Offenses around the NFL are tossing the ball around the yard like never before. Just take a look at the number of solid quarterbacks that you can draft without much fall of between the #1 quarterback and the #10 quarterback. Yeah, that is why you can wait to draft a quarterback on draft day.
When it comes to receivers, you want the guys who are either consistent from year to year, like Calvin Johnson, who get plenty of targets each week, like Calvin Johnson, or that breakout receiver. I am here today to help you find that receiver who isn't necessarily going to break out this season, but the receiver who is going to outperform his ADP, according to Fantasy Football Calculator, in 2013.
Here are five wide receivers who will outperform their ADP this season:
Dez Bryant, Dallas Cowboys, Average Draft Position (Fantasy Football Calculator): 14.0
Don't laugh. He is the second ranked wide receiver according to Fantasy Football Calculator, with an ADP of 14.0, but I think he could be the #1 wide receiver in 2013. Last season, Bryant was targeted 138 times, catching 92 of those targets, for 1,382 yards and 12 touchdowns. Of the wide receivers with 90 or more receptions last season, he received the least number of targets last season. I see his numbers jumping across the board this season. I think 160+ targets, 110+ receptions, 1,500 yards and 15 touchdowns are well within reach for this dynamic talent.
Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals, Average Draft Position (Fantasy Football Calculator): 27.6
I have seen the light with Larry Fitzgerald. Last season will be seen as his worst of his NFL career. With Carson Palmer behind center in Arizona, and Bruce Arians revolving his offense around one of the best receivers in the NFL, Fitzgerald is in for a huge bounce back season. In Oakland, Palmer really had no one of Fitzgerald's caliber to throw to, and now he gets a chance to redeem himself as well.
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T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts, Average Draft Position (Fantasy Football Calculator): 78.9
When you're quarterback is Andrew Luck, any wide receiver in the Colts offense has a chance to outperform his ADP in 2013. Hilton was not too shabby last season, catching 50 of his 90 targets for 861 yards and 7 touchdowns. Five of his touchdowns came in the second half of the season, along with three of his 100+ yard receiving games. I see Luck pushing his passing touchdown total to the 30+ range in 2013, and Hilton should be a beneficiary on plenty of those touchdown passes.
Cecil Shorts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Average Draft Position (Fantasy Football Calculator): 81.8
Shorts is coming off a solid second season in the NFL, where he caught 55 of his 105 targets for 979 yards and 7 touchdowns. Over his nine games last season, he was targeted 86 times, five of which went for scores, and he exceeded 100 yards receiving four times. Shorts is in his third season in the NFL, and he could put up a breakout season in 2013, as he has a knack for big plays. He ranked second in the NFL in yards per catch at 17.9 last season. Expect more growth from Shorts in 2013.
Alshon Jeffery, Chicago Bears, Average Draft Position (Fantasy Football Calculator): 134.0
Jeffery's rookie season was nothing to write home about, as he played in just 10 games, catching 24 of his 48 targets for 367 yards and 3 scores. He dealt with injuries and lack of playing time last season, but recent reports indicate that he is a "completely different player" in preseason. He apparently looks "more powerful, more refined and is playing with more confidence". He caught 7 balls for 77 yards in last week's preseason game with several strong runs after catch. With Brandon Marshall slow to heal from offseason hip surgery, Jeffery could become a prominent member of the Bears offense this season.