NBA playoff predictions 2013, Spurs vs. Lakers: Spurs predicted to win the series

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The Lakers squeaked into the playoffs, their fate coming down to the final day of the regular season. Is the loss of Kobe Bryant too much to overcome against the Spurs? Predictions have San Antonio taking the series.

The San Antonio Spurs and Los Angeles Lakers meet in the first round of the playoffs as old rivals that haven't faced off in a playoff series since the 2008 Western Conference finals. The teams most recently played on April 14, with the Lakers claiming the only victory in their three-game season series. L.A. will attempt to recreate four more of those wins starting Sunday.

The Lakers will be without Kobe Bryant, but Steve Nash's status remains in question as the point guard deals with hamstring, hip, and back issues. Even without Bryant and potentially Nash, ESPN's J.A. Adande believes there's still a great deal at stake for Dwight Howard, who will have his first chance to prove he can be the next franchise player for the Lakers.

While the Lakers may have gotten the matchup they desired in the Spurs, ESPN's 5-on-5 has four of its five predictions going the Spurs' way in five games. Ethan Sherwood Strauss disagreed, taking the Lakers in a six-game series and believing the post presence of both Howard and Pau Gasol would be too much. The caveat? If Nash doesn't return, the prediction never happened.

Sean Highkin over at USA Today predicts the Spurs will win in six games, with the loss of Bryant being too much of an obstacle to overcome. If the Lakers do win, however, he puts it on the shoulders of the Lakers' frontcourt of Howard and Gasol, and the Spurs failing to deliver on offense. All five experts at CBS Sports also predict the Spurs will win the series. Capping off the Spurs' near clean sweep in the predictions, Sports Illustrated's Ian Thomsen also predicts the Spurs will take the series, giving it to San Antonio in five games.

The Lakers will have to work against the odds, while the Spurs have consistency and a system in place to take the odds into their own hands. San Antonio appears to be heavy favorites in this one.

Q & A With Chris Clark of Silver Screen and Roll

With Steve Nash's status in question, how confident are you that Steve Blake can continue producing at the level he has been? Can he contain Tony Parker?

With his top two scoring performances of the season in the last two games, you'd have to think that Blake would be unable to keep up that level of production, but the rise is more usage than anything else. You take more shots, you score more points. Do I think Blake can score 20 points a game on 67 percent TS like he did against San Antonio on Sunday? Probably not. But I think he can do better than he did on Wednesday, when he shot just 30 percent from the field, even though he did score 24 points. And no, he can't contain Tony Parker, but its not his job to. If anybody will contain TP, it'll be Dwight preventing those layups by taking up space in the lane. Steve Blake can do a decent enough job of staying close enough to Parker to at least stay in the conversation if Dwight slows him down.

The Lakers defense has been problematic. Do you trust they can make key stops in late-game situations against San Antonio?

Do I trust the Lakers defense to make late-game stops? No. I don't trust the Lakers defense to do much of anything at all. In order to trust them, I would need to see them perform well more often than not. But trust is the wrong word in this situation. The Lakers are the clear underdog in this series, which means that if everything goes according to how we should trust it might, the Lakers will lose. The Lakers' chances lie in their capability to outperform their averages, which is something it would be stupid to trust in. But the signs are there that the Lakers do have that kind of capability. Since Kobe has gone down, the Lakers have beaten two very good offensive teams with two very good defensive performances. Dwight Howard has looked more and more like his old dominating self by the day, and he and Gasol seem to have worked out some of the issues that led to most of the defensive frailty the Lakers have shown all season. None of that adds up to trust per se, but I will say that the Lakers defense is better right now than its been all year. That has to count for something.

Do you believe the matchup between Dwight Howard and Tim Duncan will decide the series? What are your final predictions?

No, not at all, unless you are including Dwight's overall defense as part of this matchup equation. I think the series will be decided by two things: How healthy and effective are Tony Parker and Manu Ginobli, who have both missed time recently? Can the Lakers' supporting cast punish the Spurs for packing the paint against Howard and Gasol? If Parker and/or Ginobli are limited and the Lakers make their outside shots, that can be a winning formula for L.A. Though I firmly believe the Lakers have a very real shot at taking the series, I think the most likely outcome is a quick series. Spurs in 5.

Q&A With J.R. Wilco of of Pounding the Rock

With Kobe Bryant out and Steve Nash's status uncertain, the Lakers have obvious health issues, but those might be overshadowing the Spurs' own injury concerns. How healthy are Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker heading into this series?

It's a bit of a mystery. Tony played in the last regular season game and looked ... alright but not great. Manu played 12 minutes and one bucket and a really nice assist. What nagging injuries they still have that'll keep them from being able to play at their best will likely only reveal themselves during the games.

Which matchup will be tougher for the opposing defense -- Tony Parker against LA's guards or the suddenly resurgent Dwight Howard/Pau Gasol combo against San Antonio's frontline?

It depends on how well LA shoots from the perimeter. If isolating Howard and Gasol forces mismatches that may make the Spurs double team the post and the Lakers punish the Spurs from the outside, this could be a long series. But if LA's three-point attack is minimal, then Tony's exploiting Laker's defense will be the trend to watch.

Because the Lakers are the Lakers and because the Spurs didn't finish the season strong while resting injured players, LA is a trendy upset pick among analysts. Do the Lakers stand a chance? What is your prediction for who wins the series and in how many games?

Because of the injuries, it's hard to know what to expect from either team. Will the Lakers play inspired ball without Kobe or will they miss him too much. Can the Spurs get healthy and play like they did up to the All-Star break? For me there are too many questions before the series begins to make a confident prediction, but if I'm forced to, I'd say that if the Spurs take Game 1 it'll be a short series, and if LA wins Sunday it'll be a long one.

More from SB Nation:

Pet plays from NBA playoff teams

Pistons fire Frank | Cavs can Scott

Battered, dangerous Bulls ready for playoff surprise

Jeff Green reflects on year of growth

And the NBA award winners are ...

Paul Flannery: A letter from Boston

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Join SBNation.com

You must be a member of SBNation.com to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SBNation.com. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.