Improving "Total Run Accounting": Zero Based Expected Runs
Can "Total Run Accounting" analysis be improved by updating "expected runs" to start and end innings with zero expected runs scored?
| Final - 4.10.2011 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| Minnesota Twins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Stories
Twins Drop Game 5-3, Series 2-1: Offensive Woes Continue
The Twins have now scored 24 runs in nine games this season, and have yet to win a series. Here's how the Twins lost this one.
GameThreads
Twins Fans GameThread on Twinkie Town
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Athletics Fans GameThread on Athletics Nation
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Boxscore
| FINAL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| Minnesota | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| Oakland Athletics | |||||||
| Hitters | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | SO | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David DeJesus, CF | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 |
| Daric Barton, 1B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .219 |
| Josh Willingham, LF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .242 |
| Hideki Matsui, DH | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .207 |
| Ryan Sweeney, RF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .200 |
| Mark Ellis, 2B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .207 |
| Kevin Kouzmanoff, 3B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .172 |
| Landon Powell, C | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .750 |
| Cliff Pennington, SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .167 |
| Totals | 31 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 6 | |
Batting
Home runs - Willingham, Matsui
Doubles - Sweeney, Powell
Hit by pitch - Kouzmanoff
Sacrifice flies - Kouzmanoff, Pennington
Stolen Bases - Kouzmanoff
Caught Stealing - DeJesus, Willingham
Team LOB - 7
Home runs - Willingham, Matsui
Doubles - Sweeney, Powell
Hit by pitch - Kouzmanoff
Sacrifice flies - Kouzmanoff, Pennington
Stolen Bases - Kouzmanoff
Caught Stealing - DeJesus, Willingham
Team LOB - 7
| Pitchers | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | ERA | WP | PC-ST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon McCarthy (W, 1-0) | 7.1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3.52 | 0 | 107-73 |
| Jerry Blevins | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 7-4 |
| Grant Balfour (, 0-1) | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.40 | 0 | 2-2 |
| Brian Fuentes (S, 0-1; S,3) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3.86 | 0 | 12-9 |
| Minnesota Twins | |||||||
| Hitters | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | SO | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denard Span, CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .286 |
| Joe Mauer, C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .233 |
| Justin Morneau, 1B | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .258 |
| Jim Thome, DH | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .167 |
| Delmon Young, LF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .188 |
| Jason Kubel, RF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .300 |
| Michael Cuddyer, 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .107 |
| Danny Valencia, 3B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .194 |
| Alexi Casilla, SS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 |
| Totals | 34 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
Batting
Home runs - Thome
Doubles - Mauer, Morneau, Kubel
Grounded into DP - Thome
Sacrifices - Casilla
Team LOB - 5
Home runs - Thome
Doubles - Mauer, Morneau, Kubel
Grounded into DP - Thome
Sacrifices - Casilla
Team LOB - 5
| Pitchers | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | ERA | WP | PC-ST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Baker (L, 0-2) | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6.55 | 1 | 99-64 |
| Jeff Manship | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11.57 | 0 | 9-4 |
| Glen Perkins | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 18-14 |
| Alex Burnett | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 22-9 |
| Jose Mijares | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 18-8 |
GAME NOTES
Pitching notes: Minnesota S.Baker pitched to 3 batters in the 6th.
Officials: Home Plate Umpire - Bill Miller, First Base Umpire - Phil Cuzzi, Second Base Umpire - James Hoye, Third Base Umpire - Tom Hallion
Duration: 2:50
Pitching notes: Minnesota S.Baker pitched to 3 batters in the 6th.
Officials: Home Plate Umpire - Bill Miller, First Base Umpire - Phil Cuzzi, Second Base Umpire - James Hoye, Third Base Umpire - Tom Hallion
Duration: 2:50
