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SB Nation MLB Players Of The Decade

MLB Players Of The Decade: Josh Hamilton Vs. Carl Crawford In Left Field

Rob Neyer continues his Players of the Decade series with a look at left field, where Josh Hamilton and Carl Crawford vie for top honors.

Feb 16, 2011 - Rob Neyer is predicting who will be the best players of this decade at each position. You can view all his previous selections here as he makes them.

Let’s get this out of the way quickly …

According to FanGraphs, the best left fielders in 2010 were Josh Hamilton, Matt Holliday, Carl Crawford, Carlos Gonzalez, Aubrey Huff, Brett Gardner and Ryan Braun. But looking ahead, we can probably cross two of those guys off the list because Gonzalez is slated for right field and Huff for first base.

Which leaves only five outstanding left fielders: Hamilton, Holliday, Crawford, Gardner and Braun.

It’s really too bad about Gonzalez, because he would have been a fine candidate for *Left Fielder of the Decade* (Huff, not so much). Worse, none of those five are old, and none of them are particularly young. Age-wise, they’re just sort of there.

At 31, Holliday’s the oldest. He’s an outstanding player, obviously, but he hardly seems likely to be an outstanding player when he’s 37 or 38. Not an outstanding left fielder, anyway. So let’s cross him off the list.

It’s hard to believe that Josh Hamilton turns 30 this spring, but he does. That’s not an automatic disqualifier. His sort of talent, we must not discount.

Crawford is roughly a year younger than Hamilton, turns 29 in August. The Red Sox must figure he’s going to be pretty good through most of this decade, because they’ve committed to paying Crawford $142 million through 2017. And if Crawford’s actually worth $142 million (or more) over the next seven seasons, he will certainly have ranked as one of the decade’s top left fielders.

Brett Gardner is a year younger than Crawford, and was probably better in 2010 than you know, thanks to his speed (and judgment) on the bases and his speed in the outfield. But Gardner’s probably going to wind up in center field someday, right? Considering that he’s in left field now mostly because the Yankees didn’t want mess with Curtis Granderson and move him to left? Granderson’s locked up through 2012, but I’m willing to bet that Gardner ultimately spends more than half of this decade in center field, where he belongs. So I’m crossing him off the list.

And finally Ryan Braun, our youngest outstanding left fielder, just three months younger than Gardner.  We know that Braun can hit with almost anyone – they don’t call him “the Hebrew Hammer” for nothing – but there is one little problem: He’s not much of a fielder. And considering that 1) Braun’s now been a gardener for three full seasons, and 2) players actually peak as fielders in their early- or mid-20s, it doesn’t seem likely that his defense will improve over the next few years.

Which leaves him and his employers in a bit of a quandary. Because if Braun gets much worse in left field, he’s unplayable out there. And he’s going to get worse. Which is why I’m crossing him off the list, too. For some goodly chunk of this decade, Braun will be either a left fielder with diminished value, or a first baseman (or a DH).

For the moment, I think we’re down to just two very talented men, Josh Hamilton and Carl Crawford.

But youth must be considered, right? Is there room in our little contest for Travis Snider (23), Logan Morrison (23) and Jose Tabata (22)? Probably not. Morrison’s the only one of the trio who’s showed anything special as a hitter, and he’s got first base written all over him.

There are, of course, even younger candidates. One, in particular: Bryce Harper. Just one little problem. I mean, aside from the fact that he’s 18 years old, which means that by decade’s end he’ll just be hitting his peak seasons.

The little problem is that we don’t have any idea where he’s going to play. Before the Nationals drafted him, he was a catcher. Before the Nationals signed Jayson Werth, he was a right fielder. Now he’s apparently a center fielder. But what if management is still locked in their passionate love affair with Nyjer Morgan when Harper’s ready to make his grand entrance? Might Harper wind up in left field?

He might, but the odds seem better that Morgan’s been exposed as the somewhat marginal player that he is, especially considering that Harper, brilliant as he is, probably doesn’t take his presumed place in the lineup until 2012. So let’s save him for next time.

Which leaves us where we started. Hamilton v. Crawford.

As great as Hamilton was in 2010, Crawford still finishes ahead in two- and three-year Wins Above Replacement, largely (though not solely) because Hamilton missed a big chunk of the 2009 season. He missed a month-long chunk of 2010, too.

It’s obviously debatable, but Crawford’s got edges in birthdays and durability, which makes him our choice as the top left fielder of this decade.

