Bowl projections 2012: Oregon over Kansas State and Notre Dame, and life isn't fair

Jonathan Ferrey

Bowl projections time. Alabama and Oregon are still in line to play for the national title, despite Kansas State and Notre Dame making perfectly convincing cases so far. Follow @SBNationCFB

Alabama and Oregon remain in line for the national title game in Week 10's bowl projections update, as the Ducks have the chance to finish the season with wins against more ranked opponents than Kansas State does. That's not exactly how the BCS works, but as a quick look at how strength of schedule could eventually shake out, it's how I'm operating at the moment.

K-State remains one of the country's most deserving teams, and under a playoff format would get its fair chance. An unbeaten Notre Dame would unquestionably likewise warrant a shot, but due to how the postseason works for the time being, will likely be the first automatic qualifier to get a BCS shot. Thus, the Fiesta would be lucky to get to pair the two.

The Sugar gets next pick, and with Georgia now in line to play Alabama in the SEC title game, a UGA-Louisville matchup seems like the call. The Orange goes last, and Boise State becomes the first one-loss team from a non-AQ conference to play in a BCS bowl.

BCS standings, released Sunday night

Complete bowl projections for all 35 games, with asterisks for teams filling in slots other conferences couldn't:


Bowl	Date	Matchup	Team	Team
BCS National Championship	1/7/2013	BCS 1 vs. BCS 2	Alabama	Oregon
Fiesta	1/3/2013	Big 12 1 vs. At-large 1	Kansas State	Notre Dame
Sugar	1/2/2013	SEC 1 vs. At-large 2	Georgia	Louisville
Orange	1/1/2013	ACC 1 vs. At-large 3	Florida State	Boise State
Rose	1/1/2013	Pac-12 1 vs. Big Ten 1	Oregon State	Nebraska
GoDaddy.com	1/6/2013	MAC vs. Sun Belt 2	Toledo	WKU
BBVA Compass	1/5/2013	SEC 8/9 vs. Big East 5/C-USA	Vanderbilt	SMU
Cotton	1/4/2013	Big 12 2 vs. SEC	Oklahoma	Florida
Heart of Dallas	1/1/2013	Big Ten 7 vs. C-USA	Iowa	UCF
Outback	1/1/2013	Big Ten 3 vs. SEC	Michigan	South Carolina
Gator	1/1/2013	Big Ten 4/5 vs. SEC 6	Northwestern	Mississippi State
Capital One	1/1/2013	Big Ten 2 vs. SEC 2	Wisconsin	LSU
Sun	12/31/2012	ACC 4 vs. Pac-12 4	Stanford	Miami
Music City	12/31/2012	ACC 6 vs. SEC 7	Ole Miss	Maryland
Liberty	12/31/2012	C-USA 1 vs. Big East/SEC 8/9	Tulsa	Tennessee
Chick-fil-A	12/31/2012	ACC 2 vs. SEC 5	Clemson	Texas A&M
Pinstripe	12/29/2012	Big 12 7 vs. Big East 4	Iowa State	Ohio*
Kraft Fight Hunger	12/29/2012	Pac-12 6 vs. Navy	Arizona State	Navy
Buffalo Wild Wings	12/29/2012	Big 12 4 vs. Big Ten 4/5	Texas	Michigan State
Armed Forces	12/29/2012	MWC vs. C-USA	New Mexico	Houston
Alamo	12/29/2012	Big 12 3 vs. Pac-12 2	USC	Texas Tech
Russell Athletic	12/28/2012	Big East 2 vs. ACC 3	Cincinnati	N.C. State
Meineke Car Care	12/28/2012	Big 12 6 vs. Big Ten 6	Oklahoma State	Minnesota
Independence	12/28/2012	SEC 10 vs. ACC 7	Duke	ULL*
Military	12/27/2012	ACC 8 vs. Army	Ball State*	Utah State*
Holiday	12/27/2012	Pac-12 3 vs. Big 12 5	Arizona	West Virginia
Belk	12/27/2012	Big East 3 vs. ACC 5	Rutgers	Virginia Tech
Little Caesars	12/26/2012	MAC vs. Big Ten 8	Kent State	MTSU*
Hawaii	12/24/2012	MWC/WAC vs. C-USA	Nevada	ECU
New Orleans	12/22/2012	Sun Belt 1 vs. C-USA	ULM	San Jose State*
Las Vegas	12/22/2012	MWC 1 vs. Pac-12 5	Fresno State	UCLA
Beef O'Brady's	12/21/2012	Big East 6 vs. C-USA	Bowling Green*	Arkansas State*
Poinsettia	12/20/2012	MWC 2 vs. BYU	San Diego State	BYU
New Mexico	12/15/2012	MWC 4/5 vs. Pac-12 7/WAC	Air Force	Washington
Famous Idaho Potato	12/15/2012	MAC 3 vs. WAC	Northern Illinois	Louisiana Tech