Kurt Pellegrino was on a roll until he ran into George Sotiropoulos at UFC 116. After suffering a knee injury in the first round of the fight, Pellegrino was forced to undergo surgery to repair a torn meniscus and replace an ACL. How he bounces back from that setback is key. Pellegrino is a seasoned vet, but he has a tall order in Gleison Tibau.
We have one of the smaller lightweights in the division in Pellegrino taking on one of the biggest in Tibau. If Pellegrino can drag this fight into the later rounds by forcing Tibau to work and expend his energy he could have a good enough showing to take a decision. I just don't have warm and fuzzy feelings about that knee. I see Tibau's size being the difference.