Mayweather vs Guerrero: Final pre-show thoughts

Jeff Bottari

A few last thoughts on Floyd Mayweather vs. Robert Guerrero. The two men meet tonight live on Showtime pay-per-view.

Not much has changed over the fight week for Floyd Mayweather's bout with Robert Guerrero. At the start of the week I wrote that the fight was lacking "buzz" and that hasn't really changed.

Robert Guerrero isn't exactly the most exciting personality on the planet. In fact, he came across as almost a bit of a dork after the weigh-in Friday night as he yelled that he was "thinkin' about gettin' down!" and that it was "time to rock and roll, man!" And that hasn't helped with the promotion of the fight. The main focus with Guerrero has been his wife's battle with -- and victory over -- leukemia, a great story to be sure, but not one that is likely to make anyone hit the order button.

What should make people want to order is just how mean Guerrero has fought in his last two fights as he moved to welterweight and tried to make his case for this bout with Floyd.

  • There are plenty of things to wonder about heading into the fight. Will Floyd's age catch up with him? Will his year out of the ring, which included a jail stint, be too much? But, the one thing that doesn't matter is Floyd coming in at 146 to Guerrero's 147. That was not some sort of sign that Guerrero is the bigger, stronger man. Floyd looked good...as always. And is still the more natural welterweight in the fight.
  • I'm interested to see how much success Guerrero has with his pressure. He is very hittable, as seen against Aydin and Berto and Mayweather is so good at picking spots to land clean punches. But Guerrero's chin means that he should be able to take those shots and Floyd doesn't punch in combination that often. So the path to victory for Guerrero is probably simply to apply so much pressure and throw enough punches that the judges value that more highly than Floyd's single, accurate shots.
  • Abner Mares vs. Daniel Ponce De Leon is pretty great stuff for a boxing undercard in the "modern era." Golden Boy and Showtime are being forced by the HBO and Top Rank rivalry to up their game and it's been good for the fans other than the amount of cards on at the same time. But Mares vs. PDL is particularly intriguing with Ponce De Leon being a very tough out and Mares coming up in weight trying to take another title. There's a chance he could be overreaching a bit with this fight, but I do still expect Mares to come out on top.
  • J'Leon Love is taking his own risk in fighting Gabe Rosado. Love has a bit of an advantage in size, to be sure. And Rosado took a beating from Gennady Golovkin in his last bout, so he isn't exactly "rolling." But he's a better fighter than Love has beaten to date and that means Love has to be at his best for a full ten rounds.
  • Leo Santa Cruz should win comfortably against Alexander Munoz to open the PPV, but Santa Cruz is always exciting. Munoz is going to give what he can, but he's an old 34 and just isn't likely to be able to keep up with the young Santa Cruz.
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