Bowl eligibility tracker, Week 10: Texas, Nebraska, UCLA could clinch

Tom Pennington

A number of high-profile teams (and some names you might not expect) could clinch postseason eligibility with wins this weekend.

Thirty-eight college football teams are bowl-eligible, with another 13 potentially joining this weekend. Reminder: you need six wins to be bowl eligible, as long as no more than one comes against an FCS team.

Almost in (with odds for each)

UL Lafayette (5-2) -32 vs. New Mexico State (1-7). The Ragin' Cajuns stand on top of the Sun Belt and get a conference break this week, as they face one of the worst squads in the FBS.

Toledo (5-3) -30.5 vs. Eastern Michigan (1-7). With the exception of Northern Illinois (and perhaps Ball State and Buffalo), MAC teams fall in the categories of "pretty alright" or "downright terrible." This matchup sees a team from one group play a team from the other. Guess which is which!

Texas (5-2) -28 vs. Kansas (2-5). After blowout losses to BYU and Ole Miss, Texas fans became concerned they might not make a bowl game. The postseason is all but a lock now.

UCLA (5-2) -28 vs. Colorado (3-4). This will be the Bruins' third straight go at bowl eligibility, but this one should be a breeze -- despite the near-.500 record, Colorado is a really poor football team.

East Carolina (5-2) -25 at FIU (1-6). The Pirates have a very good offense, especially through the air, and are one of the favorites to win the C-USA East.

Arizona (5-3) -16 at California (1-7). The Wildcats have emerged as a surprise contender in the crowded Pac-12 South and should cruise to victory against a struggling Bears team.

Georgia Tech (5-3) -10.5 vs. Pittsburgh (4-3). The Yellow Jackets hit some road blocks along the way this year, but after three straight losses midseason they've recovered nicely.

Texas State (5-3) -10.5 at Idaho (1-7). One of the newer FBS programs, Dennis Franchione has done a great job transitioning the program and has them set for a near-guaranteed bowl berth.

Wisconsin (5-2) -9.5 at Iowa (5-3). Double-eligibility games are always fun, but the Hawkeyes will likely have to wait to clinch their bowl berth.

Boise State (5-3) -7 at Colorado State (4-4). Yes, the Broncos have hit some snags this year, with losses to Washington, Fresno State and BYU, but they could very will win out, and with a victory in either the conference title game or bowl game continue Chris Petersen's double-digit win streak (hint: every year he's been there).

Nebraska (5-2) -6 vs. Northwestern (4-4). A shocking loss to Minnesota has left Nebraska fans panicking, but Northwestern's lost four in a row and looks unlikely to make a bowl game after a 4-0 start.

USC (5-3) +2 at Oregon State (6-2). After a two-year bowl ban, the Trojans returned to the postseason in unexciting fashion under Lane Kiffin in 2012, with a 21-7 loss to Georgia Tech in the Sun Bowl. A win against a good Oregon State team would clinch bowl eligibility and greatly increase their perceived standing.

UNLV (5-3) +4 vs. San Jose State (4-3). This should be a very good matchup between two fringe Mountain West competitors. The Rebels run a very balanced offense, while David Fales is having a great year at quarterback for the Spartans.

In

Alabama (8-0) Florida State (7-0) North Texas (6-3) South Carolina (6-2)
Arizona State (6-2) Fresno State (7-0) Northern Illinois (8-0) Stanford (7-1)
Auburn (7-1) Houston (7-1) Notre Dame (6-2) Texas A&M (6-2)
Ball State (8-1) Louisville (7-1) Ohio (6-2) Texas Tech (7-1)
Baylor (7-0) LSU (7-2) Ohio State (8-0) Tulane (6-2)
Buffalo (6-2) Miami (7-0) Oklahoma (7-1) UCF (6-1)
BYU (6-2) Michigan (6-1) Oklahoma State (6-1) Virginia Tech (6-2)
Cincinnati (6-2) Michigan State (7-1) Oregon (8-0)
Clemson (7-1) Minnesota (6-2) Oregon State (6-2)
Duke (6-2) Missouri (7-1) Rice (6-3)

Almost out

Kentucky (1-6) -27.5 vs. Alabama State. Just imagine the chaos, if an SEC team lost its chance at bowl eligibility because of an FCS squad.

Florida Atlantic (2-6) -2.5 vs. Tulane (6-2). Your guess is as good as to mine as to why the Owls are favored here, just days removed from their head coach resigning from his post.

Iowa State (1-6) +17 at Kansas State (3-4). Sure, there may be two teams undefeated in Big 12 play and sure, Kansas State may be 1-3 in conference, but Bill Snyder will find a way to win the title, and that means you are in his way, Cyclones.

Virginia (2-6) +18 vs. Clemson (7-1). Clemson nearly had a slip up in College Park against a resilient Maryland team, but Mike London's squad looks like it could be the worst in the conference.

FIU (1-6) +25 vs. East Carolina (5-2). FIU is a really, really bad football team. Mario Cristobal lies in wait.

Purdue (1-6) +32 vs. Ohio State (8-0). Poor Purdue. It's really not your fault that you ran into an angry and rabid Ohio State team that (rightly) feels the need to win each game by 70 points to prove itself. And it will only partially be your fault when the Buckeyes score 100 on Saturday.

UTEP (1-6) +46.5 at Texas A&M (6-2). The Miners' only win comes against New Mexico State, whom you can find in the "Out" section. Next week, look for UTEP there as well!

Out

Air Force (1-7) Georgia State (0-8) Miami (OH) (0-8) Western Michigan (1-8)
Akron (2-7) Hawaii (0-7) New Mexico State (1-7)
California (1-7) Idaho (1-7) Penn State (4-3)
Connecticut (0-7) Kent State (2-7) Southern Miss (0-7)
Eastern Michigan (1-7) Massachussetts (1-7) Temple (1-7)

More from SB Nation college football:

Full Week 10 college football TV schedule guide

Why Florida State should destroy Miami

And why Florida State would be favored to beat Oregon

Michigan State to beat Michigan, march toward Ohio State

• Long reads: Chip Kelly’s New Hampshire laboratory | Why we love college football

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