UFC 130 Main Fight Card Breakdowns: Rampage Jackson Vs. Matt Hamill, Frank Mir Vs. Roy Nelson And More

A quick and dirty breakdown of every fight on the main PPV card of UFC 130: Quinton "Rampage" Jackson vs Matt Hamill, Frank Mir vs Roy Nelson, Stefan Struve vs Travis Browne, Jorge Santiago vs Brian Stann, and Thiago Alves vs Rick Story.

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VIDEO: UFC 130 Fight Card Predictions With Phil Davis

Dustin Green, host of CSN Washington's The Fight Fix, caught up with UFC light heavyweight contender Phil Davis to get his thoughts on the two main event fights at UFC 130: Rampage vs. Hamill: Quinton Jackson vs. Matt Hamill and Frank Mir vs. Roy Nelson.

You can also see The Fight Fix at CSNWashington.com.

SBNation and Comcast SportsNet are proud to bring you The Fight Fix on BloodyElbow.com and SBNation.com/MMA every week.

Transcription:

Phil Davis
start of the video, on Rampage vs Hamill: "Main Event...ya know I'm not real good at pickin' and especially with guys I haven't trained with because I feel like when I train with a guy, I know what he's capable of doing to another guy.  These guys - I've just watched tape of them and watched them fight in person and I'm a big fan of both of them.  I watched actually a lot of Matt Hamill's tapes because I was scheduled to fight him at one point.  He has some great skills.  He has some great skills.  He's underrated.  I believe in this fight.  But having said that, Rashad, I mean Rampage, he's a monster man.  He's great at taking control of a fight.  Hes great at taking control of a fight.  His last fight against Rashad, 3rd period came around and he just took control.  It seemed like he was in control the entire fight because in that last period, he just dominated it and almost turned it around.  It' gonna be a crazy fight.  I really don't know who has it though.  I really don't.  I hate to be a buzz kill, but I don't know who has this one."

1:15 on Mir vs Nelson: "Mir versus Nelson.  I haven't trained with either one of those guys.  I like both of those guys.  They're funny dudes.  Both good jiu jitsu fighters, and I think what will make the difference in a fight like this is who can take it to the ground.  Neither one of them is are high level wrestlers.  They're both awesome on the ground, but not awesome at getting the other guy to the ground.   It might be a standup brawl.  That might end up being a standup fight.  In the striking, I would give Mir the speed advantage and I would give Nelson the power advantage.  That dude swings some hammers man.  Whoever gets that first couple of takedowns, whoever gets the first takedown is probably gonna win.  Look for that one in the first period.  Somebody gets that early takedown, that will set the tone for the entire fight."

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UFC 130 Fight Card Breakdown: Rampage Jackson vs Matt Hamill

Quinton "Rampage" Jackson faces Matt Hamill in a light heavyweight bout at UFC 130.The fight is headlining the UFC 130 card but it wasn't supposed to. Originally, the third match between Frankie Edgar and Gray Maynard for the lightweight title was to headline the card. Both of those fighters were injured and had to drop off the card.

Nor was Jackson vs Hamill even supposed to be the original co-headliner. It was originally booked as Rampage against Thiago Silva, but Silva failed his post-fight drug test at UFC 125 and had to withdraw from the bout. 

Hamill for his part was supposed to be fighting Phil Davis, but now Davis is stepping in for Jon Jones against Rashad Evans at UFC 133

Given all that, it's a somewhat interesting match as Jackson wasn't at his best in a controversial decision win over Lyoto Machida at UFC 123 and has been openly saying he'd rather be making movies than fighting. 

For his part Hamill is making a big step up in competition here. Despite having nine wins in the UFC, Hamill hasn't beaten anyone who's currently relevant in the division. His best wins were all against undersized fighters who've since moved down to middleweight (Mark Munoz, Tim Boetsch), guys who've been cut (Keith Jardine, Reese Andy) or aging and injured (Tito Ortiz). True Hamill is the only man to own a win over current champ Jon Jones, but he was destroyed in that fight and owes the win to a DQ on Jones' part for battering a helpless Hamill with 12 to 6 elbows to the eye. 

If Jackson, who is visibly in very good trim, comes into the bout at the top of his game he should have few problems handling Hamill. Jackson is one of the best boxers in MMA with excellent footwork and smooth, deadly combination punching. Hamill is a good wrestler and strikes with power, but he has many glaring flaws in his MMA game and can't shift seamlessly from striking to wrestling. 

