overrated: Dontari Poe
Underrated: Cyrus Gray
X-Factor: Poe
Analysis: Scott Pioli decided to take the high risk/high reward route with the 11th overall selection instead of taking a much safer player such as David DeCastro. We'll see if he regrets that decision later. I do understand his reasoning because nose tackles are very hard to find and you can't deny the enormous potential Dontari Poe possesses. He undoubtedly brings the talent and measureables you look for in a nose tackle. Guys his size who are very athletic just don't grow on trees. The Chiefs are hoping he develops into a Vince Wilfork type player. While he did dominate at the Combine, Poe's play on tape is very mediocre. I could have gone a couple ways with the underrated player. It came down to Gray or Michigan WR Junior Hemingay. I decided to go with Gray. He was a very consistent running back at Texas A&M and should take some pressure off Jamaal Charles. He's a back with good speed and is a natural pass catcher out of the backfield.

Oakland Raiders:
Overrated: Terrelle Pryor
Underrated: Juron Criner
X-Factor: Miles Burris
Analysis: The Raiders gave up their 3rd round pick in the 2012 draft to select Pryor. They also gave up their 1st rounder to Cincinnati for the rights to QB Carson Palmer, which I thought was a very stupid, short-sighted move. Project QBs with some potential upside are fine for teams such as New England, Pittsburgh, Denver or any other team with a franchise quarterback under center. Not so much for a team like Oakland who doesn't really have a franchise signal caller and has A LOT more needs to fill than those teams I mentioned. Pryor is a guy who reminds me a lot of former West Virginia QB Pat White. He has some great scrambling ability, but as I mentioned... is extremely raw as a passer. Criner is a receiver who very easily could have gone in the 3rd or 4th round. The Raiders got a bargain in the 5th. He doesn't possess elite speed, but he's got terrific size and could develop into a solid possession/#2 type receiver. Burris is a guy I could have just as easily put in the underrated category, but I decided to make him the X-Factor. This kid was simply put... a beast at San Diego State the last couple years. He can get after the QB with ease and tallied 39.5 TFL the last two years.

San Diego Chargers:
Overrated: Brandon Taylor
Underrated: Ladarius Green
X-Factor: Melvin Ingram
Analysis: Taylor gets put in the overrated department just because I didn't see a safety who should have been drafted before Round 4 once you got past the likes of Mark Barron and Harrison Smith. I do totally understand why the Chargers made the pick though given that strong safety is currently a black hole in their lineup. Melvin Ingram was one of the best picks of the entire 1st round. Some people don't like him as much as I do, but this kid is a beast. He will instantly upgrade a porous pass rush. Ladarius Green may not have necessarily been a steal where he was selected, but I loved the pick. He gets to learn from one of the best in the business in Antonio Gates. When Gates is actually healthy, those two should make for quite a combination down the field for Philip Rivers to throw the ball to. Kendall Reyes should be a perfect fit for the Chargers as a 5-technique DE. David Molk in Round 7 was another pick I really liked. After Peter Konz and Philip Blake, I had him rated as my next best center in this draft.

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