Week 15 college football picks: SEC shootout, Bedlam brawl and more

Above, Dan Rubenstein picks against the spread for championship weekend's five biggest games. Below, Bud Elliott plots the weekend's smartest wagers.

5-5 week brings my season record to 120-111 (52 percent, +$197). Yuck. 55 percent is the goal and the line at which a nice profit is made, and I'll need a big run to get back to that mark. There's always bowl season. Visit OddsShark.com for trends throughout the week.

Because of the smallish card for championship weekend, I'll discuss all of the games.

  • The wind chill in Oklahoma for Bedlam is going to be in the single digits. Oklahoma State plays very good defense, and I think this one will stay under the number.
  • I think Missouri can hang with Auburn because of its receivers and Auburn's corners. I am worried about Missouri's defense, which I think matches up better with a traditional offense than it does the spread option. I remember the Arkansas State game against Missouri, and the Tigers did not do well against Arkansas State's spread-option attack. I think this one will be a shootout.
  • It might rain in Charlotte, but I do think Florida State will overwhelm Duke. Duke has a different attack this year, but FSU has been very good against the read-option-type attacks this year.
  • I'm stealing the UL Lafayette pick from my good buddy Todd Furhman. He thinks the loss of Cajuns quarterback Terrance Broadway won't be as big as some believe.
  • Bowling Green plays very good defense, and I think Northern Illinois' high ranking creates value.
  • Memphis is much improved this season, and I'm not sure UConn is much of a hostile environment. It should be a high school atmosphere.
  • Utah State isn't the team it was with Chuckie Keeton, but it still plays excellent defense, and Fresno State is in a major letdown spot after losing its chance at a BCS game last weekend against San Jose State.
Your turn. Which numbers are you looking at this weekend?

More from SB Nation college football:

Jameis Winston case ends in a media circus

Projecting Championship Weekend: 66% chance of FSU-Ohio State

SEC Championship breakdown | Big Ten title the main event

College football news | Chris Petersen leaving Boise for Washington

Long CFB reads | The night Baylor died in Stillwater

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.