Jackson has fought the very best competition in the sport for almost a decade now. Hamill hasn't. Hamill has been in big fights on big cards, though so he won't be intimidated by Rampage or by headlining.

Aspect Jackson Points Hamill Advantage
Range Fighting



Boxing Tops Some Power Jackson
Kickboxing Disinterested Some Power Hamill 
Wrestling Neglected Very Good Hamill
Clinch Fighting        
Dirty Boxing Murderous 1 Very Good Jackson
Thai Clinch Ok 1 Ok Tie
Throws/Trips Good 1 Very Good Hamill
 Ground Fighting



 Positional Control Very Good 1 Good Jackson
 Top Game Very Good 1 Good Jackson
 Bottom Game Rarely Seen 1 Rudimentary Jackson
 Submissions Disinterested 0 ??? Tie
Intangibles Motivated? 1 Not Ready for Prime Time Jackson
Overall Former Champ 6/3 Gatekeeper Jackson

 

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UFC 130 Fight Card Breakdown: Frank Mir vs. Roy Nelson

Former UFC heavyweight champion Frank Mir (14-5) and Roy Nelson (15-5) will meet on the pay per view portion of the UFC 130 card from MGM's Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. 

Mir comes into the bout off a KO win over the legendary Mirko Filipovic at UFC 119. Despite the dramatic third round finish, the fight up to that point had been anything but entertaining and fans and UFC president Dana White were vocal in their displeasure. Previous to that, Mir was crushed by Shane Carwin at UFC 111. He'll be looking to get back on the contender track in this fight.

Nelson is coming off a loss to Junior dos Santos at UFC 117 in August. He'd racked up two straight UFC KO wins over Stefan Struve and Brendan Schaub going into that fight, but after getting pretty much worked over by dos Santos, Nelson fell off the contender wagon.

Both fighters are primarily known for their grappling. Unfortunately for Mir, one of the most dangerous submission fighters in the history of the heavyweight division, Nelson possibly has the better Brazilian Jiu Jitsu skills. The two met in a grappling match in 2003 and Nelson outpointed Mir.

In an MMA context, Mir tends to be more of a guard player who aggressively hunts for submissions off his back. Nelson likes to get top control and punish his opponents with ground and pound. 

As is frequently the case when two BJJ masters meet in the cage, the fight will likely be decided on the feet. Both men have improved their striking dramatically in recent years. Despite each having a few KOs on their resume, their striking styles are a study in contrasts. Mir has a technically polished style, albeit a tad stiff. He's had the most success using his punching to hurt opponents and then follow up with a submission against a stunned foe.

Nelson on the other hand has a powerful right hand and he will work to apply it to Mir's jaw and brainpan. Against dos Santos, Nelson showed admirable chin and heart as well as decent defensive skills but he was outclassed. He may have better luck against Mir, who's never been a fighter who did well standing and trading strikes for extended periods of time, particularly in the clinch.

Here's the breakdown: look for Nelson to dominate with sheer punching power and will to win.

Aspect Mir Points Nelson Advantage
Range Fighting



Boxing Improving Big Right Nelson
Kickboxing Formal Limited Mir 
Wrestling Not Great Good Enough Nelson
Clinch Fighting        
Dirty Boxing Eh 1 Tuff Enuff Nelson
Thai Clinch Effective 1 Ok Mir
Throws/Trips So So 1 Decent Nelson
 Ground Fighting



 Positional Control Very Good 1 Excellent Good Nelson
 Top Game Very Good 1 Very Good Tie
 Bottom Game Dangerous 1 Good Mir
 Submissions Creative 1 Technical Tie
Intangibles Sometimes Wilts 1 Savvy Nelson
Overall Former Champ 3/6 Contender Nelson

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UFC 130 Fight Card Breakdown: Stefan Struve vs. Travis Browne

Heavyweights Stefan Struve (21-4, 5-2 UFC) and Travis Browne (10-0-1, 1-0-1 UFC) meet on the UFC 130 PPV card this Saturday, May 28 in Las Vegas. The 6'11" Struve and the 6'7" Browne are two of the tallest men in the UFC. 

Struve is coming off two straight KO/TKO wins since losing to Roy Nelson in March 2010. His victims, Sean McCorkle and Christian Morecraft are very comparable to Travis Browne.  Struve so far has made a UFC career off of beating the guys he's supposed to beat. 

