WE WILL HAVE A FULL NASCAR RACE TODAY! The remnants of Tropical Storm Lee and all that moisture associated with it continues to push north into the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys, as very dry and cooler air begins to move in behind the departing system.
From what I am see, I feel very confident that NASCAR has a very good shot of getting the AdvoCare 500 started and completed on time. If someone asked me, "What are the odds we get this race started at 11 a.m. Tuesday morning?" I would tell them I think there is a better than 75 percent chance of getting the race started.
This is not good news for all those fans who were praying for some morning rain so they could watch the race later in the afternoon or possibly in the evening. Even Denny Hamlin (@DennyHamlin on Twitter) voiced his opinion about having a later start time for today's race, "Anyone else wish @NASCAR would schedule the race for tues night?"
For those holding out hope for a morning rain delay and a later race start, there could be a few scattered to isolated showers around during the morning. Like we saw Sunday night it only takes one single shower to undo hours of drying.
The trouble with predicting scattered to isolated showers is you never know when or where they will form. Overall, I think the dry air wins out and we get this race started on time and finished.
WHAT IF THERE IS A DELAY?
In the small likelihood that we see a delay Tuesday morning, the forecast for the afternoon and evening looks mostly dry. There could be a pop-up shower or storm during the afternoon but the risk is very small. The other good news for track drying is that winds will be gusty and breezy out of the southwest. Sustained winds look to be between 10 and 20 mph with gust to near 25 mph.
I am very certain the AdvoCare 500 gets in today, and I am becoming a believer that this race starts on time. If you are like many fans heading back to work or school, make sure you have your DVR's set for ESPN this morning.
8 a.m EDT
Few scattered to isolated showers or storms, windy with gusts of 25 mph, mostly cloudy & cool: 68
11 a.m EDT
Start of Sprint Cup Race – Mostly cloudy, poss. shower or storm, looks mainly dry, windy & cool. Southwest wind 10-20 mph gust of 25 – temp: 70
1 p.m EDT
Sprint Cup Race – Clouds, some sunshine few lingering scattered showers – temp: 73