Updated throughout the day with quick takes from staff.
It's NBA Fan Voice Day, and fans are making their voice heard amid all of this NBA lockout drama. David Wunderlich, better known as Year2 on SB Nation's SEC blog Team Speed Kills, has a lockout solution: a new salary structure with player slots determined by shares of the cap. Check it out below the jump.
Here's Year2.
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I grew up in Orlando in the '90s, which means that it was impossible for me not to become an NBA fan. It kills me to see the labor strife going on right now just over a decade after we had a lockout-shortened season.
That strife got me thinking about how the salary structure in the NBA could be different. I think I came up with something that is unique but that aligns the two sides' incentives. The goal of making this was to make sure that both the owners and players are committed to raising league revenue while avoiding future disruptions due to lockouts or strikes.
Here are the basics:
What's In It for the Owners
As long as league revenues rise from one year to the next, owners will come out ahead of where they bargained for the current year.
Imagine the sides agree on a 50-50 split. Let's say last year's league revenue was $3.5 billion. The players' share for this year will be $1.75 billion. However, let's say league revenue for this year ends up being $3.75 billion. The owners' share of that revenue will be $2 billion, or about 53%. For this fiscal year, they literally got more than they bargained for.
This fact will ensure that owners will do whatever they can to raise league revenue each year.
What's In It for the Players
Signing for a percentage of the cap means that players can increase their salaries beyond whatever built-in escalator clauses they have in their contracts. If they play hard every night, don't tank or slack off when their teams' playoff chances are toast, and generally do anything else to increase fan satisfaction in the game, they can help raise league revenue.
Increasing league revenue will make the cap figure bigger, which makes their percentage salaries bigger than they otherwise would have been. The rising tide will lift all boats.
What's In It for Fans
For one thing, it effectively makes every year a contract year for the players. No further elaboration is needed on that point.
Most of all, it penalizes both sides for labor fights that disrupt seasons.
Because the players' salaries for the current year are based on last year's revenue, the owners would stand to lose lots of money. Going back to the hypothetical above, the players will get their $1.75 billion this year regardless. Any lost revenue from this year due to a lockout eats away entirely from the owners' income. If a lockout was long enough to, say, cut league league revenue in half to $1.75 billion, the owners would get none of it to pay for things like front office staff, arena leases, and all of their other expenses. If the owners think the entire league losing $300 million in a year is untenable, imagine how they'd feel about essentially going without any revenue for a season.
Of course, any reduction of revenue from this year will hit the players next year. If a player strike cut league revenue down to $1.75 billion for the current season and the split remained the same, they would get only $875 million to divide among themselves. If the revenue returned to even just a $3 billion level, the owners would get $2.625 billion (70.8%).
Neither side would like the outcome of a labor dispute interfering with the season. It would hit owners first, which is fair given that they're all independently wealthy from other pursuits. It would give the players a year to prepare for their salary hits, which is good given that many players are personally on shaky financial ground.
So that's my plan. It preserves the soft cap for the players while also having some sweeteners for the owners. It also provides a structure where cancelling parts of seasons is extremely detrimental to both sides. Whether something like this could ever work in reality I don't know, but I like to think it is better than the dysfunctional system that is in place now.
Comments
Well technically...
The players are already playing on a percentage in the current CBA. It’s reported as a dollar value, but players are guaranteed 57% of revenue. They divide it up based on their contracts. Furthermore, this year’s cap is also based on last year’s revenue. under the current CBA.
Both sides are sacrificing for the strike – ahem, LOCKOUT. The owners are sacrificing gate receipts and players are sacrificing paychecks.
by superturboultra on Oct 17, 2011 6:07 PM EDT reply actions
Right
And they’d get a percentage in this system too. The point of salaries being expressed in percentages of the cap is to create the incentive of doing whatever possible to raise league revenue at all times.
If a player gets $10 million in each year of his contract, he’ll get $10 million whether league revenue rises or falls. If he’s slated to get 16.67% of the cap and this year’s cap is $60 million, he’ll also get $10 million.
In the first scenario, he has no motivation to earn every penny of that $10 million, because he may not have to negotiate a new deal for several years. The temptation to slack will be there, especially in the second half of a bad season for his team.
In the latter scenario, he has every motivation to keep working hard to bring every fan in the building possible. Raising league revenue raises the cap, which raises his salary. He’s getting $10 million next year regardless in the first scenario; in the second, he can get more than $10 million if league revenue rises. If his working hard sells one extra $80 ticket, that’s an additional 44 cents in his pocket next year. It then scales up from there.
Team Speed Kills -- SBNation's SEC Blog
If you're so inclined, follow me @Year2
by Year2 on Oct 18, 2011 4:57 PM EDT up reply actions
Correction
That’s an extra 22 cents, using the hypothetical 50-50 split from the piece. Either way, the point is that there is a direct reward for unyielding hard work and a direct penalty for slacking. That’s why every year would be like a contract year.
Team Speed Kills -- SBNation's SEC Blog
If you're so inclined, follow me @Year2
by Year2 on Oct 18, 2011 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions
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