But a closer look at Browne's skill set shows that he present a more serious threat to Struve than either McCorkle or Morecraft. 

Travis Browne falls into that category. A BJJ purple belt with a boxing background, Browne built up an undefeated record before making his UFC debut. Since joining the promotion he's beaten the undersized and underwhelming James McSweeney and gotten a gift tie against Cheick Kongo due to excessive fouls by the notorious Kongo.

Despite that less than stellar record, Browne's punching power makes him a huge threat to Struve. Despite his ridiculously long arms, Struve doesn't seem to know what a jab is and has shown repeatedly that he's more than willing to throw down and brawl. That won't work against Browne.

Note that I've weighted some of the categories more heavily in this installment. That's because I don't expect this fight to spend much time on the ground. 

Aspect Struve Points Browne Advantage
Range Fighting



Boxing Has Some Gaps Good Browne
Kickboxing Strong Sloppy Struve 
Wrestling Not So Much Lacking  Tie
Clinch Fighting        
Dirty Boxing Kid's Got Heart 2 Dangerous Browne
 Thai Clinch Killer Stork 1 Nothing Special Struve
 Throws/Trips Ok 1 Not Great Struve
 Ground Fighting



 Positional Control Good 1 Good Tie
 Top Game Dangerous 2 Brutal Browne
 Bottom Game Ok 1 Eh Struve
 Submissions Very Good 1 Ok Struve
Intangibles UFC Proven 1 Hungry Struve
Overall Flawed Prospect 6/6 Hard Hitter Browne

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UFC 130 Fight Card Breakdown: Jorge Santiago vs. Brian Stann

Middleweights Brian Stann and Jorge Santiago will face off on the pay per view portion of the card at UFC 130

The two fighters are relatively low profile with casual fans but this fight should be seen as a major contender elimination bout. According to the USA TODAY/SBNation Consensus MMA Rankings, Santiago is the #8 ranked middleweight in the world and Stann is at #14. The winner will definitely be a top ten fighter and likely one or two fights away from a UFC title shot in 2011.

Santiago is returning to the UFC for the first time since 2006. He went 1-2 in his first UFC run and was cut after back-to-back KO losses to Chris Leben and Alan Belcher. But the 10-1 record Santiago since getting cut -- including winning the Sengoku title and Strikeforce's 2007 middleweight grand prix  -- is what has pundits ranking him in the top 10.

Most recently Santiago has beaten Kazuo Misaki in a pair of five round classics and avenged an upset loss to Mahmed Khalidov. He'll be looking to prove he belongs in the UFC and at the top of the middleweight division.

Santiago is the classic American Top Team fighter -- excellent BJJ submissions and effective Muay Thai striking. His wrestling is a weak spot, but he's a threat to finish the fight at anytime standing or on the ground. His epic wars with Misaki show that he's got a lion's heart and must be knocked out cold to be stopped. 

Stann, the former WEC light heavyweight champ, is 4-2 in the UFC but he's undefeated since moving down to 185lbs. In his most recent fight, he demolished the formidable Chris Leben with a brutal first round assault. He'll be looking to take advantage of Santiago's questionable chin. 

Stann was primarily a stand-up brawler who relied on his punching power in the WEC. Training with Greg Jackson has led to dramatic improvements in Stann's striking technique, his wrestling and his jiu jitsu. 

Ultimately, while Stann has an excellent chance to win via KO, Santiago is so well rounded and so much more experienced, I expect he'll prove he belongs back in the UFC on Saturday.

Aspect Santiago Points Stann Advantage
Range Fighting



Boxing Flawed Powerful Stann
Kickboxing ATT Baby Solid  Santiago 
Wrestling Not Great Not Good  Santiago
Clinch Fighting        
Dirty Boxing Lacking Fierce  Stann
 Thai Clinch Dangerous 1 So-so Santiago
 Throws/Trips Tricky 1 Ok Santiago
 Ground Fighting



 Positional Control Very Good 1 Good Santiago
 Top Game Top Notch 1 Brutal Santiago
 Bottom Game Dangerous 1 Improving Santiago
 Submissions Excellent 1 Ok Santiago
Intangibles Weak Chin 1 Stiff Stann
Overall Top 10 7/4 Top 20 Santiago

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UFC 130 Fight Card Breakdown: Thiago Alves Vs. Rick Story

UFC welterweights Thiago Alves and Rick Story will clash on the UFC 130 pay per view, this Saturday, May 28 at the MGM Garden Arena in Las Vegas.

