College Football BlogPoll Rankings, Week 13: Boise State's Back, Everything Else Is The Same

Nothing happens as the upset disappears from college football. Boise State does manage to squeeze past TCU and Nebraska drops a chunk, but other than that the most dramatic things to happen are a couple of small declines for top 10 teams that kind of almost lost sort of. Someone lose this week please.

Boredom has set in a bit as the biggest story of the past few weeks has been the Cam Newton investigation rather than anything that happens on the field. Oregon is holding steady atop the BlogPoll rankings with the same two-to-one edge in first place votes it's had since the Ducks and Tigers settled into the top two spots.

Both cede a few first place votes to a newly resurgent Boise State, which rides a 51-0 shellacking of Fresno State to No. 3, albeit by less than a tenth of a point. With Nevada on deck for Boise, a win there should solidify their third-place status; with Alabama and South Carolina on deck for Auburn they won't rise any higher unless someone actually loses.

The one member of the top ten to do so last week was Nebraska, going down 9-6 to A&M and causing Bo Pelini's head to explode. In one of those annoying poll quirks that always seem to happen, Nebraska slides down just enough to be directly in front of A&M. A couple of other small slides come because of poor performance in wins: LSU loses a couple spots after struggling with Ole Miss and Michigan State loses one because they required a frantic comeback to beat Purdue.

SB Nation BlogPoll Top 25 College Football Rankings

Results for Week 13

# School Points/blog SD Delta
1 Oregon Ducks (42) 24.38 0.81 --
2 Auburn Tigers (22) 23.89 0.94 --
3 Boise St. Broncos (11) 22.64 1.54 Arrow_up 1
4 TCU Horned Frogs (1) 22.57 1.20 Arrow_down -1
5 Wisconsin Badgers 19.84 1.61 Arrow_up 1
6 Stanford Cardinal 19.78 1.48 Arrow_up 1
7 LSU Tigers 19.67 1.54 Arrow_down -2
8 Ohio St. Buckeyes 17.87 1.41 Arrow_up 1
9 Oklahoma St. Cowboys 16.45 1.67 Arrow_up 2
10 Alabama Crimson Tide 15.89 1.63 Arrow_up 2
11 Michigan St. Spartans 15.83 2.15 Arrow_down -1
12 Arkansas Razorbacks 13.55 2.73 Arrow_up 1
13 Oklahoma Sooners 11.07 2.28 Arrow_up 2
14 Missouri Tigers 10.84 2.24 --
15 Virginia Tech Hokies 10.74 2.78 Arrow_up 1
16 Nebraska Cornhuskers 10.58 1.98 Arrow_down -8
17 Texas A&M Aggies 9.08 2.02 Arrow_up 2
18 South Carolina Gamecocks 9.03 2.52 Arrow_down -1
19 Nevada Wolf Pack 8.37 2.99 Arrow_down -1
20 Arizona Wildcats 4.67 2.60 Arrow_up 2
21 Florida St. Seminoles 4.03 2.17 Arrow_up 4
22 N.C. State Wolfpack 3.50 2.40 Arrow_up 6
23 Utah Utes 3.11 2.29 Arrow_up 4
24 Iowa Hawkeyes 2.32 2.03 Arrow_down -4
25 Mississippi St. Bulldogs 1.61 2.02 Arrow_down -2
Others Receiving Votes: Northern Illinois Huskies | West Virginia Mountaineers | Navy Midshipmen | USC Trojans | Florida Gators | Hawaii Warriors | Central Florida Knights | Arkansas St. Red Wolves | Miami Hurricanes | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | San Diego St. Aztecs | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan Wolverines | Ohio Bobcats | Pittsburgh Panthers | Air Force Falcons | UAB Blazers | Temple Owls | Penn St. Nittany Lions
Updated: Nov 24, 2010 7:19 AM PST

Total Ballots: 76

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Justify Your Existence

It's pretty boring out there this week, with only one difference between the blog and AP polls that's anything other than a flip of adjacent teams: bloggers remember James Madison and have Virginia Tech behind Oklahoma and Missouri. In the coaches' poll the only two-spot difference is bloggers being higher on Stanford. I can't say anything looks particularly egregious save for some X > Y on the field but X < Y in the poll rankings.

Wack Ballot Watchdog

  • Your lone TCU No. 1 vote is from Mountain West comrade Block U. They also chuck Nebraska way down to No. 23 and have Northern Illinois No. 14. The next most optimistic voter places NIU 20th.
  • From Old Virginia remains inexplicably skeptical of Wisconsin, ranking the No. 5 Badgers 14th. Ninth is the worst anyone else can managed.
  • FOV also hates Michigan State, which is 18th on his ballot. This hate is only exceeded by On The Banks ranking MSU 19th; everyone else has the Spartans at least No. 14.
  • Similarly, Rise Northwestern has Stanford No. 13 when ninth is the worst vote any other voter provides.
  • Every week someone trying to vote for Arkansas votes for Arkansas State.
  • Red Cup Rebellion: Michigan? Seriously?

Now on to the extracurriculars. First up are the teams which spur the most and least disagreement between voters as measured by standard deviation. Note that the standard deviation charts halt at #25 when looking for the lowest, otherwise teams that everyone agreed were terrible (say, Eastern Michigan) would all be at the top.

