Projected 2013 BCS standings, Week 3: Oregon tops Alabama, but watch out for Michigan

Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports

Don't worry about the Tide. But do keep an eye on the Wolverines. Though the BCS won't officially release standings until later in the college football season, we know what they'd look like if they came out right now. Full standings below.

The Michigan-Notre Dame rivalry is going away after next year. It's probably not coming back for a long, long time. Say what you will about the two winningest programs in college football history, but their annual clash has never gone unnoticed, and it's always had an outsized impact.

A year ago, Notre Dame buried Michigan under an avalanche of turnovers, and the 13-6 victory propelled the Irish to a 12-0 regular season and a spot in the BCS championship game. It's arguable that had Denard Robinson not turned the ball over five times all by himself, there would not have been a Notre Dame renaissance and a contract extension for coach Brian Kelly.

Could their thrilling 41-30 victory this year have a similar trampoline effect for the Wolverines? You bet.

Michigan closed in on the top 10 in the polls on Sunday and now checks in at No. 11 in the latest simulated BCS standings. A year ago, Notre Dame jumped up to No. 9 in the simulated standings after its Week 4 victory over Michigan.

Rank Pvs Team Coaches % AP % Md* CM JS KM PW RB Cp Avg BCS
1 2 Oregon 2 0.9335 2 0.9233 2 1 2 1 2 0.97 0.9423
2 1 Alabama 1 0.9968 1 0.996 1 1 3 0.48 0.8243
3 4 Stanford 4 0.8561 5 0.8473 3 4 18 1 0.53 0.7445
4 3 Clemson 5 0.8432 3 0.888 7 10 17 4 0.44 0.7237
5 8 LSU 8 0.6884 8 0.7167 5 14 5 8 9 0.68 0.695
6 7 Texas A&M 6 0.8013 6 0.7553 4 11 8 24 10 0.51 0.6889
7 6 Ohio State 3 0.9219 4 0.8847 10 19 7 0.23 0.6789
8 14 Louisville 7 0.7232 7 0.7367 16 12 13 11 0.37 0.61
9 13 Oklahoma State 11 0.5587 12 0.556 11 5 7 4 18 0.63 0.5816
10 11 Georgia 10 0.6587 9 0.6907 8 6 5 0.38 0.5765
11 17 Michigan 12 0.5548 11 0.5813 12 8 14 10 12 0.56 0.5654
12 9 Florida State 9 0.671 10 0.674 6 10 23 14 0.31 0.5517
13 15 Oklahoma 13 0.5161 14 0.45 9 3 9 20 6 0.6 0.522
14 5 South Carolina 14 0.5084 13 0.5527 13 12 8 0.27 0.4437
15 18 Northwestern 16 0.3052 17 0.3013 19 18 2 15 0.26 0.2888
16 27 Miami (Fla.) 18 0.2935 15 0.41 23 21 23 20 0.11 0.2712
17 19 UCLA 17 0.3039 16 0.3253 20 15 11 0.17 0.2664
18 20 Wisconsin 18 0.2935 20 0.252 18 16 11 0.18 0.2418
19 12 Notre Dame 21 0.2245 21 0.222 14 18 13 0.2 0.2155
20 10 Florida 20 0.45 18 0.27 17 20 21 0.11 0.2148
21 21 Baylor 22 0.1916 22 0.1967 15 3 19 0.18 0.1894
22 22 Nebraska 15 0.3084 23 0.1847 24 24 13 24 0.06 0.1844
23 24 Washington 23 0.1632 19 0.2613 21 21 6 25 0.11 0.1782
24 25 TCU 24 0.1258 24 0.1133 22 0 0.0797
25 NR Utah 43 0.0013 0 4 3 0.22 0.0738
26 26 Ole Miss 25 0.0587 25 0.052 15 9 0.11 0.0736
27 NR Auburn 0 0 6 5 0.2 0.0667
28 29 Arizona State 28 0.031 26 0.0427 22 16 25 0.05 0.0412
29 39 Texas Tech 36 0.0045 0 19 17 23 0.1 0.0348
30 NR NC State 0 0 9 16 0.1 0.0333
31 36 Michigan State 26 0.0477 27 0.0173 0 0.0217
32 NR Tennessee 43 0.0013 39 0.0007 20 19 0.06 0.0207
33 37 Fresno State 27 0.0381 27 0.0173 7 0 0.0185
34 NR Illinois 40 0.0019 34 0.006 22 15 0.04 0.016
35 16 Texas 29 0.0245 27 0.0173 0 0.0139
36 41 Arizona 31 0.0135 34 0.006 24 7 0.02 0.0132
37 30 Northern Illinois 30 0.0174 30 0.014 16 0 0.0105
38 NR BYU 32 0.0116 32 0.0093 0 0.007
39 35 Virginia Tech 35 0.0052 31 0.01 0 0.0051
40 40 Georgia Tech 34 0.0077 33 0.0067 0 0.0048
41 34 Kansas State 40 0.0019 0 25 22 0.01 0.004
42 42 Arkansas 33 0.0103 0 25 0 0.0034
43 43 Bowling Green 40 0.0019 35 0.0047 2 0 0.0022
44 28 Penn State ^ 0 35 0.0047 0 0.0016
45 44 Central Florida 37 0.0039 0 23 0 0.0013
46 46 East Carolina 37 0.0039 0 0 0.0013
47 33 Boise State 43 0.0013 38 0.002 25 0 0.0011
48 23 USC 39 0.0032 0 0 0.0011
49 46 Utah State 43 0.0013 0 0 0.0004
50 NR Boston College 47 0.0006 0 17 0 0.0002
51 NR Rutgers 47 0.0006 0 0 0.0002
52 NR Colorado 0 0 12 0 0
53 NR Ball State 0 0 13 0 0
54 NR Washington State 0 0 14 0 0
55 32 San Jose State 0 0 17 0 0
56 NR Duke 0 0 21 0 0
57 NR Minnesota 0 0 22 0 0

