Updated throughout the day with quick takes from staff.
by Tom Ziller • Jul 5, 2011 1:43 PM EDT
Nate Silver of the New York Times' Five Thirty Eight put together the best piece of analysis on NBA finances we've seen since the NBA lockout began on July 1. Silver uses public data from Forbes and Financial World to piece together a puzzle we're otherwise left taking the NBA's word on: is the league actually losing hundreds of millions of dollars despite soaring revenue, rising popularity and a new golden age?
Silver asserts that according to the data at hand, no, the NBA is not losing money. In fact, it has earned a tidy profit every year since the 1998-99 lockout, to tune of about 7 percent annually. We wrote about Silver's study in our burgeoning NBA lockout StoryStream, but something in particular stuck out and, I felt, was worth investigating.
It is the mystery meat known as "other expenses."
Silver notes that while player salary has kept pace with league revenues -- as is designed into the now-expired collective bargaining agreement that was agreed to in 1999 and essentially re-upped with tweaks in 2005 -- non-payroll expenses have skyrocketed.
Growth in non-player expenses has outpaced that of salaries, having increased by 13 percent over five years and 43 percent over 10 years. Although some of this undoubtedly reflects sound business ventures, like the league's investments in digital media or efforts to expand the game internationally, they have nevertheless had a reasonably large effect on the league's bottom line. Had nonplayer expenses been the same in 2009-10 as they were in 1999-2000 (adjusted for inflation), the league would have made a record profit that year.
Well, then! But what are these other expenses? We're checking with the league, but common sense would say that travel, equipment, coach and front office salaries, advertising and digital and global initiatives are included. Arena leases or mortgages might be in there too, though given that many franchises own and operate their own gyms, that could get tricky. Again: we're checking with the league to see what sort of expenses can be included here.
Maybe that will explain the odd spikes in "other expenses" over the past 10 years. I graphed the data Silver compiled and adjusted. "Other expenses" are in blue. Click to enlarge.
Twice have "other expenses" grew more than 10 percent in the past 10 years: 10.4 percent in 2002 and 16.3 percent in 2005. It also bizarrely dropped almost 8 percent in 2003. Why? What's going on here?
As Silver notes, even without cracking the "other expenses" mystery, the data suggests that the league is profitable, despite its claims. But if there is funny business going on in the expenses realm beyond what was discussed with regard to the "roster depreciation allowance" last week (with follow-up, of course), that could sure color how observers see the NBA's pleas.
5 comments
Tom Ziller:
NBA Lockout Now Has A Mystery Meat: 'Other Expenses'
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Comments
Do you graph your children's sleep habits?
I am 99% certain you do, but there’s this lingering doubt that you don’t.
by RMJ equals Hero on Jul 5, 2011 2:45 PM EDT reply actions
Look to the McCourts
Don’t you think the money the McCourts looted from the Dodgers was filed as “Other expenses”. I suspect you’ll find the same thing in the NBA and other leagues
by primeny on Jul 5, 2011 5:02 PM EDT reply actions
I'm glad people are catching on to this.
I hope the NBA gets a barrage of these requests about “other expenses,” but I wouldn’t hold my breath for an answer. But since salaries are a fixed expense, it has to be “other expenses” that are sinking the boat — if those expenses are legit.
Of course, the league could be making money because of a few big markets and many teams could still be losing money in small markets. But if so, the answer isn’t cutting salaries, the answer is revenue sharing.
by Tim S. on Jul 5, 2011 6:35 PM EDT reply actions
graph
http://fingerrolls.wordpress.com/ – if you liked that graph youll love this nba lockout graphic
by eli.joseph3000 on Jul 5, 2011 8:16 PM EDT reply actions
Rather than asking the league....
I think you might start by asking Nate Silver where he got the numbers. Or rather, I think he just took them from the Forbes data, subtracting the player expenses from the revenues that Forbes reported and then calling those ‘other expenses’. So the question then is where did Forbes get their numbers. But yeah, that’s a pretty strange looking graph. I may look into the Forbes data some and see if that fluctuation is league wide or might be coming from specific teams.
In this world, you must be oh so smart or oh so pleasant. Well, for years I was smart. I recommend pleasant. - Elwood P. Dowd
by Steve Perrin on Jul 5, 2011 9:13 PM EDT reply actions
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