College Football BlogPoll Rankings, Week 11: TCU Leapfrogs Boise State To Find Itself On Deck

TCU destroys Utah to surge past Boise State, leaving the BlogPoll with no super cool top four differences from the real BCS standings. Also: The Big 12 rearranges itself, and the one-loss team with a best shot at the national title game is... LSU?

Boise State just can't buy a break. Alabama loses, removing the primary one-loss threat to a potential title bid. But just as it looked like Virginia Tech might end up a respectable win after all, TCU took out a plasma torch on Utah and surged past them into the on-deck circle for the Hypothetical Blogger National Championship game. TCU's gap is now over a full point and the only way Boise State can make up ground is by hammering Nevada as badly as TCU hammered Utah—it will be impossible to top it.

Elsewhere, LSU and Alabama flip places after grass-eating, hat-wearing, fourth-down reverse calling Les Miles slid past the Tide, and carnage in the Big 12 sees Oklahoma State surge seven places as Oklahoma and Missouri fall. Texas A&M leaps from nowhere to No. 23, and we'd be remiss if we didn't tip our hat to Baylor upon their exit. See you in 10 years, Bears.

 

 

SB Nation BlogPoll Top 25 College Football Rankings

Results for Week 11

# School Points/blog SD Delta
1 Oregon Ducks (53) 24.55 0.66 --
2 Auburn Tigers (18) 23.81 0.88 --
3 TCU Horned Frogs (9) 23.24 1.00 Arrow_up 1
4 Boise St. Broncos (4) 21.95 1.35 Arrow_down -1
5 LSU Tigers 20.17 1.51 Arrow_up 7
6 Stanford Cardinal 19.70 1.64 Arrow_up 4
7 Wisconsin Badgers 18.89 1.82 --
8 Nebraska Cornhuskers 17.87 1.54 --
9 Ohio St. Buckeyes 16.86 2.08 Arrow_up 2
10 Oklahoma St. Cowboys 14.99 2.61 Arrow_up 7
11 Michigan St. Spartans 14.81 2.88 Arrow_up 4
12 Alabama Crimson Tide 14.11 2.05 Arrow_down -7
13 Iowa Hawkeyes 12.71 2.76 Arrow_up 3
14 Arkansas Razorbacks 11.80 2.25 Arrow_up 5
15 Utah Utes 9.64 3.61 Arrow_down -9
16 Arizona Wildcats 8.87 3.03 Arrow_down -2
17 Missouri Tigers 8.06 3.40 Arrow_down -4
18 Mississippi St. Bulldogs 7.89 2.96 Arrow_up 2
19 Oklahoma Sooners 7.83 2.83 Arrow_down -10
20 Virginia Tech Hokies 7.49 2.99 Arrow_up 2
21 Nevada Wolf Pack 5.85 3.20 Arrow_up 4
22 South Carolina Gamecocks 3.02 2.71 Arrow_down -4
23 Texas A&M Aggies 2.50 2.21 Arrow_up 21
24 Florida Gators 2.10 2.30 Arrow_up 7
25 Central Florida Knights 1.26 1.93 Arrow_up 7
Others Receiving Votes: USC Trojans | San Diego St. Aztecs | Kansas St. Wildcats | Baylor Bears | Penn St. Nittany Lions | Temple Owls | Miami Hurricanes | Northern Illinois Huskies | North Carolina Tar Heels | Navy Midshipmen | Pittsburgh Panthers | N.C. State Wolfpack | Florida St. Seminoles | Fresno St. Bulldogs | Air Force Falcons | Syracuse Orange | Michigan Wolverines
Updated: Nov 10, 2010 7:23 AM PST

Total Ballots: 84

Explore votes by team
Explore poll ballots by voter

Justify Your Existence

Events have conspired to rob the BlogPoll of its flashy differences at the top of the ballot, but it's worth noting that blog folk are much more certain of the order in 2-4 than the AP and Coaches. Boise State is well back of TCU, which isn't as far back of Auburn but is still meaningfully distant even after they hammered Utah. Auburn's lead in the AP poll is a razor thin ten points.

Further down the ballot there are still some divisions. The BlogPoll loves:

  • No. 6 Stanford (7 AP, 9 Coaches)
  • No. 10 Oklahoma State (12 AP, 11 Coaches) at the expense of MSU and Alabama
  • No. 16 Arizona (18 AP, 19 Coaches)
  • No. 17 Missouri (20 AP, 20 Coaches)

But the BlogPoll also hates:

  • No. 9 Ohio State (8 AP, 7 Coaches)
  • No. 19 Oklahoma (16 Coaches)
  • No. 20 Virginia Tech (16 AP, 17 Coaches)

Our memories of James Madison are long.

Wack Ballot Watchdog

A light week:

  • From Old Virginia has Wisconsin No. 15, four spots lower than the next most unimpressed voter. They're two slots behind Ohio State, even. They're also one of just two NC State voters left, and while the other guy has the Wolfpack 25th he's got them 19th.
  • Bull Run still has South Carolina No. 14, three spots higher than the next most impressed voter. They don't budge after losing this weekend.
  • Block U slides Northern Illinois up to No. 16. The Huskies' NMIV ranks them 23rd and they only get seven votes, period. Similarly, UCF is No. 14 with NMIV 19th. Some non-BCS slant in here.