Most Disagreement

# School Points/blog SD
1 Nevada Wolf Pack 8.37 2.99
2 Virginia Tech Hokies 10.74 2.78
3 Arkansas Razorbacks 13.55 2.73
4 Arizona Wildcats 4.67 2.60
5 South Carolina Gamecocks 9.03 2.52

After a brief flirtation with BCS conferences, the most disagreement award returns to the impressive mid-majordom that is its true home. Also people are understandably confused by a team that looks like it will win the ACC but lost to a I-AA team, which yeah.

Ballot Math

First up are "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Numb Existence." The former goes to the voter with the ballot most divergent from the poll at large. The number you see is the average difference between a person's opinion of a team and the poll's opinion.

Mr. Bold

# Blog Team Ballot Avg Error
1 Hog Database Arkansas Razorbacks ballot 2.22
2 Boys of Old Florida Florida Gators ballot 2.01
3 Hey Jenny Slater Georgia Bulldogs ballot 1.82
4 Mountain West Connection Utah Utes ballot 1.74
5 Red and Black Attack Northern Illinois Huskies ballot 1.65

As was the case last week, the Mr. Bold winner takes it largely on the rankings of various mid-major teams. Last week it was excessive enthusiasm; this week it's excessive skepticism. Hog DB has TCU No. 8 and Boise No. 10. The inclusion of Florida at 21 is another weirdness, and from there it's a bunch of teams off a spot or three.

Mr. Numb Existence

# Blog Team Ballot Avg Error
1 Addicted To Quack Oregon Ducks ballot 0.79
2 Block-C Clemson Tigers ballot 0.94
3 Card Chronicle Louisville Cardinals ballot 0.95
4 Corn Nation Nebraska Cornhuskers ballot 0.97
5 AtomicTeeth Missouri Tigers ballot 1.00

Given the blog name you'd think Addicted To Quack would be on the other list, but here they are with an extremely low error under 0.8. Perfect ballot? Nyet, but not bad: we get all the way to ten before ATQ flips Alabama and Michigan State.

Next we have the Coulter/Kos Award and the Straight Bangin' Award, which are again different sides of the same coin. The CKA and SBA go to the blogs with the highest and lowest bias rating, respectively. Bias rating is calculated by subtracting the blogger's vote for his own team from the poll-wide average. A high number indicates you are shameless homer. A low number indicates that you suffer from an abusive relationship with your football team.

The CK Award

# Blog Team Ballot Bias
1 CowboysRideForFree Oklahoma St. Cowboys ballot 3.55
2 Red and Black Attack Northern Illinois Huskies ballot 3.54
3 Mountain West Connection Utah Utes ballot 2.89
4 AtomicTeeth Missouri Tigers ballot 2.16
5 Hog Database Arkansas Razorbacks ballot 1.45

Utah's been on the hotseat for most of the year and soldiered through it until back-to-back demolitions at the hands of TCU and Notre Dame put the CK Award back in the black for the year both technically (wins are measured against the spread) and karmically. The Mountain West Connection soldiered on, however, and had Utah atop the list again last week for a game against San Diego State in which the Aztecs were actually favored by three. Utah won, pushing the CK Award to 6-5 on the year.

We finally have an end to the great Did Utah Cover contest of 2010, however, thanks to an enthusiastic Oklahoma State fan edging the Cowboys up to No. 6. It's a dangerous week for this, as OSU has Bedlam this weekend. They are 2.5 point favorites.

The Straight Bangin' Award

# Blog Team Ballot Bias
1 Boys of Old Florida Florida Gators ballot -0.24
2 Eye of the Hurricane Miami Hurricanes ballot -0.12
3 Blatant Homerism Oklahoma Sooners ballot -0.07
4 Rakes of Mallow Notre Dame Fighting Irish ballot 0.00
5 Red Cup Rebellion Mississippi Rebels ballot 0.00

There is essentially no winner this week, as the hypothetical winner didn't rank an unranked team getting a quarter of a point per ballot.

Swing is the total change in each ballot from last week to this week (obviously voters who didn't submit a ballot last week are not included). A high number means you are easily distracted by shiny things. A low number means that you're damn sure you're right no matter what reality says.

Mr. Manic Depressive

# Blog Team Ballot Swing
1 Corn Nation Nebraska Cornhuskers ballot 62
2 Hey Jenny Slater Georgia Bulldogs ballot 60
3 BC Interruption Boston College Eagles ballot 58
4 OverThePylon Ball St. Cardinals ballot 58
5 Hog Database Arkansas Razorbacks ballot 58

So… this is how boring the poll has gotten of late: the numbers here are numbers you might see win the other half of this category in an average—not even a crazy—week. Wither upsets? Corn Nation edges out the field because they dropped Nevada seven spots for no apparent reason after the Wolfpack obliterated New Mexico State.

Mr. Xanax

# Blog Team Ballot Swing
1 Addicted To Quack Oregon Ducks ballot 32
2 CowboysRideForFree Oklahoma St. Cowboys ballot 34
3 Tom Fornelli Notre Dame Fighting Irish ballot 36
4 BCS Guru UCLA Bruins ballot 36
5 Blatant Homerism Oklahoma Sooners ballot 40

Again, massive boredom in CB means low numbers. ATQ dropped Nebraska a little less than others and takes it here.

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