Keys: Pvs = Previous Week; Coaches = USA Today Coaches Poll; AP = Associated Press Top 25; Md = Median ranking of 26 computer ratings; CM = Colley Matrix; JS = Jeff Sagarin; KM = Kenneth Massey; RB = Richard Billingsley; Cp Avg = Computer Average.

Explanation: This rankings method is a simulation of the actual BCS standings, with the following variations: 1) The AP Poll is used in place of the Harris Interactive Poll, which is not published until after the first weekend of October; 2) Four of the six BCS computer ratings are available - Colley Matrix, Jeff Sagarin, Kenneth Massey and Richard Billingsley; 3) The other two computer ratings - Anderson & Hester and Peter Wolfe - will not be available until late-September or October, so they're replaced by the median ranking of 26 computer ratings.

^ Penn State is ineligible for inclusion in official BCS standings.

A soft stretch of games now awaits the Wolverines, who likely won't be challenged again until a brutal November that could feature games against four ranked teams. But by then Michigan could be riding on a crest of momentum with a 7-0 record, similar to how Notre Dame cracked the top five when the first official standings were released in Week 7 and stayed there for the duration.

The improved play by the Big Ten, which went 11-1 on Saturday, will help the conference's top dogs, which besides Michigan include No. 7 Ohio State, No. 18 Wisconsin, No. 22 Nebraska and upstart Northwestern, off to a 2-0 start and checking in at No. 15. The way the schedule is shaping up, don't be surprised if another traditional rivalry matchup -- this one not going anywhere -- has heavy BCS implications. Ohio State visits the Big House on Nov. 30, and it's even possible that those two teams will have a rematch a week later in Indianapolis for the Big Ten title and, potentially, a spot in the BCS title game.

Week 3's BCS impact

But before we get there, we have a rare September showdown that has so much hype and impact it makes last week's Michigan-Notre Dame matchup seem, oh, so JV-ish. We'll just give it a mention, among other key BCS games in Week 3 (rankings in simulated BCS standings):

No. 2 Alabama at No. 6 Texas A&M (3:30 p.m. ET, CBS): With two more BCS computer rankings available now, Oregon jumped Alabama as the new No. 1 team for the time being. But until the two-time defending champs lose a game, the Tide will still be everybody's No. 1. As long as the game is close, the loser will not be out of the race for the BCS title. And despite all his offseason travails, Johnny Manziel seems to be in fine form after 1.5 games.

No. 17 UCLA at No. 22 Nebraska (Noon, ABC): The Bruins are flying under the radar, but they might be one of the best teams in the country. With crosstown rival USC imploding already, UCLA looks to be the odds-on favorite to win the Pac-12 South. An emphatic win in Lincoln will go a long way toward burnishing its national credentials.

No. 19 Notre Dame at Purdue (8 p.m., ABC): Despite the dispiriting loss at Michigan, Notre Dame is not out of the running for a BCS bowl. The Irish will need to bounce back quickly, and they must take a near-sure thing when they can -- such as this one -- because the rest of the schedule isn't going to get any easier.

Vanderbilt at No. 14 South Carolina (7 p.m. ESPN): South Carolina had the biggest tumble, dropping nine spots in the simulated standings after a hard-fought loss to Georgia. The SEC East title is still very much within their grasp, but the Gamecocks can't afford to overlook a Vandy team that might be dealing with some off-the-field distractions.

No. 23 Washington vs. Illinois at Chicago (6 p.m., BTN): This will be one of four games pitting Big Ten and Pac-12 teams on Saturday and, as both conferences harbor hopes of sending a team to the BCS title game, every little bit matters. Both the Huskies (with a win over Boise State) and Illini (2-0) are off to surprisingly good starts and will want to keep things rolling.

More from SB Nation:

Georgia, Miami, Michigan surge in AP poll

Texas replaces defensive coordinator with Greg Robinson

Michigan, FSU make BCS games in new bowl projections

Would coaches rather replace Mack Brown or Lane Kiffin?

Improving Eminem’s bizarre Notre Dame-Michigan visit

Today’s college football news headlines

The 36 best photos from college football's Week 2

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.