MLB Playoff Odds Sept. 9: Yankees struggle, Pirates swept

Scott Kane-USA TODAY Sports

Taking a look at the latest MLB post-season odds from Cool Standings and Baseball Prospectus

Baseball's regular season is down to the final three weeks, and contenders for the five playoff spots in each league are trying to secure there spot. Some teams have nearly clinched their post-season bid, while others are jockeying for position or hoping to keep the dream alive. We'll be tracking these odds from here on out, until we know the answer to all the playoff questions in each league.

The AL East and Central are nearly wrapped up barring disaster, but the AL West and both Wild Card bids are more undecided at this early September stage: Baseball Prospectus
Team Wins Losses Div WC POFF Div WC POFF
Red Sox 87 58 99.0 1.0 99.9 99.3 0.7 100
Tigers 82 61 97.4 1.7 99.2 99.0 0.7 99.7
Athletics 83 60 70.4 28.5 98.9 61.4 37.7 99
Rangers 81 61 29.6 62.3 91.9 38.6 55.1 93.7
Rays 78 64 0.8 48.0 48.8 0.7 67.2 67.9
Indians 76 66 2.0 27.0 29.0 1.0 19.6 20.5
Orioles 76 66 0.2 13.4 13.6 0.1 10.5 10.6
Yankees 76 67 0.1 10.1 10.1 0 6.9 6.9
Royals 75 68 0.6 8.0 8.5 0.1 1.7 1.7

The Red Sox and Tigers both look to have playoff spots all but wrapped up, with the Athletics and Rangers close behind. Texas and Oakland are still battling for the AL West, with the loser likely grabbing one of the Wild Card spot, leaving the other wild card to be fought over by one-third of the American League.

Tampa Bay, currently in possession of that second Wild card, has seen their lead evaporate: four teams sit within 3 1/2 games of their spot, due to recent struggles that also allowed the Red Sox to build a cushion in the East heading into the final series of the season for these two rivals, beginning on Tuesday.

The five playoff teams in the NL have distanced themselves from the rest of the pack, but the NL Central and both Wild Card spots are still close races. Baseball Propsectus
Team Wins Losses Div WC POFF Div WC POFF
Braves 85 57 99.9 0.1 99.9 100 0 100
Dodgers 83 59 99.9 0.1 99.9 100 0 100
Cardinals 83 60 60 39.9 99.9 53.3 46.6 99.9
Reds 82 62 26.5 73.1 99.6 27.9 71.9 99.8
Pirates 81 61 13.5 85 98.5 18.8 80.8 99.7
Nationals 73 69 0.1 1.7 1.7 0.4 0.4 0.4
Diamondbacks 72 70 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2

The Cardinals currently lead the NL Central, but the Pirates and the Reds both trail by 1 1/2 games. The winner of the division gets a guaranteed five-game series,  while the other two will likely play in the Wild Card game.

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