2012 MLB Draft: Full Compensation Round Analysis

32) Minnesota Twins: J.O. Berrios, RHP, Papa Juan XXIII HS, Bayamon, PR: Listed at 6'2", 180, Berrios added 20 pounds to his frame in the last 12 months, boosting his fastball as high as 97-98 MPH. He also has a very good slider and changeup, and should be easily signable away from Miami Dade JC in this slot.

33) San Diego Padres: Zach Eflin, RHP, Hagerty HS, Oviedo, FL: Eflin was a certain first-round pick until missing time with a triceps strain and elbow soreness, although tests revealed no significant injury. At full strength, he works at 90-96 MPH while showing an average breaking ball and a very good changeup. Scouts like his 6'5", 200-pound body, and he should still go early enough in the draft to forgo Central Florida.

34) Oakland Athletics: Daniel Robertson, 3B, Upland HS, Upland, CA: Listed at 6'2", 185, Robertson is a right-handed hitter with significant bat speed and doubles power. Scouts are uncertain about his home run development, but his glove will play well at third base, with above-average arm strength and very good range. He is committed to UCLA.

35) New York Mets: Kevin Plawecki, C, Purdue University: Plawicki hit .359/.445/.578 with 26 walks and just eight strikeouts in 223 at-bats for the Boilermakers this spring. A fine overall athlete, he has pop to all fields and should hit for a decent average as well. He is a very good defensive catcher with leadership skills, mobility, and reliability that helps compensate for an average arm.

36) St. Louis Cardinals: Stephen Piscotty, 3B, Stanford: Piscotty is a 6'3", 215-pound right-handed hitter. Scouts like his pure hitting skills, he excels at making contact, and he won the batting title in the wooden bat Cape Cod League last summer. He hit .320/.405/.463 through 231 at-bats this spring, with 27 walks and 21 strikeouts. The main problem here is defense: his glove at third is nothing special and many scouts expect a move to the outfield.

37) Boston Red Sox: Pat Light, RHP, Monmouth University:
Tall and lean at 6'6", 200, Light throws a 90-96 MPH fastball from an easy delivery. His slider and changeup need refinement, but his fastball command is excellent and his statistical performance was quite strong: a 2.40 ERA with a 102/16 K/BB in 101 innings with just 84 hits allowed.

38) Milwaukee Brewers: Mitch Haniger, OF, Cal Poly:
Well-built at 6'2", 215, Haniger hit .346/.438/.626 with 13 homers, 36 walks, and 32 strikeouts in 211 at-bats this year. The right-handed hitter has a strong throwing arm and runs reasonably well. He took a large step forward offensively this spring by improving his strike-zone judgment.

39) Texas Rangers: Joey Gallo, 3B-RHP, Bishop Gorman HS, Las Vegas, NV: The 6'5", 205-pound Gallo may have more power than any other hitter in the draft, and it comes from the left side of the plate. He strikes out a lot, needs more refinement as a hitter, and his long-term position is unclear. He is also a prospect as a pitcher, featuring a 93-98 MPH fastball, but most teams prefer his bat. Gallo is committed to Louisiana State.

40) Philadelphia Phillies: Shane Watson, RHP, Lakewood HS, Lakewood, CA:
Watson is another impressive high school right-hander, generating 90-94 MPH heat along with a strong curve and cutter. Like most preps, his changeup needs work and he needs to get more consistent in general, but he has ideal size at 6'4", 200. He is committed to baseball at Southern Cal.

41) Houston Astros: Lance McCullers, Jr, RHP, Jesuit HS, Tampa, FL:
The son of former major leaguer Lance McCullers, Junior showed improved command of his 93-100 MPH fastball this spring, along with an impressive slider. Many scouts believe he’ll relieve at higher levels, but he’s shown enough command this year that he deserves a chance to start. Listed at 6'2", 205, he will need to refine a changeup. He is committed to the University of Florida.

42) Minnesota Twins: Luke Bard, RHP, Georgia Tech:
The younger brother of Red Sox pitcher Daniel Bard, Luke was limited to 27 innings this spring by a torn lat muscle. He was excellent in those 27 innings, posting a 0.99 ERA with a 26/6 K/BB ratio, showing a 93-95 MPH fastball and a good breaking ball. He could move quickly in relief.

43) Chicago Cubs: Pierce Johnson, RHP, Missouri State University: This 6'3", 185-pound right-hander had a breakthrough campaign, posting a 2.53 ERA with a 119/28 K/BB in 100 innings, allowing 85 hits. He has a 90-96 MPH fastball, an effective slider, a cutter, and a changeup. He also has a history of forearm problems, and concerns about his durability hurt his stock compared with the other top college arms.

44) San Diego Padres: Travis Jankowski, OF, Stony Brook: Jankowski hit .412/.477/.632 this spring with 34 steals in 40 attempts. An excellent athlete, he is a line drive hitter with very good speed and defensive ability. Lack of power kept him out of the first round, but he should hit for average while providing steals and impressive defense.

45) Pittsburgh Pirates: Barrett Barnes, OF, Texas Tech University:
Listed at 6'1", 210, the right-handed hitting Barnes has one of the more potent speed/power combinations available this year, although his track record is inconsistent. He’s hitting .325/.491/.597 with nine homers and 19 steals in 20 attempts, drawing 32 walks against 37 strikeouts in 206 at-bats. Opinions differ on if he can play center at higher levels, but he stands out as an intriguing talent in a weak college class.

