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Updated throughout the day with quick takes from staff.

Atlanta Hawks Quite Nearly Worst 'Good' NBA Team Ever

The Atlanta Hawks are a good team, if you look at the win-loss ledger. Atlanta's on pace to go 46-36 on the season; that will assuredly earn the Hawks the No. 5 seed in the East and a first-round date with the Orlando Magic. To finish the season 10 games over .500 would definitely qualify the Hawks as good.

But if you look at points margin, which is empirically a better measure of team performance, the Hawks are ... not good. In fact, the Hawks (who lost to the Chicago Bulls by 33 on Tuesday) have the points margin of a sub-.500 team. That's a huge difference! And if we defined a "good" team by one who wins, say, 45 games in a season, then the Hawks are getting awful close to becoming the worst good team in history.

Star-divide

Since the merger, eight teams that finished with a winning percentage of .549 or better -- that's no worse than a 45-37 record -- have had a points margin below break-even zero. The Hawks' current margin is -0.31 points per game; among these 45-win teams, only three are worse. The weird 2007-08 Cavaliers had a points margin of -0.35, as did the 1996-97 Orlando Magic. The infamous 2004-05 Wizards were -0.33. The Hawks are clustered there; four other teams, ranging from the 48-win '95 Lakers to the 45-win 2000 Raptors, fill out the short list.

Given what we saw Tuesday, the Hawks could very easily surpass the others and become the worst good team ever. Awesome!

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The Hawks are awful, and they’re not going to be getting better any time soon. All of their starters minus Horford have peaked, and the franchise is handcuffed with the atrocious Joe Johnson contract. Spending all that money on a player who shoots something like 35% in a playoff series with an extremely high usage rate is just a joke. They’re not going to finish in the 5th spot, they’ll continue to fall apart and end up with the 6th seed. 76ers only 3&1/2 games out, and if the 6ers win tonight look for the Hawks to fall hard on their face.

The Jruth shall be told.

by packimop on Mar 23, 2011 9:52 AM EDT reply actions  

Bam

The Jruth shall be told.

by packimop on Mar 23, 2011 9:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

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