Fantasy football start/sit advice, Week 16: Quarterbacks

Jason Miller

It's championship week! That means fantasy owners have the toughest decisions on their lineups on Sunday. Are there any quarterbacks that could predictably have a bad start on Sunday?

There has been a lot of inconsistency at quarterback. Even guys like Drew Brees had some issues last week against a usually underwhelming defense in the St. Louis Rams. Fantasy owners can't be too fickle and bench a guy like Drew Brees or even anyone that got them to where they are now.

Start

Andy Dalton - This is a matchup special for Dalton and the Cincinnati Bengals. They will welcome the Minnesota Vikings to their home turf and are likely licking their chops on offense. The Vikings allow the most passing touchdowns on the season and are in the bottom of almost every major stat category on defense.

It's also encouraging to see the Vikings were able to get the ball moving against the Eagles on Sunday. The Vikings do not have any sort of personnel to stick A.J. Green. Even if they double him, Green is still likely going to have a huge day.

Dalton has had a couple of big games in the past two games and totaled five scores in those contests. He seems like a safe bet for at least two scores, with the upside for four. He's a top-eight play this week.

Tony Romo - The Dallas Cowboys are coming off arguably the worst loss of any team on the season after they folded against the Green Bay Packers. Even though he had two egregious interceptions late in the game, Romo turned in a solid stat line of 358 yards and two scores on 29-of-48 passing.

Fantasy owners can't get sucked in to all the hoopla of Romo being a choke artist -- even if he is. The bottom line is he puts up numbers and has one of the highest quarterback ratings in the history of the NFL. Plus, he gets an outstanding matchup against the Washington Redskins on Sunday. They are in the bottom 10 for almost every major passing category, including ranking 31st in yards per attempt. Of course, they are dead last in points allowed, as well.

Romo has to be started in almost any league.

Jay Cutler - The Chicago Bears wasted no time in getting Cutler back in the swing of things in their win against the Browns. Cutler had 265 passing yards with three TD and two picks on 22-of-31 passing. It was his first start in over a month and it came on the road against a somewhat formidable pass defense headlined by cornerback Joe Haden.

Cutler has some of the best weapons in the NFL with receivers Alshon Jeffery, Brandon Marshall and Matt Forte. As long as he doesn't get a ton of pressure, Cutler is almost always going to have at least one score and with ceiling of maybe three or four.

This week has the makings of a shootout against the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are 28th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks and they haven't even dealt with the toughest schedule in the league. Matt Cassel of the Minnesota Vikings lit them up last week and Cutler should have similar success.

Cutler is a low-end QB1 this week.

Sit

Ryan Tannehill - Russell Wilson gets all the talk about being the best sophomore quarterback in the NFL, but Ryan Tannehill should get some credit. He and the Dolphins are 5-2 in their last seven games while Tannehill in particular has been putting up some nice numbers. In his previous four games, he averaged 298 yards with a total of nine TDs.

The problem is the Bills are actually built to mess with a guy like Tannehill. They rank first in the NFL in sacks, while Tannehill has been the most-sacked man in the league. Plus, the Bills are third in picks. If they can take away Mike Wallace, Tannehill might not be able to rack up the fantasy points.

He should be viewed as a QB2 with upside.

Ben Roethlisberger - The Steelers will go on the road to take on the Green Bay Packers in Week 16. Big Ben is coming off a weak game against the Cincinnati Bengals, passing for 191 yards and one score in the win.

The good news is that the Packers have given up a lot of big days to quarterbacks, but it's hard to imagine the Steelers leaning on Roethlisberger to get them offense. With Matt Flynn at quarterback, the Steelers will probably just run the ball and let their defense win the game for them.

There is little upside to playing Ben and he's more of a QB2 in most formats.

Andrew Luck - Many Luck supporters have been a little disappointed by his season. He has had some massive games throughout the year, but there have been some games in which he's been quiet. It's probably not a coincidence that most of those games were on the road and out of the division. The San Francisco 49ers and San Diego Chargers were two of his road games and serve as his two of his worst three outings on the season.

This week he gets the unenviable task of going on the road to face the Kansas City Chiefs. KC is a top-eight defense in fantasy points allowed. While they have been more susceptible to allowing big days, there is a little too much risk in playing Luck this week. He should be viewed as a top-15 quarterback, but it might not be a bad idea to play someone like Dalton or Cutler over him.

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