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Fantasy football start/sit advice, Week 16: Wide receiver

Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Fantasy owners shouldn't be worried about the weather too much on Sunday. Which receivers might fantasy owners want to sit?

One thing to remember about fantasy football is that sometimes weather can be a factor in making a decision. However, teams have actually put up some huge days in the snow. LeSean McCoy set the franchise record in rushing in some of the most ridiculous conditions this decade and Josh Gordon has done most of his damage in the cold weather. Unless there are some wild winds, fantasy owners should usually just roll with the best guy.

Start

Kendall Wright - Wright was an elite play last week against the Arizona Cardinals, totaling 12 catches for 150 yards in an overtime loss. The Tennessee Titans have become more of a passing offense with Ryan Fitzpatrick running the show, and it's generally led to Wright as the main guy.

The Titans have essentially buried Kenny Britt on the depth chart, while rookie receiver Justin Hunter was deactivated last week. Clearly, their offense has turned more into a West Coast-style format, and they are not throwing the ball down the field nearly as much as they were with Jake Locker. Perhaps Locker's low completion percentage is hanging over their heads, but it's seemed to work for them. Considering Wright is a slot guy, he's the main beneficiary.

He'll face a weak secondary in the Jacksonville Jaguars this week. Back in Week 10, Wright caught seven balls for 78 yards in the Jags' first win of the season. He should be busy yet again and is a good bet to eclipse that total based on his improving stats as this year has progressed. PPR owners should consider him a must-start while he's a WR2 in standard formats.

T.Y. Hilton - The Indianapolis Colts haven't really been getting the ball to Hilton much over the past few weeks. Last week was his best game since Week 10, but it was hardly one that fantasy owners were excited about with his eight-catch, 78-yard yard outing against the Houston Texans.

Hilton hasn't scored since Week 9 and before the aforementioned Week 15 game, he didn't top 46 receiving yards since Week 11. Still, it's nice to see he caught eight balls last week and it should be viewed as enough to start him against the Kansas City Chiefs. KC is very good in a number of areas, but they've been in the bottom half of fantasy points allowed to receivers.

T.Y. should be a strong WR2 this week.

Michael Crabtree - This one is more hunch than anything. The San Francisco 49ers are almost a lock to make the playoffs and it's about time they start to get their offense going. All year, Colin Kaepernick has been a QB2 in fantasy leagues due to the offense leaning on the rushing game, but that could change on Monday Night Football.

This week coach Jim Harbaugh could be viewing the Atlanta Falcons as a practice squad. They're ranked 29th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks and 20th to receivers, so this is a great time to get Kap's confidence up. Crabtree finally hit pay dirt last week against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, totaling five catches for 45 yards. You could argue the 49ers would not have made it to the Super Bowl without Crabtree last year, so he's a very important piece to their playoff formula.

Crabtree is a low-end WR2 this week.

Sit

Harry Douglas - After some huge production in the middle of the season, Harry Douglas has really cooled off. Over his last two games, he totaled just 57 yards on seven catches. There has been a downward trend really since Roddy White has come back and that trend isn't likely to see a turnaround this week.

The 49ers don't give up big plays too often, so that bread-and-butter facet of Douglas' game might not be a factor. What's more, they are sixth in fantasy points allowed to receivers. Quarterback Matt Ryan could be under pressure for most of the game and will have a tough time getting the ball out on long passes.

Douglas is more of a flex option this week.

Greg Jennings - Jennings completely broke out last week for a career-high 11 catches against the Philadelphia Eagles. He racked up a season-high 163 yards and scored in just his third game this season.

The problem is this game came out of nowhere. The Minnesota Vikings have been an inept passing offense for the whole season and perhaps the Eagles were just caught off guard. They were able to keep the Vikings' rushing game in check, but that probably shouldn't have been their concern with Adrian Peterson out.

Peterson is expected to be back this week and the Vikings aren't going to be slinging the ball around much. Plus, the Bengals have looked good in pass defense now that they're close to full strength again.

Jennings is a flex play with decent upside.

Dwayne Bowe - The Chiefs are in love with the screen pass. Of Jamaal Charles' five scores last week, three of them came on a screen. It's almost laughable to see a team score 56 points and their top receiver only put up 24 yards, but that's what happened with Dwyane Bowe in the easy win. Bowe is just too inconsistent to play for owners that have any sort of alternative.

Plus, the Colts just shut down Andre Johnson last week and are playing a little better as a whole. He's more of a flex.

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