Is Kobe Bryant more selfish than basically every guard in the NBA? Check our Black Hole Atlas to find out.
Feb 4, 2011 - To call a basketball player a "black hole" is to defile said player's character. Basketball, like soccer, is a game of collaboration and synergy. No one wants to play with a ballhog on the blacktop, or watch an NBA player go dribble-dribble-dribble shoot. It's boring and effective.
In the NBA, the definition stretches to include any player considered to shoot too much without spreading the love. It's a bit less of a pejorative, if only because at the NBA level the stars score with so much panache. If you don't spread the ball in rec league play, the game turns into a series of clanked jumpers and out-of-control layups. In the NBA? It's flying dunks and, well, clanked jumpers. But you get the point. The amateur game is rarely beautiful when the teams don't operate as a symphony. An NBA game can be a masterpiece even in the absence of cooperation, thanks to the immutable gifts of the players involved.
But being a black hole is still to be avoided; Zach Randolph has never shaken the reputation. Rob Mahoney argues that Z-Bo's off-court issues have plagued him most, but don't dismiss the impact his rep as a self-absorbed offensive player has had. It's far easier to overlook the talents of second-tier soloist when that performer never reaches outside the bondage of comfort. Z-Bo and other "black holes" do the same thing again and again: dribble, dribble, shoot. LaMarcus Aldridge? Pump fake, hesitate, shoot. Kobe Bryant? Dribble, jab step, shoot.
Ah, but Kobe is so much more. He's a star in the loudest sense of the word. Kobe's never had a problem making the solo game interesting and entertaining. No one will forget the night he waged war on Morris Peterson, and he has dozens of performances like that. Bryant's like a slasher flick with an ambiguous ending, and it's hard to turn away. If Kobe Bryant's a black hole, or perhaps the personification of what a black hole should be defined as ... well, then we're all in good shape.
But is he truly a black hole? Kobe has averaged 4.7 assists per game over his career, and has eight seasons above five assists per game. That's a lot of assists! He's actually, if you'll believe it, No. 52 in assists all-time, closing in on Walt Frazier, Sleepy Floyd and Kenny Anderson. But the shots! So many shots! He's No. 14 all-time in field goal attempts, closing in on Moses Malone and ahead of George Gervin, Elgin Baylor, Allen Iverson and Oscar Robertson. It's simply gunnertastic.
In the interest of devising a way to judge Kobe's inclination to share as compared to his contemporaries, I assembled a table charting assists per shot attempt (which includes free throws, using the standard 0.44 FTAs=1 FGA adjustment) on the x axis and usage rate on the y axis. This would serve to give us a sense of which players shot much, much more than they register an assist, and of those players which handle the ball the most (theoretically giving them greater opportunities to change their ways and spread the love). Then I slapped the scatterplot on top of outer space, and added a sun and a black hole. Guards who play 30 minutes per game make up the galaxy. As always, I created the scatterplot without looking at names -- I don't create graphs around my biases. I try to be as fair as is possible in this sort of thing.
It was, then, a happy accident that Kobe landed where he did. (Click to enlarge.)
Among high-usage guards, only Dwyane Wade and Kevin Martin have lower assist-per-shot figures than Kobe. Think about it this way: no guard in the NBA shoots more frequently than Kobe, and still the vast majority of guards tally assists more frequently than he does. Were Kobe a less frequently used player, a relatively low assist-to-shot ratio would be understood. If you're only allotted 10 touches a game, you may want to maximize how many of those are shots. Kobe gets in excess of 30 possessions in most games. And even with all those opportunities, he sees fit to shoot most of the time ... despite the presence of great finishers like Pau Gasol, Andrew Bynum and Lamar Odom.
He's more of a black hole than Monta Ellis, Tyreke Evans and Jamal Crawford. Think about that. Kobe passes less frequently given his shot levels than Jamal Crawford. That doesn't make Kobe any less valuable to his team, or a lesser player than anyone on the chart -- Wade, I'd argue, is more valuable than all but a few of players further from the black hole than he. And that's perhaps where the idea of a player as a black hole is most misunderstood: it cannot be used plainly as pejorative. A player is not bad or overrated or a jerkface because he doesn't pass much. It's not a value judgment, it's a style judgment, a classification.
It is, however, in Kobe's case a fair judgment. If any guard in the NBA is a black hole, it's Kobe.
Comments
Terrific Chart
It’s too bad Jason Richardson got traded from Phoenix, because now he’s not the Black Hole Sun anymore.
/moving along now
I'm white and I don't dance but that doesn't mean I have all the answers.
by smk73 on Feb 4, 2011 12:18 PM EST reply actions 3 recs
Very nicely done
What package did you use to generate the chart?
God is my Judge
by DSMok1 on Feb 4, 2011 1:11 PM EST reply actions
I handle data in basic ol’ Excel and paste to Photoshop for fun and games.
by Tom Ziller on Feb 4, 2011 1:59 PM EST up reply actions
Where's Chapu?
