MLB playoff odds Sept. 13: Pirates regain share of NL Central lead

Justin K. Aller

Taking a look at the latest MLB post-season odds from Cool Standings and Baseball Prospectus.

Most of the playoff contenders were in action Thursday, causing some changes in the postseason odds in both the American League and the National League.

Let's check in on the playoff odds in the AL:

CoolStandings.com Baseball Prospectus
Team Wins Losses Div WC POFF Div WC POFF
Red Sox 89 58 99.9 0.1 99.9 99.9 0.1 100
Tigers 84 62 98.7 1.0 99.8 99.6 0.3 99.9
Athletics 85 61 90.2 9.5 99.7 83.9 15.8 99.6
Rangers 81 64 9.8 68.9 78.7 16.1 69.5 85.6
Rays 79 66 0.1 45.2 45.3 0.1 67.6 67.7
Yankees 79 68 <0.1 23.0 23.0 0 16.4 16.4
Indians 78 68 0.9 34.5 35.4 0..4 21.7 22.1
Orioles 77 69 <0.1 5.3 5.3 0.0 4.4 4..4
Royals 77 69 0.4 12.4 12.9 0 4.2 4..2

Tampa Bay picked up an important victory over the Red Sox, improving their postseason odds five percent. New York collected their third victory over Baltimore in the past four days, causing the Orioles' playoff odds to fall eight percent since Monday.

Cleveland earned a win over the Chicago White Sox, keeping the Indians 1 1/2 games behind the Rays. Oakland also picked up a win on Thursday, increasing their odds of winning the AL West by 3 percent.

Now on to the National League:

Team Wins Losses Div WC POFF Div WC POFF
Braves 88 58 99.9 <0.1 99.9 100 0 100
Dodgers 86 60 99.9 <0.1 99.9 100 0 100
Cardinals 85 61 54.1 45.6 99.7 50.4 49.3 99.7
Pirates 85 61 34.3 65.3 99.6 36.7 63.1 99.8
Reds 83 64 11.5 86.4 98.0 12.8 84.9 97.8
Nationals 77 69 <0.1 2.7 2.7 0.0 2.7 2.7

The Braves and the Dodgers both won against last-place opponents, lowering Atlanta's magic number to six and the Los Angeles' magic number to five. The Nationals finished off a four-game sweep over the New York Mets, keeping their faint playoff dreams alive.

The NL Central race saw the biggest shakeup; the Cardinals lost at home to the Milwaukee Brewers, while the Pirates won against the Chicago Cubs. St Louis' odds of winning the division fell 13 percent thanks to the two outcomes, and the teams are now tied for the NL Central lead.

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