MLB playoff odds Sept. 23: Braves, Athletics clinch divisions

Pool Photo-USA TODAY Sports

Taking a look at the latest MLB post-season odds from Cool Standings and Baseball Prospectus.

The MLB playoff picture gained clarity over the weekend, with more of the top teams clinching their divisions and some of the Wild Card contenders putting distance between themselves and the rest of the pack. With only seven days left of the regular season, teams will make a final push as they attempt to grab one of the five remaining playoff bids.

Let's start with the AL, where the Athletics punched their ticked to the playoffs by winning the AL West.

y-clinched playoff spot, x-clinched division Baseball Prospectus
Team Wins Losses Div WC POFF Div WC POFF
Red Sox-x 95 62 100 0 100 100 0 100
Athletics-x 93 63 100 0 100 100 0 100
Tigers 91 65 99.9 0.1 99.9 99.9 0.1 100
Rays 86 69 0 77.4 77.4 0 90.1 90.1
Indians 86 70 0.1 87.5 87.5 0.1 72.7 72.8
Rangers 84 71 0 28.6 28.6 0.1 35.0 35.0
Royals 82 73 0 4.8 4.8 0 1.5 1.5
Yankees 82 74 0 1.3 1.3 0 0.4 0.4
Orioles 81 74 0.0 0.2 0.2 0 0.2 0.2

The Rays, Indians and Rangers are the only three teams left with a realistic shot of earning a Wild Card spot, with the Royals, Yankees and Orioles all mathematically alive but needing a miracle.

Tampa Bay's three game sweep over Baltimore greatly improved their chances while essentially eliminating a contender. The Rays saw their chances increase 20.1% over the weekend, while the Orioles odds fell 11.1%.

Cleveland earned a four-game sweep over the Houston Astros, while Texas lost two of three to Kansas City, putting the Indians firmly in the driver's seat for the postseason. The Rangers postseason odds fell 33.3% since Friday, while the Indians odds rose 22.2%.

On to the NL, where the playoff picture appears much clearer:

Team Wins Losses Div WC POFF Div WC POFF
Braves-x 92 63 100 0 100 100 0 100
Cardinals-y 91 65 86.0


100 78.3 21.7 100
Dodgers-x 90 66 100 0 100 100 0 100
Pirates 89 67 5.8 94.1 99.9 5.4 94.5 99.9
Reds 89 67 8.2 91.7 99.9 16.3 83.6 99.9
Nationals 84 72 0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2

The Braves clinched the NL East title on Sunday, while the Cardinals secured themselves a playoff spot. The Nationals lost a game against the Miami Marlins, giving them little hope of securing one of the two NL Wild Card spots.

The Reds won two of three against the Pirates, leaving the two teams tied atop the NL Wild Card standings. The NL Central rivals will meet again in the final series of the season that will likely decide who holds home-field advantage in the NL Wild Card.

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