Poll
Who's going to be the top left fielder of this decade?
Carl Crawford
463 votes
Josh Hamilton
325 votes
Ryan Braun
492 votes

1280 votes | Poll has closed

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Rob Neyer

National Baseball Editor

Rob Neyer began his career with legendary baseball author Bill James, and later worked for STATS, Inc. and ESPN.com, writing more words for that website than anyone else. Rob has written or... Read full bio


Comments

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No "other" vote?

"People don't kill people. Burning oreo packages kill people."

by crolfer on Feb 16, 2011 9:34 AM EST reply actions  

Agreed. From all I read, CarGo will be a LF when playing at home and a mixture of LF/RF when playing away. He should be part of this discussion.

by osierra11 on Feb 16, 2011 10:41 AM EST up reply actions  

CarGo rates very well defensively in left field, and hits better when he plays left field (SSS alert). If Jim Tracy and the FO get wise and start stocking their outfield like they should, Gonzalez could have a very, very productive career as a full-time left fielder. And despite the reputation of his arm, it’s probably where he belongs. Which would make him a lot like Carl Crawford, but much younger and therefore more likely to claim honors for best LF of the decade.

That said, we also need to see how Gonzalez hits when his BABIP isn’t .382. That’s kinda important.

Et tu, Ribe?

by Solidarity on Feb 16, 2011 3:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Crawford's already 29 - he was born in 1981

He turns 30 in August. That presumably closes what gap there is between Hamilton and Crawford significantly.

by Tarrsk on Feb 16, 2011 10:41 AM EST reply actions  

We’re not in the best moment for outfielders. The vlads and mannys of the 00s are old and the outfield has, momentarily, become less stacked than 2B. I bet the best LF of the next 10 years is someone we don’t know a ton about yet, as the corner outfield spots are bound to become powerful again

by Max Abrams on Feb 16, 2011 10:51 AM EST reply actions  

No Age Difference

Tarrsk is correct. Crawford is only 3 months younger than Hamilton (born in August 1981 vs. May 1981 for Hamilton). The edge might still go to Crawford (though I would rather have Hamilton on my team at this moment) but the margin has to be razor-thin.

by moviegoer74 on Feb 16, 2011 12:30 PM EST reply actions  

Agreed

I think Braun’s defensive shortcomings may also be a little overstated. Given his age, it stands to reason that he he has the most room to improve over the next few seasons, and his prime years could be right smack in the middle of the decade.

I’ll vote Braun as my dark horse candidate for this award series. That said, most of these titles will probably go to people we haven’t even heard of yet.

A man who carries a cat by the tail learns something he can learn in no other way. - SLC

by mhad on Feb 16, 2011 6:00 PM EST up reply actions  

…and it turns out he’s the top vote getter. Here I thought I was thinking outside of the box.

A man who carries a cat by the tail learns something he can learn in no other way. - SLC

by mhad on Feb 16, 2011 6:01 PM EST up reply actions  

This is a joke, right?

Et tu, Ribe?

by Solidarity on Feb 16, 2011 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

This could be (and probably is) overrating the hot prospect

But if Peter Bourjos hits enough to be an everyday player, Mike Trout would likely slide to LF due to Bourjos’ outstanding defense.

"You think someone that big would be more well endowed" Aubrey Huff's mother on Pat Burrell
I thought he was going to punch me and I was totally accepting of it. I was planning a reason to thank him if he did." Brian Wilson on Buster Posey
Twiitter: @gobroks
Blog: GMPotential.blogspot

by Gobroks on Feb 17, 2011 1:38 AM EST reply actions  

I like the thought process overall. If it were almost any team but the Angels, I would be right on board considering the accolades this kid is getting. It just seems, though, like the Angels have what’s becoming a pretty long track record of selling us all on these can’t-miss types who end up being not-so-good (Wood, McPherson). Meanwhile their most productive home-grown players have come with a fraction of the hype (Morales).

by Kalaska on Feb 18, 2011 6:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Travis Snider will break out this year

He was slowed by injuries and inconsistent playing time last season, with the latter on Cito.

HEADING STRAIGHT FOR THEM, I PRESS DOWN MAH GUNS!

by BenjiDoc on Feb 17, 2011 8:27 AM EST reply actions  

Hamilton will be a DH before Braun

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Feb 22, 2011 12:17 AM EST reply actions  

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