Is he the sun?
Teams without Chapu lost 1173 games during the 2009-'10 season.
by chapuforyou on Feb 4, 2011 1:55 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
wow
Michael Jordan must’ve been the biggest black hole of all time when he ran the triangle then. He shot more and assisted about the same on a regular basis like Kobe. Chuckers UNITE!!!
These things happened. They were glorious and they changed the world... and then we fucked up the end game. - Charlie Wilson
TRADE KOBY FOR LUTHER HEAD!!!! (it's a movement)
by Marty Mart on Feb 4, 2011 1:55 PM EST reply actions 7 recs
14th Most FGAs ...
… but 8th all time scoring, and not far from the 7th and 6th spots.
Yes, he shoots a lot – too much some nights – but the system he works in makes comparisons to other players questionable if not outright invalid. How many seasons has he led his team in assists?
by Luke Warm on Feb 4, 2011 7:37 PM EST reply actions
nice
Kobe often talks about how he shares the ball so well, and raw assist numbers would seem to back him up. This analysis is a much better way to evaluate style of play. Considering Kobe has played most (or is it all) his career in the triangle offense,, predicated on passing, and having everyone involved on offense, I wonder how low his assist ratio would be in a different style of offense.
Does Rondo ever shoot? :P
by tkired on Feb 4, 2011 10:29 PM EST reply actions
Based on BBR numbers
the one season as a main option he didn’t play in the triangle, in 04-05, his ast rate was higher and his usage rate was lower. Do with that what you will.
These things happened. They were glorious and they changed the world... and then we fucked up the end game. - Charlie Wilson
TRADE KOBY FOR LUTHER HEAD!!!! (it's a movement)
by Marty Mart on Feb 4, 2011 11:33 PM EST up reply actions 5 recs
cheers
that is just weirdness
by tkired on Feb 13, 2011 5:14 AM EST up reply actions
Triangle Offense?
I thought it was common knowledge that the Triangle Offense lowers individuals’ assist numbers. You said it yourself, tkired, everyone is involved on offense. Everyone passes and everyone gets assists. This is why Pau is an integral cog in the Lakers offense.
by Wewtt on Feb 5, 2011 3:51 AM EST reply actions
Kobe vs Michael
Just looked up the stats, using your method.
Kobe is a .206 assists per FGA.
MJ is at .198
I guess MJ is the ultimate black hole!!!
Seriously man?
by Imadogg on Feb 5, 2011 5:52 AM EST reply actions 1 recs
Those are career numbers btw of course.
by Imadogg on Feb 5, 2011 5:53 AM EST up reply actions
I include FTAs too
So MJ might even be more of a black hole than you found.
But like I said, being a black hole when you’re as good as Kobe (or MJ) isn’t a bad thing. It’s just a thing. Something to look at. (I’ll also note that MJ was much more efficient with his shots than Kobe.)
by Tom Ziller on Feb 5, 2011 9:59 AM EST up reply actions
+1
If nothing is worth dying for, then nothing is worth living for.
~Chuck Coleson
by Eucharist on Feb 5, 2011 5:03 PM EST up reply actions
Jordan wasn’t always more efficient and in the years where he was winning championships, i.e. the years that he and Kobe ran the same system, he was more of a black hole and didn’t always shoot more efficiently while consistently shooting more and in fact, at his worst, he was worse than Kobe, who we often describe as selfish despite plenty of evidence that shows quite the opposite. Just wanted to point it out. It’s not a bad thing. It’s just a thing.
These things happened. They were glorious and they changed the world... and then we fucked up the end game. - Charlie Wilson
TRADE KOBY FOR LUTHER HEAD!!!! (it's a movement)
by Marty Mart on Feb 5, 2011 7:50 PM EST up reply actions 5 recs
nice one.
by old man River on Feb 5, 2011 11:57 AM EST reply actions
Love a great chart
And this is a GREAT chart
by Clintonite33 on Feb 5, 2011 11:58 AM EST reply actions
of course, it's absolutely normal to be a black hole . . .
when you have gasol / bynum / odom / artest on your team. that only makes sense.
Follow me on Twitter: @AllThatAmar ... Check out: SLCDUNK.com ... E-Mail me at: allthatjazzbasketball@hotmail.com
Really, I'm totally not lonely or anything . . .
by AllThatJazzBasketball on Feb 5, 2011 11:59 AM EST up reply actions
Well
Pippen, Grant, and Paxson/Armstrong (in 93) all shot great from the field as well. And Pippen, Kerr, Kukoc after them shot well too. OMG JORDAN SHOULD"VE PASSED THE BALL MORE!!!! BLACK HOLES UNITE!!!!