The 27 year old Alves enters the fight as a perennial contender. He's been a staple of top 10 lists since beating Karo Parisyan and Matt Hughes in back-to-back fights in 2008. Since then he's challenged Georges St. Pierre for the UFC title and lost. He's also fought Jon Fitch, the man universally considered the #2 welterweight in the world, and lost. Not to mention he had to deal with a potentially life-threatening brain blood vessel anomaly that post-poned the Fitch bout four times. He's also struggled with making weight, blowing the weigh-ins at UFC 85 and 117.

Alves had no trouble making weight in his last fight against John Howard at UFC 124. He didn't struggle much with Howard either, winning a unanimous decision.

Rick Story is where Alves was three years ago. After losing his UFC debut in 2009, he reeled off five straight UFC wins over increasingly formidable competition. Story blasted fan-favorite Dustin Hazelett at UFC 117 and then took a unanimous decision over then-undefeated Johny Hendricks. That bout was a clearly a big test for Story and he passed with flying colors. His reward? Facing the very dangerous Thiago Alves.

This bout should come down two things: Story's ability to hang with Alves on the feet and Story's ability to put Alves on his back and keep him there. If Story can do either of those two things, it's his fight to win. 

Nevertheless, until Story shows me that he can beat a top contender like Alves, I'm going with the more proven fighter. 

Aspect Alves Points Story Advantage
Range Fighting



Boxing Pro Puncher Alves
Kickboxing Crippling Aggressive  Alves 
Wrestling Defensive Very Good  Story
Clinch Fighting        
Dirty Boxing Ok Strong  Story 
 Thai Clinch Murderous 1 Ok Alves
 Throws/Trips Ok 1 Strong Story
 Ground Fighting



 Positional Control Good 1 Very Good Story
 Top Game Punishing 1 Brutal Story
 Bottom Game Savvy 1 Scrambler Alves
 Submissions Ok 1 Limited Alves
Intangibles Proven 1 Untested Alves
Overall Contender 6/5 UpNComer Alves

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UFC 130 Main Fight Card Breakdowns: Rampage Jackson Vs. Matt Hamill, Frank Mir Vs. Roy Nelson And More

SBN will be offering quick but comprehensive previews of each fight on the main card of UFC 130. We will look at each aspect of the fight game: Range Fighting, Clinch Fighting, and Ground Game; and break down which fighter has the advantage in each category. 

Each major category is further broken down into sub-categories. These are:

  • Range Fighting: Boxing, Kickboxing, Wrestling
  • Clinch Fighting: Dirty Boxing, Thai Clinch, Throws/Trips
  • Ground Fighting: Positional Control, Top Game, Bottom Game, Submissions

Since it's a binary choice -- either one fighter is better at a certain aspect or it's a tie -- the rankings are just descriptive, not a formal ladder. IE if I rate one fighter's boxing as "lethal" and the other fighter's boxing as "extremely dangerous" just look to see which fighter I gave the nod in that category to find out if "lethal" is indeed better than "extremely dangerous" (it is).

UFC 130 was originally supposed to feature a headlining lightweight championship fight between champ Frankie Edgar and Gray Maynard, the man who fought him to a tie at UFC 125. That fight was cancelled with first Edgar and then Maynard pulled out due to injuries. 

The event is taking place at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Saturday, May 28, 2011. It will be broadcast in three parts: pay per view, Spike TV and streamed live on Facebook.

Here's the full line-up:

Pay-Per-View Bouts - 9 p.m. ET
Quinton Jackson vs. Matt Hamill
Frank Mir vs. Roy Nelson
Stefan Struve vs. Travis Browne
Jorge Santiago vs. Brian Stann
Thiago Alves vs. Rick Story

Preliminary Bouts on Spike TV - 8 p.m. ET
Miguel Torres vs. Demetrious Johnson
Tim Boetsch vs. Kendall Grove

Preliminary Bouts on Facebook - 6:45 p.m. ET
Michael McDonald vs. Chris Cariaso
Gleison Tibau vs. Rafaello Oliveira
Cole Escovedo vs. Renan Barao

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