Bowl projections 2012: Oregon over Kansas State and Notre Dame, and life isn't fair

Jonathan Ferrey

Bowl projections time. Alabama and Oregon are still in line to play for the national title, despite Kansas State and Notre Dame making perfectly convincing cases so far.

Alabama and Oregon remain in line for the national title game in Week 10's bowl projections update, as the Ducks have the chance to finish the season with wins against more ranked opponents than Kansas State does. That's not exactly how the BCS works, but as a quick look at how strength of schedule could eventually shake out, it's how I'm operating at the moment.

K-State remains one of the country's most deserving teams, and under a playoff format would get its fair chance. An unbeaten Notre Dame would unquestionably likewise warrant a shot, but due to how the postseason works for the time being, will likely be the first automatic qualifier to get a BCS shot. Thus, the Fiesta would be lucky to get to pair the two.

The Sugar gets next pick, and with Georgia now in line to play Alabama in the SEC title game, a UGA-Louisville matchup seems like the call. The Orange goes last, and Boise State becomes the first one-loss team from a non-AQ conference to play in a BCS bowl.


BCS standings, released Sunday night

Complete bowl projections for all 35 games, with asterisks for teams filling in slots other conferences couldn't:

Bowl Date Matchup Team Team

BCS National Championship 1/7/2013 BCS 1 vs. BCS 2 Alabama Oregon

Fiesta 1/3/2013 Big 12 1 vs. At-large 1 Kansas State Notre Dame

Sugar 1/2/2013 SEC 1 vs. At-large 2 Georgia Louisville

Orange 1/1/2013 ACC 1 vs. At-large 3 Florida State Boise State

Rose 1/1/2013 Pac-12 1 vs. Big Ten 1 Oregon State Nebraska

GoDaddy.com 1/6/2013 MAC vs. Sun Belt 2 Toledo WKU

BBVA Compass 1/5/2013 SEC 8/9 vs. Big East 5/C-USA Vanderbilt SMU

Cotton 1/4/2013 Big 12 2 vs. SEC Oklahoma Florida

Heart of Dallas 1/1/2013 Big Ten 7 vs. C-USA Iowa UCF

Outback 1/1/2013 Big Ten 3 vs. SEC Michigan South Carolina

Gator 1/1/2013 Big Ten 4/5 vs. SEC 6 Northwestern Mississippi State

Capital One 1/1/2013 Big Ten 2 vs. SEC 2 Wisconsin LSU

Sun 12/31/2012 ACC 4 vs. Pac-12 4 Stanford Miami

Music City 12/31/2012 ACC 6 vs. SEC 7 Ole Miss Maryland

Liberty 12/31/2012 C-USA 1 vs. Big East/SEC 8/9 Tulsa Tennessee

Chick-fil-A 12/31/2012 ACC 2 vs. SEC 5 Clemson Texas A&M

Pinstripe 12/29/2012 Big 12 7 vs. Big East 4 Iowa State Ohio*

Kraft Fight Hunger 12/29/2012 Pac-12 6 vs. Navy Arizona State Navy

Buffalo Wild Wings 12/29/2012 Big 12 4 vs. Big Ten 4/5 Texas Michigan State

Armed Forces 12/29/2012 MWC vs. C-USA New Mexico Houston

Alamo 12/29/2012 Big 12 3 vs. Pac-12 2 USC Texas Tech

Russell Athletic 12/28/2012 Big East 2 vs. ACC 3 Cincinnati N.C. State

Meineke Car Care 12/28/2012 Big 12 6 vs. Big Ten 6 Oklahoma State Minnesota

Independence 12/28/2012 SEC 10 vs. ACC 7 Duke ULL*

Military 12/27/2012 ACC 8 vs. Army Ball State* Utah State*

Holiday 12/27/2012 Pac-12 3 vs. Big 12 5 Arizona West Virginia

Belk 12/27/2012 Big East 3 vs. ACC 5 Rutgers Virginia Tech

Little Caesars 12/26/2012 MAC vs. Big Ten 8 Kent State MTSU*

Hawaii 12/24/2012 MWC/WAC vs. C-USA Nevada ECU

New Orleans 12/22/2012 Sun Belt 1 vs. C-USA ULM San Jose State*

Las Vegas 12/22/2012 MWC 1 vs. Pac-12 5 Fresno State UCLA

Beef O'Brady's 12/21/2012 Big East 6 vs. C-USA Bowling Green* Arkansas State*

Poinsettia 12/20/2012 MWC 2 vs. BYU San Diego State BYU

New Mexico 12/15/2012 MWC 4/5 vs. Pac-12 7/WAC Air Force Washington

Famous Idaho Potato 12/15/2012 MAC 3 vs. WAC Northern Illinois Louisiana Tech

Rich Rodriguez would play against West Virginia here. I rest my case.

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