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the team which spurs the most disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation.

Most Disagreement

# School Points/blog SD
1 Utah Utes 9.64 3.61
2 Missouri Tigers 8.06 3.40
3 Nevada Wolf Pack 5.85 3.20
4 Arizona Wildcats 8.87 3.03
5 Virginia Tech Hokies 7.49 2.99

I predicted Utah would lose this crown after its TCU matchup but I'm a little baffled that they didn't get hit a lot harder after TCU hit them over the head, stuffed them into a car, and threw them into a river. That's probably why they're still here: people are baffled.

Ballot Math

First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

Mr. Bold

# Blog Team Ballot Avg Error
1 The Ciskie Blog Wisconsin Badgers ballot 2.21
2 Boys of Old Florida Florida Gators ballot 2.15
3 Mountain West Connection Utah Utes ballot 2.14
4 Hey Jenny Slater Georgia Bulldogs ballot 2.12
5 Hog Database Arkansas Razorbacks ballot 2.09

Average error plummets this week and the winner pulls in a 2.21. A number that low usually sees a ballot with slight eccentricity instead of raving loony business, and it is indeed tough to find anything truly egregious on The Ciskie Blog's ballot. Missouri and Oklahoma are too high and Okie State is too low, so there's that, and the Big Ten seems similarly disordered. But that's about it other than having the two mid-majors 1-2.

Mr. Numb Existence

# Blog Team Ballot Avg Error
1 Frank the Tank's Slant Illinois Fighting Illini ballot 0.97
2 Baltimore Sports Report Maryland Terrapins ballot 1.01
3 Tom Fornelli Notre Dame Fighting Irish ballot 1.09
4 Blogger So Dear Wake Forest Demon Deacons ballot 1.12
5 Eleven Warriors Ohio St. Buckeyes ballot 1.18

Conference expansion maven Frank The Tank slides his error under one and grabs the Mr. Numb Existence award for the first time. Our Quest For A Perfect Ballot again ends before we can even get out of the top five, as TCU features at #2.

Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award, which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.

The CK Award

# Blog Team Ballot Bias
1 Mountain West Connection Utah Utes ballot 3.36
2 Boys of Old Florida Florida Gators ballot 2.90
3 Eleven Warriors Ohio St. Buckeyes ballot 2.14
4 The Purple Wimple TCU Horned Frogs ballot 1.76
5 Hog Database Arkansas Razorbacks ballot 1.20

Yea, verily The CK Award did come down from the mountain and saw the Utes dancing around a golden calf of ballot overrating and was like "lol wut" and was wroth. He broth forth a rain of horned frogs that did poke the Utes mercilessly, and bled on them, and scored many many touchdowns to Utah's very lonely single touchdown. Yea, you do provoke the wrath at your peril.

The CK Award is now 5-4 on the season, in the black, and next up on the chopping block is… Utah. Sigh. They're playing Notre Dame, so at least their opponent is hypothetically competitive. The Utes are a six point road favorite, though.

The Straight Bangin' Award

# Blog Team Ballot Bias
1 Tilting at Windmills Oklahoma Sooners ballot -7.83
2 The Key Play Virginia Tech Hokies ballot -0.49
3 Hey Jenny Slater Georgia Bulldogs ballot 0.00
4 Blogger So Dear Wake Forest Demon Deacons ballot 0.00
5 The Ralphie Report Colorado Buffaloes ballot 0.00

We're having some technical difficulties here, as I know Block U hammered the Utes after the weekend—they're at 21 in his ballot, which would be good for second here, but do not appear. Working on it. It does appear that Tilting At Windmills does get a legit win bit by vastly under-ranking his team after a soul-shattering performance on the weekend.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

Mr. Manic Depressive

# Blog Team Ballot Swing
1 The Purple Wimple TCU Horned Frogs ballot 136
2 AtomicTeeth Missouri Tigers ballot 134
3 Tilting at Windmills Oklahoma Sooners ballot 126
4 Mountain West Connection Utah Utes ballot 126
5 The Crimson Quarry Indiana Hoosiers ballot 124

Man, this Purple Wimple guy loves moving stuff around. Missouri and Oklahoma drop all the way out of the poll, Utah is down 15, Arizona down ten, and TCU leap to a no longer totally insane #1. Also MSU (either MSU) jumps way up, as to Ohioi State, Arkanas, and Oklahoma State. Chaos! Temple at #21! Woo!

Mr. Xanax

# Blog Team Ballot Swing
1 Voodoo Five South Florida Bulls ballot 72
2 BCS Guru UCLA Bruins ballot 80
3 The Key Play Virginia Tech Hokies ballot 84
4 SB Nation Atlanta Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ballot 86
5 The Ciskie Blog Wisconsin Badgers ballot 88

USF blog Voodoo Five picks up the Mr. Xanax award but a quick glance at the ball show a lot of arrows and that number is very high for a winner here, so no wag of the finger this week.

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