Best of Outnumbered

A season's worth of Philadelphia Flyers zone entries: The opening statement

32

Our series looking back at this year's zone entry data kicks off with an overview of how the Flyers performed in the offensive, neutral, and defensive zones.

Do goaltenders really get in a rhythm?

31

Does giving a goaltender a lot of starts in a row help him get in a rhythm?

Judging Goalies: Should We Include PK Save Percentage?

18

Judging Goalies: Should we include PK save percentage or focus on even strength?

Adjusting for Score Effects to Improve Our Predictions

40

Score-Adjusted Fenwick: You can make better predictions if you stop throwing away 60% of your data.

Do young forwards shoot more as they mature?

26

Do young forwards shoot more as they mature? A look at how shot rates change with age.

A peek behind the curtain: how do numbers get analyzed?

110

"Six goals of goal differential equals one win." "Shot differential is about 55% of winning." "You can't predict a team's playoff results based on the momentum they showed in their last five or...

How to tell the difference between a worn-out penny and a punk student

The stat guys talk a lot about variance, luck, and regression to the mean. A lot of it doesn't mesh up with our intuition, and I wanted to meander through its implications a little bit. I'll start...

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