46) Colorado Rockies: Eddie Butler, RHP, Radford:
Butler posted a 2.20 ERA with a 95/23 K/BB in 98 innings this spring, allowing 78 hits. A 6'2", 165-pound right-hander, he throws a 90-95 MPH sinker, an erratic slider and a fringy changeup. He’s a small college guy and needs refinement, but has considerable upside, and a guy who keeps the ball down is useful in Colorado.

47) Oakland Athletics: Matt Olson, 1B, Parkview HS, Lilburn, Georgia: Olson is a power hitter from the left side who didn’t receive a lot of pre-draft press due to a very strong commitment to Vanderbilt. Oakland has a good read on his signability, however, and, assuming they’re correct, his combination of power, patience, and pure hitting skills will add a booming bat to the organization.

48) Chicago White Sox: Keon Barnum, 1B, King HS, Tampa, Florida:
Barnum is an enormous power hitter (6'4", 225) with outstanding power potential, although his swing is long and he probably won’t hit for a high average. He is committed to the University of Miami and was seen as a third- or fourth-round talent with questionable signability by most teams, although going this early in the draft makes it much more likely that he’ll sign.

49) Cincinnati Reds: Jesse Winker, OF, Olympia HS, Orlando, Florida:
Winker is a solid hitter with good power and a refined approach for a high schooler, but his physical tools are otherwise average. Scouts have been watching him play for years, meaning he’s been nitpicked a bit in favor of shiny new toys. If the bat develops as expected, he can be a solid regular at an outfield corner or first base. He is committed to the University of Florida.


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50) Toronto Blue Jays: Matt Smoral, LHP, Solon HS, Solon, OH: Listed at 6'7", 225, Smoral missed almost the entire spring with a broken foot. When healthy, he features a low-90s heater and a nasty breaking ball, although he’s still working on his changeup and command. He has a scholarship to the University of North Carolina and may be a tough sign.

51) Los Angeles Dodgers: Jesmuel Valentin, SS, Puerto Rico Baseball Academy, Gurabo, Puerto Rico:
Son of former major league infielder Jose Valentin, Jesmuel is a switch-hitter with line drive power and good defensive actions, although opinion is split on his long-term defensive position. He is committed to LSU but should be signable in this slot.

52) St. Louis Cardinals: Patrick Wisdom, 3B, St. Mary’s College:
Wisdom showed power by hitting nine homers this spring, but overall his season was a disappointment, with a .262 average and 43 strikeouts in 191 at-bats. On the other hand, he has a good glove at third base, and has a strong track record of success with wooden bats in summer leagues. It is possible that his spring performance this year was an aberration.

53) Texas Rangers: Collin Wiles, RHP, Blue Valley West HS, Overland Park, Kansas
: A surprise choice in the supplemental round, Wiles was strongly committed to Vanderbilt and was considered unsignable as recently as a week ago. Projectable at 6'3", 190, he throws 87-92 MPH but has a chance for more velocity as he matures. His curve is promising, and he throws strikes.

54) Philadelphia Phillies: Mitch Gueller, RHP, West HS, Chehalis, Washington:
A late riser on draft boards, Gueller is a 6'3", 205-pounder with a 92-96 MPH fastball and a promising curve. He’s very athletic and still somewhat raw as a pitcher, but his stock rose once scouts realized he was signable away from his college commitment at Washington State.

55) San Diego Padres: Walker Weickel, RHP, Olympia HS, Orlando, FL:
An inconsistent spring and a velocity dip knocked Weickel’s stock back a notch, but he still interests scouts with his 6'6", 200-pound body, 88-93 MPH fastball and solid curveball and changeup. He is committed to the University of Miami. Scouts have been familiar with him for years, and he might have been nitpicked a bit this spring.

56) Chicago Cubs: Paul Blackburn, RHP, Heritage HS, Brentwood, CA:
Blackburn isn’t big at 6'1", 180, but he’s quite refined for a high schooler, throwing 88-92 MPH with strong command, mixing it with a plus curveball and a solid changeup. He should be signable away from Arizona State with this draft slot, and projects as a mid-rotation starter.

57) Cincinnati Reds: Jeff Gelalich, OF, UCLA:
The leading offensive force for the Bruins this spring, Gelalich hit .372/.462/.566 with 11 homers, 15 steals, 32 walks, and 41 strikeouts in 226 at-bats. Featuring good power from the left side, he also runs well and has greatly improved his plate discipline. He is a solid, low-risk pick with decent upside.

58) Toronto Blue Jays: Mitch Nay, 3B, Hamilton HS, Chandler, AZ:
Nay is a 6'3", 195-pound right-handed hitter with above-average power. He’s convinced scouts that his hitting skills are sound, and as a result has been moving up draft boards at the last minute. He also has a strong throwing arm and reasonable actions around the bag at third. Nay is committed to local baseball power Arizona State University.

59) St. Louis Cardinals: Steve Bean, C, Rockwall HS, Rockwall, Texas:
A University of Texas recruit, Bean is an impressive defensive catcher with a strong throwing arm. He makes contact and has a sound swing, but so far he hasn’t tapped into much power. That could come with time, and left-handed hitting catchers who can field are always in demand.

60) Toronto Blue Jays: Tyler Gonzales, RHP, Madison HS, San Antonio, TX:
Another University of Texas recruit, Gonzales stands at 6'2", 180, but generates a 93-96 MPH fastball, along with a nasty slider. He has some command issues and his delivery isn’t perfect, but his upside is considerable, especially if he can refine a changeup to go with his power stuff.

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