These things happened. They were glorious and they changed the world... and then we fucked up the end game. - Charlie Wilson
TRADE KOBY FOR LUTHER HEAD!!!! (it's a movement)
by Marty Mart on Feb 5, 2011 12:53 PM EST up reply actions 5 recs
Flawed Analyst
Great way of looking at this but theres one little problem… or should I say HUGE problem =}. The triangle offense isn’t predicated to a PG running it, which in turn would/ should equal less assists for any individual player (Even though KB leads LA in assists year after year)… but thats not the HUGE flaw. Almost every offensive scheme is run/ starts out w/ two plays for LA. The first is Kobe gets the ball, waits for double (sometimes triple) and passes to closest man who then passes to the furthest player from Kobe who is usually open. This mean it’s next to imposable for him to get an assist. The reason he does get assists is because sometimes he passes across the court to the open man (Extremely difficult pass) or spoon feeds a player when he penetrates the paint instead of going up for the easy basket.
by Milk64 on Feb 5, 2011 5:55 PM EST reply actions
BTW
Ohh if interested, the second offensive play run is passing to the middle and then clearing out.
by Milk64 on Feb 5, 2011 5:57 PM EST reply actions
This is based solely on assists?
Couldn’t you also look at this based on scoring.
Top 10 among guards (in order)
Kobe
Wade
Ellis
Rose
Gordon
Martin
Westbrook
Williams
Jackson
Manu
And is Ray Allen there? He’s a guard.
49ers Harbaughllin
by jrobulls on Feb 5, 2011 8:11 PM EST reply actions
Ray Allen most likely wouldn't be
as his production is hindered by the fact he doesn’t have the opportunity to shoot as much as these other guys because he rarely creates his own shot like these other guys. He is by far the most efficient guard with over 10 shots a game though.
These things happened. They were glorious and they changed the world... and then we fucked up the end game. - Charlie Wilson
TRADE KOBY FOR LUTHER HEAD!!!! (it's a movement)
by Marty Mart on Feb 6, 2011 12:18 PM EST up reply actions
I’m much more interested in the Sun side of the chart. I’m just curious where Starbury would’ve landed.
He has a 0.42 assist to fga ratio with a career usage rate of 25%. Wouldn’t some consider him more of a blackhole than Kobe though?
by Jordan Leithart on Feb 7, 2011 2:01 PM EST reply actions
Nifty chart but...
You went into spin mode in the paragraph following the chart.
“Dwyane Wade and Kevin Martin have lower assist-per-shot figures than Kobe.”
Then why not an article about them being the ultimate black holes?
“… and still the vast majority of guards tally assists more frequently than he does”
Not among shooting guards.
“Kobe passes less frequently given his shot levels than Jamal Crawford”
1) More assists doesn’t mean more passes (the triangle thing has already been noted), and 2) so what. Jamal gets more assists than most people think.
by Michael Nelson on Feb 7, 2011 2:24 PM EST reply actions
+1 PEOPPLE FORGE JAMAL IS A 1 AND 2 GUARD AND ACTUALLY IS A DECENT PASSER WHEN HE'S DRIVIN INSTEAD OF SHOOTIN 3'S which he's really good at by the way lolz
by Blackmamba81024 on Feb 7, 2011 3:45 PM EST up reply actions
Okay, but how do you adjust your formula for “should be assists”, e.g., drop offs to “manos de piedra” Kwame Brown, or “finish as softly at the rim as possible, get fouled but don’t make the basket” Pau Gasol? Drag 4 guys to you on the drive but Ron-Ron can’t hit the open j? No assist for you!
Look, it’s easy to take some numbers off the stat line, plug in any formula you want and come up with any preconceived result you want, but what really matters is the eyeball test. When you watch everyone in the NBA play, who do you want playing for your team? Is it coincidental that the people that fans would want to see, coaches would want to coach, and GMs would want to sign are the ones closest to the blackhole? Give me Kobe, D-Wade and Rose any day and I don’t need sunshine. Being near the sun is good if you CAN’T shoot; props to Rondo for staying where he belongs.
by Djh1 on Feb 7, 2011 5:33 PM EST reply actions
Look, I don’t want to be hypercritical, but this is the problem with people letting statistics get in the way of what they see with their own eyes. For all the kudos Houston and Portland have been getting over the years from the cyber-geek ultra-stat community, it has resulted in exactly 0 championships. ZERO. So go ahead and crunch those numbers; meanwhile, the successful GMs and coaches will still be the ones who spend all their time in gyms and filmrooms WATCHING basketball. These guys can tell you in 3 minutes who the best players on a given court are, while you’re still gathering stats, defining variables, and solving for x. LOL….
by Djh1 on Feb 7, 2011 5:41 PM EST reply actions
At least it's not a Rally Chart!
"It ain't Chinese algebra" - Tony Allen from Basketbawful
by Bluejohn on Feb 7, 2011 6:51 PM EST reply actions
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